Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 10, 2018	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	home	3.38	40.2%	0.360	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jun 10, 2018	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	home	3.07	43.9%	0.346	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Twins Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Athletics Royals	First3 result	away	2.90	31.0%	0.171	0.45u	Won	+0.86u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	home	2.49	43.9%	0.092	0.31u	Won	+0.46u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	home	2.66	40.2%	0.070	0.21u	Won	+0.35u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.089	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Tigers Indians	First3 result	away	3.69	40.2%	0.290	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	home	2.79	40.2%	0.123	0.34u	Won	+0.61u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Nationals Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 7, 2018	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.66	40.2%	0.070	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.090	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rays	First3 result	away	2.89	15.4%	0.429	1.14u	Lost	-1.14u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First3 result	away	3.13	40.2%	0.094	0.22u	Won	+0.47u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	25.0%	0.184	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	home	2.15	48.9%	0.051	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rays	First3 result	away	3.24	42.4%	0.078	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.0%	0.140	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	away	2.83	33.5%	0.091	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jun 4, 2018	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	home	2.79	45.3%	0.263	0.73u	Won	+1.31u
Jun 4, 2018	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	3.41	39.0%	0.331	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Jun 3, 2018	mlb	Mariners Rays	First3 result	home	2.21	48.9%	0.080	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jun 2, 2018	mlb	Mariners Rays	First3 result	home	2.36	46.9%	0.108	0.40u	Won	+0.54u
Jun 2, 2018	mlb	Royals Athletics	First3 result	home	2.29	46.7%	0.069	0.27u	Won	+0.35u
Jun 2, 2018	mlb	Padres Reds	First3 result	home	2.63	45.0%	0.182	0.56u	Won	+0.91u
Jun 1, 2018	mlb	Padres Reds	First3 result	home	2.60	48.0%	0.248	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
May 31, 2018	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	home	2.53	50.8%	0.285	0.93u	Won	+1.42u
May 31, 2018	mlb	Padres Marlins	First3 result	home	2.79	46.3%	0.293	0.82u	Won	+1.47u
May 30, 2018	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	home	3.01	47.8%	0.438	1.09u	Won	+2.19u
May 30, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First3 result	home	3.16	41.6%	0.316	0.71u	Won	+1.53u
May 28, 2018	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	home	2.59	43.3%	0.121	0.38u	Won	+0.60u
May 27, 2018	mlb	Athletics Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	3.19	36.2%	0.210	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 27, 2018	mlb	Mariners Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.082	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 27, 2018	mlb	Rockies Reds	First3 result	home	2.86	46.3%	0.324	0.87u	Won	+1.62u
May 26, 2018	mlb	Yankees Angels	First3 result	away	2.97	33.4%	0.133	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
May 23, 2018	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.06	37.3%	0.120	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 23, 2018	mlb	Astros Giants	First3 result	away	3.61	42.0%	0.207	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 22, 2018	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.685	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 22, 2018	mlb	Rangers Yankees	First3 result	home	3.01	45.3%	0.362	0.60u	Won	+1.21u
May 21, 2018	mlb	White Sox Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.2%	0.196	0.35u	Won	+0.98u
May 21, 2018	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.5%	0.161	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 21, 2018	mlb	Twins Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	26.6%	0.250	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
May 21, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	away	2.83	27.4%	0.179	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 21, 2018	mlb	Nationals Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.1%	0.202	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 20, 2018	mlb	Royals Yankees	First3 result	away	3.74	27.1%	0.542	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 20, 2018	mlb	Braves Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.682	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
May 19, 2018	mlb	Mariners Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	60.0%	0.519	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
May 19, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	away	2.88	24.2%	0.438	0.87u	Won	+1.64u
May 18, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.3%	0.187	0.33u	Won	+0.92u
May 18, 2018	mlb	Mariners Tigers	First3 result	away	2.31	20.7%	0.328	1.20u	Won	+1.57u
May 18, 2018	mlb	Astros Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.3%	0.180	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 17, 2018	mlb	White Sox Rangers	First3 result	away	2.16	24.3%	0.080	0.34u	Won	+0.39u
