Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.43 | 62.4% | 0.290 | 0.60u | Won | +1.46u |
| Sep 29, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.5% | 0.253 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Sep 29, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
First3 result | home | 3.07 | 44.2% | 0.358 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Sep 29, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
First3 result | home | 3.42 | 40.9% | 0.400 | 0.83u | Won | +2.01u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 3.13 | 40.0% | 0.251 | 0.59u | Won | +1.26u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 2.19 | 61.2% | 0.341 | 1.20u | Won | +1.43u |
| Sep 27, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.5% | 0.227 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 27, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.2% | 0.192 | 0.34u | Won | +0.95u |
| Sep 27, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.6% | 0.205 | 0.37u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.1% | 0.248 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 2.05 | 62.7% | 0.285 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 40.0% | 0.251 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 2.68 | 44.4% | 0.191 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 4.22 | 43.0% | 0.510 | 0.79u | Won | +2.54u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 2.88 | 43.1% | 0.242 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 24, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 2.66 | 43.8% | 0.165 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 24, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
First3 result | home | 2.94 | 41.3% | 0.215 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Sep 24, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
First3 result | away | 3.29 | 41.3% | 0.221 | 0.48u | Won | +1.10u |
| Sep 24, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
First3 result | away | 3.16 | 42.5% | 0.161 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.59 | 42.2% | 0.279 | 0.54u | Won | +1.40u |
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 2.71 | 43.2% | 0.170 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
First3 result | away | 2.88 | 39.4% | 0.081 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 3.07 | 41.9% | 0.123 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 3.65 | 44.1% | 0.298 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 3.73 | 43.6% | 0.343 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.39 | 41.7% | 0.253 | 0.53u | Won | +1.27u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 3.62 | 41.3% | 0.370 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 2.76 | 42.7% | 0.178 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.32 | 41.9% | 0.192 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 20, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
First3 result | away | 3.44 | 40.8% | 0.369 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.56 | 40.7% | 0.264 | 0.51u | Won | +1.31u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 4.53 | 41.3% | 0.656 | 0.93u | Won | +3.28u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.51 | 43.9% | 0.101 | 0.33u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 4.88 | 41.2% | 1.009 | 1.20u | Won | +4.66u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 4.14 | 40.6% | 0.547 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 17, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 3.07 | 41.0% | 0.125 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 2.94 | 41.9% | 0.059 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.04 | 44.0% | 0.056 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.36 | 40.9% | 0.275 | 0.58u | Won | +1.37u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 42.3% | 0.152 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rangers
|
First3 result | away | 3.23 | 41.4% | 0.189 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
First3 result | away | 3.51 | 43.2% | 0.276 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 4.66 | 41.3% | 0.639 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 3.35 | 42.4% | 0.420 | 0.89u | Won | +2.09u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Padres
|
First3 result | away | 4.53 | 40.9% | 0.706 | 1.00u | Won | +3.53u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
First3 result | home | 3.36 | 42.0% | 0.411 | 0.80u | Won | +1.89u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 3.83 | 41.2% | 0.578 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 33.4% | 0.453 | 0.78u | Won | +2.18u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 3.91 | 43.7% | 0.709 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.0% | 0.323 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.5% | 0.313 | 0.56u | Won | +1.57u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.8% | 0.228 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.4% | 0.245 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.1% | 0.316 | 0.56u | Won | +1.57u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
First3 result | away | 3.44 | 48.7% | 0.379 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.2% | 0.336 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.7% | 0.310 | 0.42u | Won | +1.18u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.9% | 0.556 | 0.99u | Won | +2.77u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.6% | 0.250 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
First3 result | away | 3.66 | 45.0% | 0.374 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Sep 6, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.5% | 0.375 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Sep 6, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.5% | 0.296 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 33.6% | 0.429 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 30.8% | 0.623 | 1.11u | Won | +3.11u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.0% | 0.530 | 0.95u | Won | +2.66u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.7% | 0.374 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.58 | 45.7% | 0.340 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 33.0% | 0.454 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.0% | 0.406 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.4% | 0.379 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 33.1% | 0.478 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.2% | 0.531 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.5% | 0.916 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 3.97 | 38.6% | 0.531 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 4.31 | 40.8% | 0.481 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 30.1% | 0.663 | 1.18u | Won | +3.30u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 4.65 | 43.5% | 0.695 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 2.88 | 43.8% | 0.262 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.1% | 0.343 | 0.61u | Won | +1.71u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 4.76 | 41.3% | 0.672 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.5% | 0.594 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.34 | 31.3% | 0.544 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 2.96 | 48.9% | 0.447 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.6% | 0.219 | 0.39u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.73 | 32.0% | 0.289 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.30 | 50.9% | 0.172 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 25.3% | 0.435 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 3.41 | 47.2% | 0.608 | 1.20u | Won | +2.89u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 3.60 | 50.5% | 0.820 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 3.28 | 52.6% | 0.726 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 25.2% | 0.448 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.11 | 75.7% | 0.598 | 1.20u | Won | +1.33u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 24.4% | 0.536 | 0.83u | Won | +2.32u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 24.2% | 0.544 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
First3 result | home | 2.96 | 49.5% | 0.464 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.36 | 31.5% | 0.561 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 2.93 | 50.4% | 0.476 | 1.20u | Won | +2.32u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 2.96 | 33.4% | 0.467 | 0.60u | Won | +1.18u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.76 | 35.7% | 0.155 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.51 | 27.5% | 0.410 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.