Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 9:39 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Sep 6, 2021	mlb	Pirates Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.189	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Sep 6, 2021	mlb	Orioles Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.187	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Sep 6, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First3 result	home	2.37	62.3%	0.477	1.20u	Won	+1.64u
Sep 6, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Dodgers	Total over	under	1.94	33.3%	0.290	1.20u	Won	+1.12u
Sep 6, 2021	mlb	Nationals Mets	Total over	under	1.98	40.6%	0.176	0.60u	Won	+0.59u
Sep 5, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Mariners	Total over	under	1.98	40.6%	0.176	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Sep 5, 2021	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	home	2.10	82.6%	0.735	1.20u	Won	+1.32u
Sep 5, 2021	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.74	42.2%	0.478	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.81	42.2%	0.112	0.31u	Won	+0.56u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.187	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	away	3.88	36.6%	0.332	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Indians	First3 result	away	2.69	42.3%	0.062	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	Total over	under	1.88	40.6%	0.115	0.19u	Won	+0.17u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Nationals Mets	Total over	under	1.98	40.6%	0.176	0.90u	Won	+0.88u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Marlins Phillies	Total over	under	1.90	40.6%	0.129	0.71u	Won	+0.64u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	Total over	under	2.00	40.6%	0.188	0.94u	Won	+0.94u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.96	42.3%	0.167	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Reds Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.188	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Indians	First3 result	away	2.68	42.3%	0.057	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.188	0.34u	Won	+0.95u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Rays Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.6%	0.106	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.187	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Sep 2, 2021	mlb	Giants Brewers	First3 result	home	2.40	70.8%	0.700	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
Sep 2, 2021	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First3 result	home	2.79	42.3%	0.179	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Sep 2, 2021	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.186	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Sep 2, 2021	mlb	Giants Brewers	Total over	under	1.97	40.6%	0.170	0.88u	Won	+0.85u
Sep 1, 2021	mlb	Reds Cardinals	Total over	under	1.95	40.6%	0.159	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Sep 1, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First3 result	home	3.34	42.3%	0.414	0.60u	Won	+1.40u
Sep 1, 2021	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	away	4.08	46.7%	0.763	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 31, 2021	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.187	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Aug 31, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	away	3.51	42.2%	0.387	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Aug 31, 2021	mlb	Mets Marlins	First3 result	away	3.88	42.3%	0.532	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Aug 31, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	Total over	under	1.92	40.6%	0.139	0.75u	Won	+0.69u
Aug 31, 2021	mlb	Royals Indians	Total over	under	1.97	40.6%	0.170	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Aug 30, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Braves	Total over	under	2.02	40.6%	0.199	0.60u	Won	+0.61u
Aug 30, 2021	mlb	Tigers Twins	Total over	under	1.88	0.0%	0.877	1.20u	Won	+1.05u
Aug 30, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	home	2.55	42.2%	0.077	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Aug 30, 2021	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.187	0.33u	Won	+0.92u
Aug 30, 2021	mlb	Giants Brewers	First3 result	away	3.86	35.5%	0.285	0.50u	Won	+1.43u
Aug 30, 2021	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	away	2.80	42.3%	0.104	0.29u	Won	+0.52u
Aug 30, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First3 result	home	2.66	42.3%	0.125	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Aug 29, 2021	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	3.03	42.2%	0.197	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Aug 29, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	home	3.05	42.3%	0.290	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Aug 29, 2021	mlb	Braves Giants	First3 result	away	3.16	42.3%	0.246	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Aug 29, 2021	mlb	Marlins Reds	Total over	under	1.92	40.6%	0.139	0.75u	Won	+0.69u
Aug 29, 2021	mlb	Mariners Royals	Total over	under	1.89	40.6%	0.124	0.32u	Won	+0.29u
Aug 29, 2021	mlb	Twins Brewers	Total over	under	1.91	40.6%	0.134	0.73u	Won	+0.66u
Aug 28, 2021	mlb	Rangers Astros	Total over	under	1.96	40.6%	0.165	0.60u	Won	+0.58u
Aug 28, 2021	mlb	Mets Nationals	Total over	under	1.99	25.0%	0.493	1.20u	Won	+1.19u
Aug 28, 2021	mlb	White Sox Cubs	First3 result	home	3.08	42.3%	0.302	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Aug 28, 2021	mlb	Twins Brewers	First3 result	away	3.59	42.3%	0.414	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Aug 28, 2021	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	away	3.09	42.2%	0.222	0.27u	Won	+0.56u
