Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Mar 29, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.1%	0.330	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
Nov 1, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.6%	0.271	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 31, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	19.8%	0.318	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Oct 28, 2017	mlb	Astros Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.5%	0.278	0.50u	Won	+1.40u
Oct 27, 2017	mlb	Astros Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.6%	0.274	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Oct 24, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.0%	0.516	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Oct 21, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First3 result	away	2.38	21.8%	0.269	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
Oct 20, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.3%	0.760	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Oct 19, 2017	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.3%	0.092	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Oct 18, 2017	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.2%	0.122	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Oct 15, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.0%	0.447	0.80u	Won	+2.24u
Oct 14, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.5%	0.908	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Oct 14, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	26.2%	0.464	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Oct 13, 2017	mlb	Astros Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	25.1%	0.215	0.38u	Won	+1.06u
Oct 11, 2017	mlb	Cubs Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.3%	0.179	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Oct 9, 2017	mlb	Yankees Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	47.3%	0.099	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Oct 9, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.2%	0.236	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Oct 9, 2017	mlb	Cubs Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.3%	0.545	0.97u	Won	+2.72u
Oct 8, 2017	mlb	Yankees Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.298	0.53u	Won	+1.48u
Oct 8, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	51.0%	0.289	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Oct 7, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.1%	0.270	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 7, 2017	mlb	Nationals Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.495	0.88u	Won	+2.46u
Oct 6, 2017	mlb	Indians Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	1.016	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 6, 2017	mlb	Nationals Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.6%	0.329	0.59u	Won	+1.65u
Oct 4, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	49.2%	0.376	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Oct 3, 2017	mlb	Yankees Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.6%	0.139	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Oct 1, 2017	mlb	Angels Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.1%	0.919	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Oct 1, 2017	mlb	Giants Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.0%	0.372	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 30, 2017	mlb	Rays Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.708	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Sep 30, 2017	mlb	Royals Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.715	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Sep 29, 2017	mlb	Cubs Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.656	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 29, 2017	mlb	Angels Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.4%	0.953	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 28, 2017	mlb	Marlins Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	59.0%	0.557	1.00u	Lost	-1.00u
Sep 28, 2017	mlb	Royals Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	48.8%	0.393	0.70u	Won	+1.96u
Sep 28, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.2%	0.358	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Sep 27, 2017	mlb	Royals Tigers	First3 result	away	2.25	16.0%	0.581	0.60u	Won	+0.75u
Sep 27, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.89	55.1%	0.592	1.20u	Won	+2.27u
Sep 26, 2017	mlb	Brewers Reds	First3 result	away	3.05	40.9%	0.074	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 26, 2017	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First3 result	home	2.59	40.9%	0.060	0.19u	Won	+0.30u
Sep 26, 2017	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	away	3.11	40.9%	0.096	0.23u	Won	+0.49u
Sep 26, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	First3 result	home	2.69	40.9%	0.101	0.30u	Won	+0.51u
Sep 25, 2017	mlb	White Sox Angels	First3 result	home	2.95	40.9%	0.207	0.53u	Won	+1.03u
Sep 25, 2017	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	away	3.38	41.0%	0.190	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 24, 2017	mlb	White Sox Royals	First3 result	home	2.74	40.9%	0.122	0.35u	Won	+0.61u
Sep 24, 2017	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	home	2.80	40.9%	0.146	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Sep 24, 2017	mlb	Mariners Indians	First3 result	away	3.94	40.9%	0.388	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Sep 24, 2017	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	home	2.68	40.9%	0.097	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Sep 23, 2017	mlb	Mariners Indians	First3 result	home	2.74	40.9%	0.122	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Sep 23, 2017	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	home	2.64	40.9%	0.081	0.25u	Won	+0.41u
Sep 22, 2017	mlb	Reds Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.61	41.0%	0.069	0.21u	Won	+0.34u
