All Sports Performance
BU
BUNDESLIGA
soccer • Performance Deep Dive
Games
Historic
Upcoming
Players
Injuries
Accuracy
58.5%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.582
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.6964
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2441
Probability calibration
147 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
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Recommendation Win Rate
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Universe ROI
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Universe Win Rate
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Model:
LightGBMModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
45.2%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.567
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
1.0524
Lower is better
Brier
Score
N/A (multiclass)
Probability calibration
163 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
LightGBMModel
Calibration:
none (multiclass)