Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 9:39 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 4, 2022	mlb	Brewers Reds	First3 result	away	3.55	41.4%	0.180	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 4, 2022	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.0%	0.433	0.77u	Won	+2.16u
May 4, 2022	mlb	Guardians Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.5%	0.246	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 4, 2022	mlb	Phillies Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.9%	0.137	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
May 3, 2022	mlb	Rockies Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.3%	0.094	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Marlins Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.073	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Mets Braves	First3 result	home	2.32	46.3%	0.074	0.28u	Won	+0.37u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	home	2.42	48.3%	0.169	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Athletics Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.3%	0.074	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Mets Braves	Total over	under	2.04	44.5%	0.132	0.64u	Won	+0.67u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	Total over	under	1.83	39.2%	0.114	0.51u	Won	+0.43u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Royals	Total over	under	1.89	41.0%	0.117	0.65u	Won	+0.58u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Rockies Reds	Total over	under	1.99	41.4%	0.166	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Pirates Padres	Total over	under	2.00	42.9%	0.143	0.71u	Won	+0.71u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.1%	0.096	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Astros	First3 result	home	2.73	46.6%	0.273	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Royals Yankees	First3 result	away	3.19	40.1%	0.089	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Rangers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.2%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Pirates Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.4%	0.111	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	White Sox Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.7%	0.086	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Rangers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.078	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.2%	0.075	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.6%	0.106	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Giants Nationals	First3 result	away	3.91	41.1%	0.152	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	Total over	under	1.92	40.1%	0.148	0.80u	Won	+0.73u
Apr 29, 2022	mlb	Pirates Padres	Total over	under	2.05	41.4%	0.202	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Apr 29, 2022	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.1%	0.077	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 29, 2022	mlb	Pirates Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.5%	0.070	0.12u	Won	+0.34u
Apr 29, 2022	mlb	Rangers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.9%	0.102	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 28, 2022	mlb	Rays Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.8%	0.083	0.15u	Won	+0.42u
Apr 28, 2022	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.2%	0.077	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 28, 2022	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.2%	0.136	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
Apr 28, 2022	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.1%	0.076	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 28, 2022	mlb	Nationals Marlins	Total over	under	1.89	38.3%	0.163	0.92u	Won	+0.81u
Apr 28, 2022	mlb	Rays Mariners	Total over	under	1.87	38.1%	0.158	0.88u	Won	+0.77u
Apr 27, 2022	mlb	Pirates Brewers	Total over	under	1.94	40.6%	0.154	0.60u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 27, 2022	mlb	Giants Athletics	Total over	under	2.01	36.6%	0.274	1.20u	Won	+1.21u
Apr 27, 2022	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First3 result	home	2.22	66.4%	0.474	1.20u	Won	+1.46u
Apr 27, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First3 result	away	2.43	25.1%	0.390	0.60u	Won	+0.86u
Apr 26, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First3 result	home	2.65	44.0%	0.166	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Apr 26, 2022	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	away	2.39	24.6%	0.377	1.20u	Won	+1.67u
Apr 26, 2022	mlb	Giants Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	69.7%	0.150	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Apr 26, 2022	mlb	Angels Guardians	Total over	under	2.02	38.8%	0.237	1.16u	Won	+1.18u
Apr 26, 2022	mlb	Phillies Rockies	Total over	under	1.89	39.3%	0.150	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 25, 2022	mlb	Phillies Rockies	Total over	under	1.89	41.1%	0.110	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Apr 25, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Mets	Total over	under	1.99	43.8%	0.118	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 25, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.63	44.4%	0.167	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Apr 24, 2022	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.31	26.4%	0.301	1.15u	Won	+1.51u