May 16, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.5%	0.164	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 16, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Athletics	First3 result	home	2.99	40.6%	0.215	0.54u	Won	+1.07u
May 16, 2018	mlb	Orioles Phillies	First3 result	away	2.60	32.2%	0.308	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
May 15, 2018	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	63.1%	0.401	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
May 15, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Athletics	First3 result	away	2.25	21.1%	0.317	1.08u	Won	+1.35u
May 14, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.1%	0.203	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 14, 2018	mlb	Angels Astros	First3 result	home	3.31	40.4%	0.338	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
May 13, 2018	mlb	Phillies Mets	First3 result	away	2.63	20.9%	0.524	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
May 13, 2018	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.63	36.5%	0.536	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
May 12, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First3 result	away	3.28	27.5%	0.372	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 12, 2018	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.30	64.6%	0.487	1.20u	Won	+1.56u
May 11, 2018	mlb	Pirates Giants	First3 result	away	2.61	20.8%	0.504	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 11, 2018	mlb	Rockies Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.2%	1.119	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 10, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.2%	0.192	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
May 10, 2018	mlb	Rockies Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.1%	0.204	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 10, 2018	mlb	Orioles Royals	First3 result	away	2.18	24.1%	0.081	0.34u	Won	+0.40u
May 9, 2018	mlb	Brewers Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.4%	0.175	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
May 9, 2018	mlb	Rockies Angels	First3 result	away	3.16	20.9%	0.827	1.20u	Won	+2.59u
May 9, 2018	mlb	Rays Braves	First3 result	away	2.30	32.6%	0.159	0.29u	Won	+0.38u
May 8, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First3 result	away	2.50	31.9%	0.125	0.41u	Won	+0.62u
May 7, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Twins	First3 result	away	2.99	35.7%	0.226	0.57u	Won	+1.13u
May 6, 2018	mlb	White Sox Twins	First3 result	away	2.84	36.8%	0.086	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 6, 2018	mlb	Yankees Indians	First3 result	away	2.86	39.6%	0.119	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
May 6, 2018	mlb	Braves Giants	First3 result	away	2.54	34.1%	0.069	0.22u	Won	+0.34u
May 6, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	First3 result	home	2.94	37.4%	0.100	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 5, 2018	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First3 result	home	3.04	35.6%	0.082	0.20u	Won	+0.41u
May 4, 2018	mlb	Braves Giants	First3 result	away	2.79	32.5%	0.253	0.71u	Won	+1.27u
May 4, 2018	mlb	Mets Rockies	First3 result	away	2.57	34.7%	0.078	0.25u	Won	+0.39u
May 3, 2018	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.58	34.3%	0.075	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 2, 2018	mlb	Indians Rangers	First3 result	away	3.58	35.4%	0.457	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 2, 2018	mlb	Cubs Rockies	First3 result	away	3.27	29.4%	0.526	1.16u	Won	+2.63u
May 1, 2018	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	away	3.06	34.1%	0.319	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
May 1, 2018	mlb	Cardinals White Sox	First3 result	away	3.19	36.5%	0.300	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 1, 2018	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	away	3.69	37.8%	0.431	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Apr 30, 2018	mlb	Giants Padres	First3 result	away	2.69	31.2%	0.220	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Apr 30, 2018	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	away	2.63	33.4%	0.087	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Apr 30, 2018	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First3 result	away	2.51	31.7%	0.143	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Apr 30, 2018	mlb	Indians Rangers	First3 result	away	3.10	43.5%	0.054	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 29, 2018	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	away	2.84	33.0%	0.204	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Apr 29, 2018	mlb	Twins Reds	First3 result	away	2.69	35.5%	0.118	0.35u	Won	+0.59u
Apr 29, 2018	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	away	3.09	35.4%	0.244	0.58u	Won	+1.21u
Apr 28, 2018	mlb	Astros Athletics	First3 result	away	3.04	37.2%	0.226	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Apr 28, 2018	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	away	2.91	29.7%	0.316	0.83u	Won	+1.59u
Apr 27, 2018	mlb	Twins Reds	First3 result	away	2.54	33.4%	0.097	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Apr 27, 2018	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	away	3.16	33.7%	0.354	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Apr 27, 2018	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First3 result	away	2.61	33.7%	0.078	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 26, 2018	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	away	2.59	33.1%	0.121	0.38u	Won	+0.60u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.