Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jul 13, 2018	mlb	Twins Rays	First3 result	away	3.27	37.6%	0.304	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Orioles Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Indians Yankees	First3 result	home	2.91	39.7%	0.157	0.20u	Won	+0.38u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 11, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 11, 2018	mlb	White Sox Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 11, 2018	mlb	Giants Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 11, 2018	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	away	4.28	44.9%	0.391	0.60u	Won	+1.97u
Jul 10, 2018	mlb	Astros Athletics	First3 result	home	2.67	53.6%	0.431	1.20u	Won	+2.00u
Jul 10, 2018	mlb	Angels Mariners	First3 result	home	2.46	54.5%	0.342	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 9, 2018	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	home	2.61	54.5%	0.424	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 9, 2018	mlb	Rays Tigers	First3 result	home	2.92	53.6%	0.565	1.20u	Won	+2.30u
Jul 8, 2018	mlb	Angels Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jul 8, 2018	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First3 result	home	3.06	54.5%	0.669	1.20u	Won	+2.47u
Jul 8, 2018	mlb	Twins Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 7, 2018	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 7, 2018	mlb	Cubs Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jul 7, 2018	mlb	Astros White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 7, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 7, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 6, 2018	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First3 result	away	3.45	35.8%	0.306	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Jul 6, 2018	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jul 6, 2018	mlb	Pirates Phillies	First3 result	home	4.10	33.0%	0.351	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jul 6, 2018	mlb	Brewers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 5, 2018	mlb	Twins Orioles	First3 result	away	3.81	53.6%	0.131	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Jul 4, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jul 4, 2018	mlb	Athletics Padres	First3 result	home	3.28	54.5%	0.789	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 4, 2018	mlb	Reds White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 3, 2018	mlb	Athletics Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.346	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Jul 3, 2018	mlb	Cubs Tigers	First3 result	away	3.05	10.7%	1.451	1.20u	Won	+2.46u
Jul 2, 2018	mlb	Yankees Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.347	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jul 2, 2018	mlb	Reds White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.345	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Jul 2, 2018	mlb	Marlins Rays	First3 result	home	3.38	43.0%	0.452	0.95u	Won	+2.26u
Jul 1, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First3 result	away	2.51	10.7%	1.016	1.20u	Won	+1.81u
Jul 1, 2018	mlb	Padres Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.346	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 30, 2018	mlb	Mariners Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.344	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 30, 2018	mlb	Rays Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.341	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 30, 2018	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.340	0.58u	Won	+1.62u
Jun 29, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.343	0.57u	Won	+1.60u
Jun 29, 2018	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.345	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 29, 2018	mlb	Athletics Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.343	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 28, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.7%	0.152	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
Jun 28, 2018	mlb	White Sox Twins	First3 result	away	2.46	25.9%	0.295	1.01u	Lost	-1.01u
Jun 28, 2018	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.343	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 27, 2018	mlb	Giants Rockies	First3 result	away	2.31	25.9%	0.217	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jun 27, 2018	mlb	Phillies Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.345	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 27, 2018	mlb	Braves Reds	First3 result	away	2.35	25.9%	0.237	0.88u	Won	+1.19u
Jun 26, 2018	mlb	Brewers Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.7%	0.155	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jun 26, 2018	mlb	Phillies Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.343	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 26, 2018	mlb	Rays Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.6%	0.153	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jun 26, 2018	mlb	Mets Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.342	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 25, 2018	mlb	Rays Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.344	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 25, 2018	mlb	Phillies Yankees	First3 result	away	2.54	25.9%	0.339	0.58u	Won	+0.89u
Jun 25, 2018	mlb	Astros Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.341	0.61u	Won	+1.71u
Jun 24, 2018	mlb	Braves Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.343	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 24, 2018	mlb	Indians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.344	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 24, 2018	mlb	Mets Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.343	0.58u	Won	+1.62u
Jun 23, 2018	mlb	Angels Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.60	25.9%	0.369	1.02u	Won	+1.63u
Jun 23, 2018	mlb	Giants Padres	First3 result	away	3.91	34.4%	0.452	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Jun 22, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.347	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 22, 2018	mlb	Mets Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.9%	0.714	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Jun 21, 2018	mlb	Yankees Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.346	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 21, 2018	mlb	Rockies Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.345	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 21, 2018	mlb	Giants Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.342	0.56u	Won	+1.57u
Jun 20, 2018	mlb	Indians White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.346	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 20, 2018	mlb	Yankees Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.9%	0.344	0.61u	Won	+1.71u
Jun 20, 2018	mlb	Nationals Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.341	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jun 19, 2018	mlb	Astros Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.4%	0.335	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Jun 19, 2018	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Jun 19, 2018	mlb	Padres Athletics	First3 result	away	3.17	40.2%	0.108	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jun 19, 2018	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.71	25.0%	0.189	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Jun 19, 2018	mlb	Angels Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.75	40.2%	0.106	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jun 18, 2018	mlb	Rockies Mets	First3 result	away	3.40	43.9%	0.116	0.24u	Won	+0.58u
Jun 18, 2018	mlb	Astros Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.089	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 18, 2018	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.47	43.9%	0.140	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jun 18, 2018	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
Jun 17, 2018	mlb	Brewers Phillies	First3 result	home	3.19	40.2%	0.283	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Jun 17, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.4%	0.335	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 17, 2018	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	away	3.12	31.0%	0.260	0.55u	Won	+1.17u
Jun 16, 2018	mlb	Pirates Reds	First3 result	away	3.84	31.0%	0.550	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Jun 16, 2018	mlb	Orioles Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.579	1.03u	Lost	-1.03u
Jun 15, 2018	mlb	Indians Twins	First3 result	away	2.93	33.8%	0.134	0.35u	Won	+0.68u
Jun 15, 2018	mlb	Royals Astros	First3 result	home	3.01	40.2%	0.211	0.52u	Won	+1.05u
Jun 15, 2018	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.4%	0.335	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 15, 2018	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	away	3.22	40.2%	0.126	0.28u	Won	+0.62u
Jun 14, 2018	mlb	Yankees Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 14, 2018	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.089	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 14, 2018	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 14, 2018	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 13, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.4%	0.334	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 13, 2018	mlb	Yankees Nationals	First3 result	home	3.51	43.9%	0.539	1.07u	Won	+2.69u
Jun 13, 2018	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.84	40.2%	0.143	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Jun 12, 2018	mlb	Athletics Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.089	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 12, 2018	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.53	43.9%	0.110	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 12, 2018	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 11, 2018	mlb	White Sox Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.089	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
Jun 11, 2018	mlb	Mariners Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	25.0%	0.184	0.33u	Won	+0.92u
Jun 10, 2018	mlb	Marlins Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.4%	0.335	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.