Apr 24, 2022	mlb	Nationals Giants	First3 result	home	2.63	47.5%	0.248	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Apr 24, 2022	mlb	Rays Red Sox	Total over	under	1.99	43.5%	0.124	0.63u	Won	+0.62u
Apr 24, 2022	mlb	Yankees Guardians	Total over	under	1.94	42.5%	0.117	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Apr 24, 2022	mlb	Astros Blue Jays	Total over	under	1.95	42.9%	0.114	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Apr 23, 2022	mlb	Phillies Brewers	Total over	under	1.95	41.8%	0.136	0.61u	Won	+0.58u
Apr 23, 2022	mlb	Astros Blue Jays	Total over	under	1.84	34.8%	0.201	1.19u	Won	+1.00u
Apr 23, 2022	mlb	Angels Orioles	First3 result	away	2.02	23.7%	0.178	0.77u	Won	+0.79u
Apr 23, 2022	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	away	2.24	26.8%	0.255	1.03u	Lost	-1.03u
Apr 22, 2022	mlb	Yankees Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.0%	0.097	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Apr 22, 2022	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.2%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 22, 2022	mlb	Angels Orioles	Total over	under	1.93	36.5%	0.223	1.20u	Won	+1.11u
Apr 22, 2022	mlb	Rays Red Sox	Total over	under	1.97	39.2%	0.199	0.60u	Won	+0.58u
Apr 21, 2022	mlb	Guardians White Sox	Total over	under	1.82	37.9%	0.130	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Apr 21, 2022	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.127	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 20, 2022	mlb	Padres Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.080	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
Apr 20, 2022	mlb	Tigers Yankees	First3 result	away	3.04	23.8%	0.770	1.20u	Won	+2.45u
Apr 20, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.129	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 20, 2022	mlb	Athletics Orioles	Total over	under	1.93	41.7%	0.123	0.67u	Won	+0.62u
Apr 20, 2022	mlb	Mets Giants	Total over	under	1.94	40.2%	0.156	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Apr 20, 2022	mlb	Marlins Cardinals	Total over	under	1.94	42.5%	0.118	0.30u	Won	+0.28u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Rockies Phillies	Total over	under	1.86	14.3%	0.596	0.60u	Won	+0.52u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Mariners Rangers	Total over	over	1.93	85.7%	0.651	1.20u	Won	+1.11u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Mets Giants	Total over	under	2.03	38.6%	0.247	1.20u	Won	+1.24u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	Total over	under	2.01	38.7%	0.232	0.60u	Won	+0.61u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Athletics Orioles	First3 result	away	3.20	41.5%	0.248	0.56u	Won	+1.23u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Astros Angels	First3 result	away	2.85	40.3%	0.140	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Tigers Yankees	First3 result	home	2.88	38.6%	0.113	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.304	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.5%	0.303	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Padres Reds	First3 result	away	2.66	40.2%	0.066	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	away	2.79	42.1%	0.077	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Astros Angels	First3 result	away	2.71	42.2%	0.228	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.7%	0.227	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Athletics Orioles	Total over	under	1.94	14.3%	0.666	0.60u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Rockies Phillies	Total over	over	1.99	85.7%	0.706	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Padres Reds	Total over	under	2.02	37.1%	0.270	1.20u	Won	+1.22u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Guardians Giants	Total over	over	1.95	85.7%	0.674	1.20u	Won	+1.14u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	White Sox Rays	Total over	over	1.96	80.0%	0.569	0.60u	Won	+0.58u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Rangers Angels	Total over	under	1.99	36.8%	0.258	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Rockies Cubs	Total over	under	2.04	37.0%	0.285	1.20u	Won	+1.25u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Mets Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.71	43.4%	0.175	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	away	2.80	40.2%	0.119	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	away	3.24	41.7%	0.262	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Pirates Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.0%	0.602	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.56	41.7%	0.067	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	away	2.77	40.2%	0.106	0.30u	Won	+0.53u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Guardians Giants	First3 result	away	2.78	42.5%	0.068	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.0%	0.603	1.08u	Lost	-1.08u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.0%	0.603	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Mariners Astros	Total over	under	1.86	14.3%	0.590	1.20u	Won	+1.03u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	Total over	under	1.86	14.3%	0.590	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Rangers Angels	Total over	under	2.04	38.0%	0.265	1.20u	Won	+1.25u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.