Aug 27, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.188	0.34u	Won	+0.95u
Aug 27, 2021	mlb	Mariners Royals	First3 result	home	2.75	42.2%	0.162	0.46u	Won	+0.81u
Aug 27, 2021	mlb	Athletics Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.188	0.33u	Won	+0.92u
Aug 27, 2021	mlb	Angels Padres	First3 result	home	2.93	42.3%	0.238	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Aug 26, 2021	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.844	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 26, 2021	mlb	Brewers Reds	First3 result	away	3.25	42.3%	0.282	0.60u	Won	+1.35u
Aug 26, 2021	mlb	Orioles Angels	Total over	under	1.89	33.3%	0.262	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 26, 2021	mlb	Mariners Royals	Total over	under	1.95	40.6%	0.159	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 25, 2021	mlb	Orioles Angels	Total over	under	1.94	40.6%	0.154	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Aug 25, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Twins	Total over	under	1.88	40.6%	0.115	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Aug 25, 2021	mlb	Marlins Nationals	Total over	under	1.96	40.6%	0.165	0.86u	Won	+0.83u
Aug 25, 2021	mlb	Indians Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.187	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Aug 25, 2021	mlb	Pirates Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.5%	0.187	0.33u	Won	+0.92u
Aug 25, 2021	mlb	Phillies Rays	First3 result	away	3.09	42.2%	0.222	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Aug 25, 2021	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	home	2.84	42.2%	0.199	0.54u	Won	+0.99u
Aug 24, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.3%	0.109	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Aug 24, 2021	mlb	Pirates Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.09	50.4%	0.053	0.15u	Won	+0.16u
Aug 24, 2021	mlb	Brewers Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	60.3%	0.509	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
Aug 24, 2021	mlb	Braves Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.9%	0.127	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Aug 24, 2021	mlb	Phillies Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.9%	0.177	0.32u	Won	+0.90u
Aug 24, 2021	mlb	Brewers Reds	Total over	under	2.04	43.3%	0.158	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Aug 24, 2021	mlb	Astros Royals	Total over	under	2.02	43.4%	0.144	0.71u	Won	+0.72u
Aug 24, 2021	mlb	Mets Giants	Total over	under	2.01	43.3%	0.140	0.33u	Won	+0.33u
Aug 23, 2021	mlb	Braves Yankees	Total over	under	2.00	43.3%	0.134	0.67u	Won	+0.67u
Aug 23, 2021	mlb	Athletics Mariners	Total over	under	1.98	43.2%	0.124	0.48u	Won	+0.47u
Aug 23, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	Total over	under	1.99	43.3%	0.129	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Aug 23, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.6%	0.081	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
Aug 23, 2021	mlb	Cubs Rockies	First3 result	away	3.46	40.9%	0.113	0.23u	Won	+0.57u
Aug 22, 2021	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.8%	0.638	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 22, 2021	mlb	Athletics Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.3%	1.953	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Aug 22, 2021	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	Total over	under	1.96	43.2%	0.114	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Aug 22, 2021	mlb	Reds Marlins	Total over	under	1.96	43.3%	0.112	0.58u	Won	+0.56u
Aug 22, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	Total over	under	1.98	43.3%	0.123	0.63u	Won	+0.62u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Tigers	Total over	under	2.03	43.4%	0.150	0.73u	Won	+0.75u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Yankees Twins	Total over	under	1.99	43.3%	0.128	0.40u	Won	+0.40u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Mets	Total over	under	2.00	43.3%	0.134	0.67u	Won	+0.67u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Orioles Braves	First3 result	away	3.76	40.9%	0.210	0.38u	Won	+1.05u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Rays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.3%	0.109	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.6%	0.081	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	48.9%	0.409	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Padres Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.6%	0.081	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Aug 21, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.6%	0.081	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Aug 20, 2021	mlb	Brewers Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	52.4%	0.313	0.56u	Won	+1.57u
Aug 20, 2021	mlb	Indians Angels	First3 result	away	2.81	53.9%	0.297	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Aug 20, 2021	mlb	Cubs Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.285	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Aug 20, 2021	mlb	Yankees Twins	Total over	under	2.00	43.4%	0.133	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Aug 20, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	Total over	under	1.97	43.4%	0.116	0.60u	Won	+0.58u
Aug 19, 2021	mlb	Tigers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	52.4%	0.313	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.