All Sports Performance
NB
NBA
basketball • Performance Deep Dive
Games
Historic
Upcoming
Players
Injuries
Accuracy
53.0%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.504
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.7004
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2521
Probability calibration
150 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
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Recommendation Win Rate
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Universe ROI
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Universe Win Rate
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Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
XGBoostModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
50.2%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.503
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.7088
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2563
Probability calibration
150 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
XGBoostModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
50.2%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.501
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.7081
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2561
Probability calibration
150 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
XGBoostModel
Calibration:
platt