Sep 22, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	away	3.05	40.9%	0.075	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 21, 2017	mlb	Phillies Dodgers	First3 result	away	3.70	40.9%	0.304	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Sep 21, 2017	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	home	2.90	40.9%	0.187	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Sep 21, 2017	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	home	2.71	40.9%	0.110	0.32u	Won	+0.55u
Sep 20, 2017	mlb	Giants Rockies	First3 result	away	3.69	40.9%	0.301	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Sep 20, 2017	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	away	4.02	40.9%	0.416	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Sep 20, 2017	mlb	Astros White Sox	First3 result	home	3.30	40.9%	0.350	0.76u	Won	+1.75u
Sep 19, 2017	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First3 result	away	3.31	40.9%	0.167	0.36u	Won	+0.83u
Sep 19, 2017	mlb	Astros White Sox	First3 result	home	2.85	40.9%	0.167	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Sep 18, 2017	mlb	Marlins Mets	First3 result	home	3.92	40.9%	0.605	1.04u	Won	+3.04u
Sep 17, 2017	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	away	3.04	40.9%	0.071	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Sep 17, 2017	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.98	40.9%	0.403	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Sep 17, 2017	mlb	Astros Mariners	First3 result	away	2.98	40.9%	0.050	0.13u	Won	+0.26u
Sep 15, 2017	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	away	3.81	40.9%	0.342	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Sep 15, 2017	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.86	40.9%	0.171	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Sep 13, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Athletics	First3 result	away	3.67	40.9%	0.293	0.55u	Won	+1.47u
Sep 13, 2017	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	home	3.03	40.9%	0.241	0.19u	Won	+0.39u
Sep 13, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First3 result	away	3.71	40.9%	0.307	0.57u	Won	+1.54u
Sep 13, 2017	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	away	3.55	40.9%	0.250	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Sep 12, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.4%	0.241	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Sep 12, 2017	mlb	Angels Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.6%	0.235	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Sep 12, 2017	mlb	Indians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.3%	0.222	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Sep 12, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.2%	0.224	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 12, 2017	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.9%	0.252	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Sep 11, 2017	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First3 result	home	2.61	48.6%	0.267	0.83u	Won	+1.34u
Sep 11, 2017	mlb	Rays Yankees	First3 result	away	4.28	45.4%	0.245	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Sep 11, 2017	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	home	2.28	48.4%	0.103	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 10, 2017	mlb	Royals Twins	First3 result	away	2.81	42.2%	0.625	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Sep 10, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	57.0%	0.632	1.13u	Lost	-1.13u
Sep 9, 2017	mlb	White Sox Giants	First3 result	away	2.73	41.3%	0.601	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 9, 2017	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	away	2.54	21.3%	1.000	1.20u	Won	+1.85u
Sep 8, 2017	mlb	Braves Marlins	First3 result	away	2.70	34.2%	0.283	0.60u	Won	+1.02u
Sep 8, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First3 result	away	4.23	34.9%	0.987	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 7, 2017	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	home	4.05	47.5%	0.925	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 7, 2017	mlb	Braves Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.7%	0.321	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Sep 6, 2017	mlb	Braves Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.3%	0.262	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Sep 6, 2017	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.6%	0.256	0.13u	Won	+0.36u
Sep 6, 2017	mlb	White Sox Indians	First3 result	home	3.29	49.6%	0.633	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 5, 2017	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	home	3.37	47.3%	0.594	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 5, 2017	mlb	White Sox Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.6%	0.342	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 4, 2017	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	home	4.09	57.1%	1.335	1.20u	Won	+3.71u
Sep 4, 2017	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	home	2.58	50.2%	0.295	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 3, 2017	mlb	Twins Royals	First3 result	away	3.36	33.8%	0.605	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 3, 2017	mlb	Giants Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.80	48.4%	0.356	0.60u	Won	+1.08u
Sep 2, 2017	mlb	Astros Mets	First3 result	home	3.73	48.0%	0.790	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 2, 2017	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	home	3.68	47.1%	0.734	0.60u	Won	+1.61u
Sep 1, 2017	mlb	Cubs Braves	First3 result	home	2.74	46.2%	0.266	0.60u	Won	+1.04u
Sep 1, 2017	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	home	3.11	48.6%	0.513	1.20u	Won	+2.53u
Aug 31, 2017	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.268	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Aug 31, 2017	mlb	Reds Mets	First3 result	away	2.73	42.2%	0.577	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.