Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Mariners Rays	First3 result	away	3.25	45.6%	0.135	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.8%	0.353	0.63u	Won	+1.76u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.59	42.3%	0.096	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Brewers Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.60	38.1%	0.058	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Athletics Nationals	First3 result	home	2.70	49.1%	0.325	0.96u	Won	+1.63u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.03	53.4%	0.085	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Reds Braves	First3 result	home	2.89	41.5%	0.199	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Padres Rockies	First3 result	home	2.28	48.1%	0.096	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Jun 1, 2017	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.00	38.0%	0.114	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	home	2.31	51.2%	0.183	0.70u	Won	+0.92u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Royals Tigers	First3 result	home	3.00	48.0%	0.440	1.10u	Lost	-1.10u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.34	51.0%	0.194	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Indians Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.6%	0.444	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	home	2.45	48.8%	0.196	0.68u	Won	+0.99u
May 29, 2017	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	home	2.95	53.6%	0.582	1.20u	Won	+2.34u
May 29, 2017	mlb	Rockies Mariners	First3 result	away	2.88	57.1%	0.235	0.60u	Won	+1.13u
May 28, 2017	mlb	Yankees Athletics	First3 result	away	2.84	41.0%	0.092	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 28, 2017	mlb	Nationals Padres	First3 result	away	2.95	36.6%	0.129	0.33u	Won	+0.64u
May 28, 2017	mlb	Twins Rays	First3 result	home	2.00	61.3%	0.227	1.13u	Lost	-1.13u
May 27, 2017	mlb	Nationals Padres	First3 result	home	2.03	65.1%	0.321	1.20u	Won	+1.24u
May 27, 2017	mlb	Yankees Athletics	First3 result	away	3.30	47.2%	0.269	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 26, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Mariners	First3 result	away	3.20	43.8%	0.160	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	First3 result	away	2.79	48.4%	0.441	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Braves Pirates	First3 result	away	2.55	33.9%	0.119	0.18u	Won	+0.28u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks White Sox	First3 result	away	3.60	40.9%	0.219	0.42u	Won	+1.09u
May 23, 2017	mlb	Brewers Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.56	47.7%	0.222	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
May 23, 2017	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	away	3.15	44.8%	0.202	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 23, 2017	mlb	Braves Pirates	First3 result	away	3.05	40.4%	0.275	0.67u	Won	+1.37u
May 22, 2017	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	away	2.88	38.6%	0.246	0.65u	Won	+1.22u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.88	37.0%	0.257	0.68u	Won	+1.28u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	away	2.82	38.4%	0.239	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Rays Yankees	First3 result	away	2.60	38.6%	0.106	0.33u	Won	+0.53u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Marlins	First3 result	away	2.45	38.5%	0.089	0.31u	Won	+0.45u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Astros Indians	First3 result	home	3.00	37.2%	0.115	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Pirates Phillies	First3 result	away	2.55	40.2%	0.082	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Rays Yankees	First3 result	away	2.58	37.8%	0.114	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Athletics Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.20	37.1%	0.343	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Reds Rockies	First3 result	home	2.58	50.8%	0.311	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Rangers Phillies	First3 result	away	2.28	35.0%	0.065	0.25u	Won	+0.32u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Braves Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.83	36.1%	0.311	0.85u	Won	+1.56u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Royals Yankees	First3 result	away	2.88	36.9%	0.228	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.62	38.9%	0.143	0.44u	Won	+0.71u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Tigers Orioles	First3 result	home	2.45	45.7%	0.120	0.39u	Won	+0.57u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	home	2.64	50.0%	0.319	0.97u	Won	+1.59u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Rangers Phillies	First3 result	home	2.53	48.0%	0.213	0.70u	Won	+1.07u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	home	2.40	51.6%	0.239	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Cubs Reds	First3 result	away	2.73	40.1%	0.169	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 15, 2017	mlb	Angels White Sox	First3 result	away	2.48	39.0%	0.061	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 15, 2017	mlb	Marlins Astros	First3 result	away	2.88	37.4%	0.279	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
May 14, 2017	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	away	2.85	42.4%	0.158	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 14, 2017	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	away	2.95	38.9%	0.236	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 14, 2017	mlb	Royals Orioles	First3 result	away	2.70	43.8%	0.054	0.16u	Won	+0.27u
