Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 9:39 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 15, 2022	mlb	Mariners Twins	First3 result	away	2.00	16.9%	0.466	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 15, 2022	mlb	Rockies Guardians	First3 result	home	2.84	43.0%	0.221	0.60u	Won	+1.10u
Jun 14, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First3 result	home	2.49	44.4%	0.106	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 14, 2022	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	home	3.39	44.5%	0.510	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Jun 14, 2022	mlb	Mariners Twins	First3 result	home	2.53	44.5%	0.126	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jun 13, 2022	mlb	Mariners Twins	First3 result	home	2.36	44.6%	0.051	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jun 11, 2022	mlb	Braves Pirates	First3 result	home	2.70	44.5%	0.201	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jun 11, 2022	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	home	3.26	44.4%	0.449	0.99u	Won	+2.24u
Jun 10, 2022	mlb	Royals Orioles	First3 result	home	2.86	44.5%	0.272	0.73u	Won	+1.36u
Jun 10, 2022	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.38	44.5%	0.059	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 10, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First3 result	home	2.53	44.5%	0.127	0.41u	Won	+0.63u
Jun 9, 2022	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	home	2.73	44.4%	0.213	0.62u	Won	+1.07u
Jun 8, 2022	mlb	Braves Athletics	First3 result	home	2.58	44.5%	0.147	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Jun 8, 2022	mlb	Padres Mets	First3 result	home	2.46	44.5%	0.095	0.32u	Won	+0.47u
Jun 8, 2022	mlb	Angels Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.54	44.5%	0.131	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Jun 7, 2022	mlb	Astros Mariners	First3 result	home	2.89	44.5%	0.286	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jun 7, 2022	mlb	Brewers Phillies	First3 result	home	2.45	44.5%	0.089	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jun 6, 2022	mlb	Padres Mets	First3 result	home	2.67	44.6%	0.190	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jun 5, 2022	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First3 result	home	2.92	44.5%	0.299	0.78u	Won	+1.50u
Jun 4, 2022	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.83	44.5%	0.104	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Jun 4, 2022	mlb	Reds Nationals	First3 result	home	2.65	44.5%	0.179	0.54u	Won	+0.89u
Jun 4, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First3 result	home	2.76	44.5%	0.227	0.65u	Won	+1.14u
Jun 3, 2022	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.78	44.5%	0.089	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 3, 2022	mlb	Brewers Padres	First3 result	home	2.48	44.5%	0.104	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Jun 3, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First3 result	home	2.55	44.5%	0.134	0.43u	Won	+0.67u
Jun 1, 2022	mlb	Rockies Marlins	First3 result	home	2.89	44.5%	0.286	0.76u	Won	+1.44u
May 31, 2022	mlb	Athletics Astros	First3 result	away	3.83	28.8%	0.560	0.99u	Lost	-0.99u
May 31, 2022	mlb	Yankees Angels	First3 result	home	2.39	62.7%	0.498	0.81u	Won	+1.13u
May 30, 2022	mlb	Guardians Royals	First3 result	away	3.84	28.8%	0.564	0.99u	Lost	-0.99u
May 30, 2022	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.0%	0.407	0.73u	Won	+2.04u
May 29, 2022	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First3 result	away	2.62	41.0%	0.214	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 29, 2022	mlb	Mets Phillies	First3 result	home	2.46	54.8%	0.348	1.19u	Won	+1.74u
May 28, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.0%	0.407	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
May 28, 2022	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.626	1.12u	Lost	-1.12u
May 27, 2022	mlb	Twins Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.8%	0.633	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 27, 2022	mlb	Braves Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.9%	0.756	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
May 26, 2022	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.9%	0.756	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 26, 2022	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
May 25, 2022	mlb	Giants Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	62.7%	0.418	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 25, 2022	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.9%	0.756	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
May 24, 2022	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
May 24, 2022	mlb	Pirates Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.9%	0.756	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
May 23, 2022	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 23, 2022	mlb	Twins Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.0%	0.407	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
May 23, 2022	mlb	Padres Brewers	First3 result	away	3.46	28.8%	0.410	0.83u	Won	+2.04u
May 22, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
May 22, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.09	33.6%	0.174	0.42u	Won	+0.88u
May 22, 2022	mlb	Brewers Nationals	First3 result	away	2.74	41.0%	0.269	0.77u	Won	+1.34u
May 21, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
May 21, 2022	mlb	Angels Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
May 21, 2022	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	away	2.89	28.8%	0.177	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 21, 2022	mlb	Marlins Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
