All Sports Performance
EU

EUROPA-LEAGUE

soccer • Performance Deep Dive

Games Historic Upcoming Players Injuries
Accuracy
61.3%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC
0.564

Discrimination score

Log Loss
0.6143

Lower is better

Brier Score
0.2146

Probability calibration

93 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

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Betting Simulation

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Recommendation ROI
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Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
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Model: CatBoostModel
Calibration: platt
Accuracy
47.8%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC
0.557

Discrimination score

Log Loss
1.0382

Lower is better

Brier Score
N/A (multiclass)

Probability calibration

121 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

Tipper+ required

Tipper membership required

Unlock fold-level charts to identify training stability.

Become a Tipper

Betting Simulation

Tipper+
Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�

Tipper membership required

Become a Tipper
Model: CatBoostModel
Calibration: none (multiclass)