May 13, 2017	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	away	3.14	41.3%	0.245	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
May 12, 2017	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.85	38.8%	0.106	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 11, 2017	mlb	White Sox Twins	First3 result	away	2.42	34.1%	0.143	0.50u	Won	+0.71u
May 10, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Indians	First3 result	home	2.43	46.4%	0.128	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 10, 2017	mlb	Mets Giants	First3 result	away	2.83	38.2%	0.211	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 10, 2017	mlb	Rays Royals	First3 result	away	2.65	38.7%	0.150	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
May 10, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Pirates	First3 result	away	2.88	39.6%	0.232	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 9, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Tigers	First3 result	home	2.32	45.7%	0.059	0.22u	Won	+0.29u
May 9, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Indians	First3 result	home	2.37	45.6%	0.080	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 9, 2017	mlb	White Sox Twins	First3 result	home	2.45	46.9%	0.149	0.51u	Won	+0.74u
May 9, 2017	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	home	2.65	43.4%	0.150	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
May 8, 2017	mlb	Padres Rangers	First3 result	away	3.18	43.1%	0.091	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 7, 2017	mlb	Cubs Yankees	First3 result	home	2.65	45.4%	0.203	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 6, 2017	mlb	Twins Red Sox	First3 result	home	3.10	41.2%	0.277	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
May 5, 2017	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.49	47.1%	0.172	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 5, 2017	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.63	40.6%	0.067	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 5, 2017	mlb	Reds Giants	First3 result	home	2.56	41.2%	0.056	0.18u	Won	+0.28u
May 4, 2017	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First3 result	away	3.57	43.9%	0.176	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
May 3, 2017	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.27	46.4%	0.054	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 3, 2017	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First3 result	home	2.41	46.2%	0.114	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 2, 2017	mlb	Twins Athletics	First3 result	away	2.80	39.8%	0.092	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 2, 2017	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.10	42.0%	0.124	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 1, 2017	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	away	3.25	41.4%	0.189	0.42u	Won	+0.95u
May 1, 2017	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.00	42.7%	0.052	0.13u	Won	+0.26u
Apr 28, 2017	mlb	Brewers Braves	First3 result	away	2.80	39.7%	0.099	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Apr 27, 2017	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	away	2.88	40.9%	0.080	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 27, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.69	39.6%	0.064	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 26, 2017	mlb	Indians Astros	First3 result	home	2.42	47.1%	0.139	0.49u	Won	+0.70u
Mar 31, 2026	mlb	Marlins White Sox	Total over	under	1.98	43.5%	0.120	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Mar 30, 2026	mlb	Astros Red Sox	Total over	under	1.98	43.5%	0.119	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Mar 30, 2026	mlb	Mariners Yankees	Total over	under	1.98	43.5%	0.120	0.61u	Won	+0.60u
Mar 30, 2026	mlb	Reds Pirates	Total over	under	1.97	43.4%	0.115	0.58u	Won	+0.56u
Mar 29, 2026	mlb	Marlins Rockies	Total over	under	1.93	43.4%	0.091	0.14u	Won	+0.13u
Mar 29, 2026	mlb	Braves Royals	Total over	under	1.98	43.4%	0.121	0.62u	Won	+0.61u
Mar 29, 2026	mlb	Astros Angels	Total over	under	1.93	43.3%	0.092	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Mar 29, 2026	mlb	Cubs Nationals	Total over	under	1.95	43.4%	0.105	0.55u	Won	+0.52u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Giants Yankees	Total over	under	1.96	43.3%	0.112	0.53u	Won	+0.51u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Cubs Nationals	Total over	under	2.00	43.4%	0.133	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Mar 28, 2026	mlb	Mets Pirates	Total over	under	1.98	43.4%	0.120	0.61u	Won	+0.60u
Mar 27, 2026	mlb	Marlins Rockies	Total over	under	1.98	43.4%	0.120	0.61u	Won	+0.60u
Mar 27, 2026	mlb	Braves Royals	Total over	under	2.00	43.2%	0.136	0.68u	Won	+0.68u
Mar 27, 2026	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	Total over	under	1.95	43.4%	0.105	0.51u	Won	+0.49u
Mar 26, 2026	mlb	Mets Pirates	Total over	under	1.95	43.3%	0.106	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Mar 26, 2026	mlb	Astros Angels	Total over	under	1.95	43.3%	0.106	0.56u	Won	+0.53u
Mar 26, 2026	mlb	Cubs Nationals	Total over	under	1.98	43.4%	0.121	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Mar 26, 2026	mlb	Phillies Rangers	Total over	under	1.95	41.8%	0.137	0.30u	Won	+0.29u
Mar 26, 2026	mlb	Brewers White Sox	Total over	under	1.95	42.1%	0.130	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Mar 25, 2026	mlb	Giants Yankees	Total over	under	1.98	43.4%	0.121	0.62u	Won	+0.61u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.