Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 1:26 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.1% | 0.229 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.4% | 0.260 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
Home win | home | 5.00 | 50.2% | 1.512 | 0.85u | Won | +3.40u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 4.80 | 50.3% | 1.413 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 50.2% | 0.556 | 0.18u | Won | +0.38u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 50.7% | 0.773 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 50.2% | 0.457 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 50.3% | 1.111 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 3.90 | 49.9% | 0.954 | 0.50u | Won | +1.45u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.5% | 0.339 | 0.10u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 50.2% | 1.009 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 4.00 | 50.3% | 1.013 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.5% | 0.289 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 50.4% | 0.763 | 0.28u | Won | +0.70u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.4% | 0.337 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 50.3% | 1.114 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 50.4% | 0.360 | 0.26u | Won | +0.44u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 50.9% | 0.475 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.0% | 0.326 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 50.3% | 0.559 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 50.4% | 0.412 | 0.30u | Won | +0.54u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.1% | 0.277 | 0.16u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 50.8% | 0.729 | 0.31u | Won | +0.74u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 4.80 | 55.6% | 1.667 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 50.8% | 0.424 | 0.13u | Won | +0.23u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 55.6% | 0.444 | 0.15u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 50.8% | 0.780 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.8% | 0.195 | 0.28u | Won | +0.38u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 50.8% | 0.119 | 0.11u | Won | +0.13u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 44.6% | 0.163 | 0.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | home | 1.63 | 70.6% | 0.147 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.8% | 0.170 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.70 | 44.6% | 1.048 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 55.6% | 0.333 | 0.19u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.8% | 0.271 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 44.6% | 0.329 | 0.19u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 55.6% | 0.139 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 71.4% | 0.286 | 0.34u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 50.8% | 0.322 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 44.6% | 0.578 | 0.89u | Won | +1.65u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 1.69 | 70.6% | 0.193 | 0.18u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 44.4% | 0.333 | 0.17u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 70.6% | 0.447 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 1.63 | 70.6% | 0.147 | 0.06u | Won | +0.04u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 44.6% | 0.716 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 71.4% | 0.607 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 44.6% | 0.218 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 70.6% | 0.320 | 0.25u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 44.6% | 0.329 | 0.20u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.60 | 44.6% | 0.993 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home win | away | 4.40 | 44.4% | 1.444 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 1.61 | 71.4% | 0.147 | 0.06u | Won | +0.04u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.6% | 0.194 | 0.06u | Won | +0.07u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 44.6% | 0.273 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 70.6% | 0.412 | 0.34u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.30 | 44.6% | 0.827 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 44.6% | 0.467 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 3.50 | 44.4% | 0.944 | 0.57u | Won | +1.43u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 71.4% | 0.500 | 0.27u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 44.6% | 0.633 | 0.28u | Won | +0.55u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 44.6% | 0.301 | 0.10u | Won | +0.14u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 50.8% | 0.627 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 55.6% | 0.222 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.50 | 55.6% | 0.944 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 70.6% | 0.271 | 0.11u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 3.50 | 44.4% | 0.944 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 44.6% | 0.163 | 0.07u | Won | +0.08u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 55.6% | 0.167 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 100.0% | 0.769 | 1.20u | Won | +0.92u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 44.6% | 0.495 | 0.42u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 44.6% | 0.273 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 44.6% | 0.301 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | away | 4.10 | 44.6% | 1.270 | 1.06u | Won | +3.29u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 55.6% | 0.333 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 71.4% | 0.536 | 0.38u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 44.6% | 0.882 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 1.69 | 70.6% | 0.193 | 0.24u | Won | +0.17u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 55.6% | 0.250 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 50.8% | 0.119 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.8% | 0.348 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.60 | 70.6% | 1.541 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 5.00 | 50.8% | 1.542 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 55.6% | 0.333 | 0.06u | Won | +0.08u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 50.8% | 0.525 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 44.6% | 0.578 | 0.15u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 5.00 | 50.8% | 1.542 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 70.6% | 1.047 | 0.48u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 4.50 | 44.6% | 1.491 | 0.59u | Won | +2.07u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.8% | 0.348 | 0.06u | Won | +0.10u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 44.6% | 0.301 | 0.05u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 71.4% | 0.310 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 60.0% | 1.040 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.90 | 60.0% | 1.340 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 4.40 | 60.0% | 1.640 | 0.53u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 60.0% | 0.470 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 4.20 | 60.0% | 1.520 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 60.0% | 0.530 | 0.55u | Won | +0.85u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 45.6% | 0.143 | 0.05u | Won | +0.06u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.69 | 100.0% | 0.690 | 1.20u | Won | +0.83u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 60.0% | 0.350 | 0.19u | Won | +0.24u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.