Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 26, 2018	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	2.87	31.9%	0.270	0.72u	Won	+1.35u
Apr 25, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	First3 result	away	4.16	36.0%	0.678	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Apr 25, 2018	mlb	Rockies Padres	First3 result	away	2.51	28.8%	0.211	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Apr 24, 2018	mlb	White Sox Mariners	First3 result	away	2.39	23.6%	0.441	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 24, 2018	mlb	Reds Braves	First3 result	away	3.33	36.8%	0.289	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Giants Nationals	First3 result	away	2.67	23.6%	0.609	1.20u	Won	+2.00u
Apr 23, 2018	mlb	Yankees Twins	First3 result	away	3.22	37.1%	0.240	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	60.7%	0.493	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First3 result	home	3.25	36.7%	0.191	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Apr 22, 2018	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First3 result	away	3.10	36.7%	0.202	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Brewers Marlins	First3 result	away	2.99	36.3%	0.167	0.42u	Won	+0.84u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Athletics Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.52	61.0%	0.536	1.20u	Won	+1.82u
Apr 21, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First3 result	away	2.91	36.2%	0.137	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 20, 2018	mlb	White Sox Astros	First3 result	away	2.89	36.6%	0.122	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 20, 2018	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	away	2.00	23.6%	0.205	1.02u	Won	+1.02u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.78	37.6%	0.061	0.17u	Won	+0.30u
Apr 18, 2018	mlb	Angels Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.02	36.6%	0.173	0.43u	Won	+0.87u
Apr 17, 2018	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.75	36.9%	0.447	0.81u	Won	+2.23u
Apr 16, 2018	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	away	3.81	37.1%	0.467	0.83u	Won	+2.33u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	away	2.91	36.6%	0.131	0.34u	Won	+0.65u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.71	37.0%	0.433	0.80u	Won	+2.17u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First3 result	away	2.78	36.2%	0.088	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Padres Giants	First3 result	home	2.96	36.8%	0.088	0.22u	Won	+0.43u
Apr 15, 2018	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First3 result	away	2.88	37.2%	0.106	0.28u	Won	+0.53u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First3 result	away	2.99	36.3%	0.168	0.42u	Won	+0.84u
Apr 14, 2018	mlb	Rays Phillies	First3 result	away	2.77	36.4%	0.079	0.22u	Won	+0.39u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Rays Phillies	First3 result	away	3.14	23.8%	0.888	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 13, 2018	mlb	Indians Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.13	36.3%	0.220	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	away	3.00	36.3%	0.170	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Apr 12, 2018	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	away	2.86	36.9%	0.106	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Apr 11, 2018	mlb	Royals Mariners	First3 result	away	2.40	9.4%	1.018	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
Apr 11, 2018	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	away	3.46	36.6%	0.342	0.60u	Won	+1.48u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.8%	0.250	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First3 result	away	2.75	20.3%	0.283	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Royals Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.7%	0.260	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	away	3.01	36.7%	0.055	0.14u	Won	+0.28u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.84	38.3%	0.104	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Apr 10, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First3 result	home	2.71	39.9%	0.081	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	11.3%	0.451	0.64u	Won	+1.79u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.651	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.98	41.5%	0.237	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Nationals Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.6%	0.169	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Phillies Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.140	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 9, 2018	mlb	Marlins Mets	First3 result	away	3.42	41.9%	0.203	0.42u	Won	+1.02u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.652	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Rockies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.652	1.17u	Won	+3.28u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.4%	0.324	0.58u	Won	+1.62u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.138	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Rockies Braves	First3 result	home	3.60	34.1%	0.227	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Apr 8, 2018	mlb	Astros Padres	First3 result	away	3.36	38.3%	0.232	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Rockies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	11.2%	0.472	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Nationals Mets	First3 result	away	3.53	21.7%	0.596	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.0%	0.549	0.98u	Won	+2.74u
Apr 7, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.2%	0.381	0.68u	Won	+1.90u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Angels Athletics	First3 result	away	3.44	0.0%	0.979	1.20u	Won	+2.93u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Astros Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.0%	0.293	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.8%	0.100	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 6, 2018	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.1%	0.144	0.26u	Won	+0.73u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.648	1.16u	Won	+3.25u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	19.9%	0.304	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.4%	0.287	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.166	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Padres Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.137	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	away	3.19	37.1%	0.279	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 5, 2018	mlb	Twins Mariners	First3 result	away	3.13	37.6%	0.194	0.46u	Won	+0.98u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Angels Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	11.2%	0.454	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.6%	0.276	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First3 result	away	2.90	22.0%	0.325	0.86u	Won	+1.63u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	home	2.84	40.9%	0.161	0.44u	Won	+0.81u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Astros Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.4%	0.353	0.63u	Won	+1.76u
Apr 4, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.20	35.3%	0.273	0.62u	Won	+1.36u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Marlins Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.14	37.2%	0.131	0.31u	Won	+0.66u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Padres Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.5%	0.279	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	19.8%	0.318	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Angels Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.2%	0.108	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 3, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.9%	0.231	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	19.7%	0.329	0.59u	Won	+1.65u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.6%	0.266	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Angels Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.6%	0.273	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Tigers Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.5%	0.279	0.50u	Won	+1.40u
Apr 2, 2018	mlb	Pirates Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.6%	0.386	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.6%	0.269	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.4%	0.295	0.53u	Won	+1.48u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First3 result	home	2.87	46.5%	0.334	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Mariners Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.6%	0.323	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Apr 1, 2018	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.211	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	home	2.89	46.5%	0.343	0.91u	Won	+1.72u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.6%	0.270	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.5%	0.282	0.50u	Won	+1.40u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.5%	0.505	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.1%	0.285	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Mar 31, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.9%	0.287	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Padres Brewers	First3 result	home	2.84	37.3%	0.059	0.16u	Won	+0.29u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	home	2.28	46.2%	0.053	0.21u	Won	+0.27u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	11.4%	0.415	0.74u	Won	+2.07u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	26.7%	0.538	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Mar 30, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.2%	0.489	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Mar 29, 2018	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	11.1%	0.478	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Mar 29, 2018	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	11.1%	0.481	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Mar 29, 2018	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	away	3.57	32.5%	0.352	0.68u	Won	+1.75u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.