All Sports Performance
AD TEST MODE
PERFORMANCE HEADER
Mock Placement 728x90
ME
MENS-COLLEGE-BASKETBALL
basketball • Performance Deep Dive
Games
Historic
Upcoming
Players
Injuries
Accuracy
68.1%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.535
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.6026
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2078
Probability calibration
100 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
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Recommendation Win Rate
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Universe ROI
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Universe Win Rate
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Tipper membership required
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Model:
LightGBMModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
56.8%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.528
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.6726
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2401
Probability calibration
100 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
CatBoostModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
57.3%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.531
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.6724
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2400
Probability calibration
100 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
CatBoostModel
Calibration:
platt