All Sports Performance
AD TEST MODE
PERFORMANCE HEADER
Mock Placement 728x90
ML
MLB
baseball • Performance Deep Dive
Games
Historic
Upcoming
Players
Injuries
Accuracy
54.4%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.543
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.6865
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2468
Probability calibration
97 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
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Recommendation Win Rate
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Universe ROI
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Universe Win Rate
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Model:
CatBoostModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
55.6%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.549
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.6834
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2452
Probability calibration
95 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
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Model:
CatBoostModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
54.9%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.550
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.6851
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2460
Probability calibration
95 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
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Model:
CatBoostModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
41.1%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.539
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
1.0838
Lower is better
Brier
Score
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Probability calibration
232 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
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Tipper membership required
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Model:
LightGBMModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
40.7%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.491
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
1.3359
Lower is better
Brier
Score
�
Probability calibration
223 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
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Tipper membership required
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Model:
LogisticRegressionModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
53.5%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.544
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.6882
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2476
Probability calibration
141 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
LightGBMModel
Calibration:
platt