Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 9:39 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Marlins Phillies	Total over	under	1.94	36.4%	0.237	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Royals Tigers	Total over	under	1.95	14.3%	0.674	1.20u	Won	+1.14u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	Total over	over	1.96	80.0%	0.569	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Marlins Phillies	Total over	under	1.99	37.8%	0.238	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First3 result	away	3.28	38.9%	0.341	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	away	2.99	41.7%	0.164	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	home	2.72	41.4%	0.127	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.0%	0.603	1.08u	Lost	-1.08u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	away	3.31	39.3%	0.343	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	away	2.86	41.0%	0.123	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Padres Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Rangers Angels	Total over	over	1.95	80.0%	0.562	0.60u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	White Sox Mariners	Total over	under	1.98	0.0%	0.980	1.20u	Won	+1.18u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Rays Athletics	Total over	under	1.90	36.4%	0.209	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Giants Padres	Total over	under	1.89	0.0%	0.885	1.20u	Won	+1.06u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	White Sox Mariners	Total over	under	1.91	20.0%	0.527	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Tigers Red Sox	Total over	under	2.00	37.2%	0.256	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Twins Dodgers	Total over	under	2.01	37.9%	0.249	0.60u	Won	+0.61u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Giants Padres	First3 result	away	2.86	40.8%	0.132	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	First3 result	home	2.60	41.2%	0.071	0.22u	Won	+0.35u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Phillies Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.304	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	First3 result	away	2.73	40.7%	0.083	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	home	2.39	54.9%	0.312	1.12u	Won	+1.56u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Reds Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Twins Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	White Sox Mariners	Total over	under	1.87	0.0%	0.870	0.60u	Won	+0.52u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	Total over	under	1.97	0.0%	0.971	1.20u	Won	+1.17u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cubs	Total over	under	1.98	37.5%	0.238	1.20u	Won	+1.18u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Phillies Mets	Total over	under	1.89	20.0%	0.508	0.60u	Won	+0.53u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Rays Athletics	Total over	over	1.88	85.7%	0.609	1.20u	Won	+1.05u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Giants Padres	Total over	under	1.98	38.2%	0.223	0.61u	Won	+0.60u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Braves Nationals	Total over	under	1.96	37.3%	0.229	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Angels Marlins	First3 result	away	2.87	39.8%	0.154	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Tigers Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.97	44.6%	0.096	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Orioles Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.7%	0.227	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Phillies Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.311	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Giants Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Rays Orioles	First3 result	home	2.73	39.2%	0.069	0.20u	Won	+0.35u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First3 result	away	2.78	41.4%	0.092	0.26u	Won	+0.46u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Rangers	First3 result	away	2.85	40.0%	0.143	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	away	2.88	43.4%	0.088	0.23u	Won	+0.43u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.38	17.0%	0.549	1.20u	Won	+1.66u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	Total over	over	2.05	80.0%	0.640	0.60u	Won	+0.63u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Twins Mariners	Total over	over	1.84	100.0%	0.840	1.20u	Won	+1.01u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Phillies Athletics	Total over	under	2.00	37.4%	0.251	1.20u	Won	+1.20u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Twins Mariners	Total over	under	1.99	38.0%	0.235	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	Total over	under	1.82	0.0%	0.820	1.20u	Won	+0.98u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	Total over	under	1.93	14.3%	0.651	0.60u	Won	+0.56u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Giants Marlins	Total over	under	2.01	37.6%	0.254	1.20u	Won	+1.21u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Cubs Brewers	Total over	under	1.97	36.7%	0.247	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	away	2.84	39.8%	0.145	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Giants Marlins	First3 result	away	2.84	40.3%	0.134	0.37u	Won	+0.68u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First3 result	away	2.44	17.0%	0.588	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.0%	0.602	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	away	2.64	39.5%	0.071	0.21u	Won	+0.34u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Angels Astros	First3 result	away	2.71	41.5%	0.059	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Phillies Athletics	First3 result	home	2.77	40.7%	0.126	0.36u	Won	+0.64u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Nationals Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.54u	Won	+1.51u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Twins Mariners	First3 result	home	2.39	53.0%	0.267	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Phillies Athletics	Total over	over	1.88	85.7%	0.609	1.20u	Won	+1.05u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Twins Mariners	Total over	under	2.00	33.3%	0.333	0.60u	Won	+0.60u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Angels Astros	Total over	under	1.97	37.3%	0.236	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	Total over	under	2.02	37.8%	0.256	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	Total over	under	2.01	39.2%	0.222	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Nationals Mets	Total over	under	2.02	0.0%	1.020	1.20u	Won	+1.22u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Nationals Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.304	0.54u	Won	+1.51u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.54u	Won	+1.51u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.7%	0.227	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Royals Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.7%	0.227	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
Nov 2, 2021	mlb	Astros Braves	Total over	under	1.94	39.2%	0.176	0.94u	Won	+0.88u
Oct 31, 2021	mlb	Braves Astros	Total over	under	1.93	39.2%	0.171	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Oct 30, 2021	mlb	Braves Astros	Total over	under	1.86	39.2%	0.128	0.75u	Won	+0.64u
Oct 29, 2021	mlb	Braves Astros	Total over	under	1.92	14.3%	0.644	1.20u	Won	+1.10u
Oct 27, 2021	mlb	Astros Braves	Total over	under	1.99	39.2%	0.210	1.06u	Lost	-1.06u
Oct 26, 2021	mlb	Astros Braves	Total over	under	1.88	20.0%	0.502	1.20u	Won	+1.05u
Oct 23, 2021	mlb	Braves Dodgers	Total over	under	1.99	39.2%	0.210	1.06u	Won	+1.05u
Oct 22, 2021	mlb	Astros Red Sox	Total over	under	1.94	39.2%	0.182	0.96u	Won	+0.91u
Oct 21, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Braves	Total over	under	1.95	39.2%	0.187	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
Oct 20, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Braves	Total over	under	1.83	39.2%	0.111	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Oct 20, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Astros	Total over	over	1.91	85.7%	0.636	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Oct 20, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First3 result	away	2.91	39.9%	0.168	0.44u	Won	+0.84u
Oct 19, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.3%	0.283	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 19, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.232	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Oct 18, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.2%	0.451	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Oct 17, 2021	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.9%	0.319	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Oct 16, 2021	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	25.6%	0.317	0.57u	Won	+1.60u
Oct 16, 2021	mlb	Astros Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	24.8%	0.351	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Oct 14, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.4%	0.343	0.61u	Won	+1.71u
Oct 12, 2021	mlb	White Sox Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.1%	0.312	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Oct 12, 2021	mlb	Braves Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.9%	0.288	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
Oct 12, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.2%	0.524	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Oct 11, 2021	mlb	Braves Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.4%	0.359	0.64u	Won	+1.79u
Oct 11, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.1%	0.324	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Oct 11, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.6%	0.406	0.72u	Won	+2.02u
Oct 10, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.0%	0.274	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Oct 9, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.6%	0.126	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Oct 9, 2021	mlb	Brewers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	25.0%	0.494	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Oct 8, 2021	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.3%	0.384	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.