All Sports Performance
NH
NHL
hockey • Performance Deep Dive
Games
Historic
Upcoming
Players
Injuries
Accuracy
51.5%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.509
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.7018
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2532
Probability calibration
154 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
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Recommendation Win Rate
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Universe ROI
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Universe Win Rate
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Tipper membership required
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Model:
XGBoostModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
48.4%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.495
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.7148
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2564
Probability calibration
121 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
XGBoostModel
Calibration:
platt
Accuracy
49.9%
Out-of-sample
AUC-ROC
0.497
Discrimination score
Log
Loss
0.7179
Lower is better
Brier
Score
0.2573
Probability calibration
121 validation folds
Fold-by-Fold Metrics
Tipper+ requiredBetting Simulation
Tipper+Recommendation ROI
�
Recommendation Win Rate
�
Universe ROI
�
Universe Win Rate
�
Tipper membership required
Become a Tipper
Model:
XGBoostModel
Calibration:
platt