May 20, 2022	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	away	2.56	35.7%	0.292	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 20, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
May 20, 2022	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
May 20, 2022	mlb	Brewers Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.3%	0.293	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
May 19, 2022	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	away	2.80	41.0%	0.297	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
May 19, 2022	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	home	2.70	48.9%	0.321	0.94u	Won	+1.60u
May 18, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	3.22	54.8%	0.764	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 18, 2022	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	away	3.46	0.0%	0.980	1.20u	Won	+2.95u
May 17, 2022	mlb	Guardians Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.0%	0.697	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
May 17, 2022	mlb	Rays Tigers	First3 result	home	2.62	58.8%	0.540	0.60u	Won	+0.97u
May 16, 2022	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.7%	0.294	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 16, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.5%	0.266	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 16, 2022	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	14.5%	0.507	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
May 15, 2022	mlb	Pirates Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	13.0%	0.561	1.00u	Won	+2.80u
May 15, 2022	mlb	White Sox Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	24.9%	0.332	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 15, 2022	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	23.7%	0.358	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 14, 2022	mlb	Tigers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.1%	0.138	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 14, 2022	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.165	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 14, 2022	mlb	Marlins Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	28.2%	0.167	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 14, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	13.9%	0.110	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 14, 2022	mlb	Mets Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.0%	0.192	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
May 14, 2022	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.8%	0.221	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
May 13, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.6%	0.165	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 13, 2022	mlb	Marlins Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.3%	0.170	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
May 13, 2022	mlb	Pirates Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	14.9%	0.461	0.82u	Won	+2.30u
May 13, 2022	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	home	2.29	49.8%	0.139	0.39u	Won	+0.50u
May 12, 2022	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.4%	0.342	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 11, 2022	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.55	43.8%	0.117	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 11, 2022	mlb	Angels Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	24.4%	0.148	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 11, 2022	mlb	Rangers Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.6%	0.238	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 10, 2022	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.9%	0.169	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 10, 2022	mlb	Mariners Phillies	First3 result	home	2.40	44.4%	0.065	0.23u	Won	+0.32u
May 10, 2022	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	home	2.74	43.9%	0.204	0.59u	Won	+1.03u
May 10, 2022	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	23.9%	0.171	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 9, 2022	mlb	Angels Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.7%	0.384	0.69u	Won	+1.93u
May 9, 2022	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	First3 result	away	3.00	31.5%	0.173	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 8, 2022	mlb	Twins Athletics	First3 result	home	2.89	43.9%	0.270	0.71u	Won	+1.34u
May 8, 2022	mlb	Braves Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.0%	0.288	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
May 8, 2022	mlb	Padres Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	26.7%	0.260	0.46u	Won	+1.29u
May 8, 2022	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	26.6%	0.173	0.12u	Won	+0.34u
May 7, 2022	mlb	Twins Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.7%	0.305	0.54u	Won	+1.51u
May 7, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	home	2.12	62.7%	0.329	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 6, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.124	0.22u	Won	+0.62u
May 6, 2022	mlb	Padres Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.2%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 6, 2022	mlb	Mariners Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.5%	0.098	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 5, 2022	mlb	Astros Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.8%	0.076	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 5, 2022	mlb	Padres Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.8%	0.144	0.26u	Won	+0.73u
May 5, 2022	mlb	Giants Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.34	46.7%	0.093	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.