Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 11:49 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | championship |
Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion
|
Result | home | 3.80 | 28.3% | 0.077 | 0.22u | Won | +0.62u |
| Apr 2, 2022 | championship |
AFC Bournemouth
Bristol City
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 17.2% | 1.722 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 2, 2022 | championship |
Coventry City
Blackburn Rovers
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 73.2% | 1.271 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 1, 2022 | championship |
Hull City
Huddersfield Town
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 19.6% | 0.921 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 20, 2022 | championship |
Queens Park Rangers
Peterborough United
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 39.1% | 0.335 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Mar 19, 2022 | championship |
Hull City
Luton Town
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 38.1% | 0.629 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 19, 2022 | championship |
Swansea City
Birmingham City
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 37.0% | 0.553 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Mar 16, 2022 | championship |
Blackpool
Sheffield United
|
Result | draw | 3.60 | 39.0% | 0.263 | 0.41u | Won | +1.07u |
| Mar 16, 2022 | championship |
Millwall
Huddersfield Town
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 37.1% | 0.383 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Mar 15, 2022 | championship |
Blackburn Rovers
Derby County
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 37.6% | 0.506 | 0.30u | Won | +0.90u |
| Mar 15, 2022 | championship |
Barnsley
Bristol City
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 36.7% | 0.817 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 13, 2022 | championship |
Luton Town
Queens Park Rangers
|
Result | draw | 3.60 | 37.7% | 0.288 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Mar 12, 2022 | championship |
Peterborough United
Stoke City
|
Result | draw | 4.33 | 37.6% | 0.555 | 0.30u | Won | +1.00u |
| Mar 12, 2022 | championship |
Blackburn Rovers
Bristol City
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 37.0% | 0.761 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 11, 2022 | championship |
West Bromwich Albion
Huddersfield Town
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 37.7% | 0.244 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Mar 8, 2022 | championship |
AFC Bournemouth
Peterborough United
|
Result | draw | 3.30 | 38.7% | 0.190 | 0.48u | Won | +1.10u |
| Mar 8, 2022 | championship |
Blackburn Rovers
Millwall
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 37.7% | 0.358 | 1.02u | Won | +2.86u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | championship |
Middlesbrough
Luton Town
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 51.4% | 0.842 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Mar 5, 2022 | championship |
Derby County
Barnsley
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 51.2% | 1.047 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Mar 4, 2022 | championship |
Sheffield United
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 52.6% | 1.066 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 1, 2022 | championship |
Cardiff City
Derby County
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 46.4% | 0.532 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | championship |
Coventry City
Preston North End
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 53.2% | 1.056 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 26, 2022 | championship |
Peterborough United
Hull City
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 45.3% | 1.038 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 23, 2022 | championship |
Fulham
Peterborough United
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 51.2% | 0.811 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 23, 2022 | championship |
Sheffield United
Blackburn Rovers
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 48.9% | 0.749 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 22, 2022 | championship |
Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion
|
Result | home | 2.88 | 52.8% | 0.522 | 1.20u | Won | +2.26u |
| Feb 22, 2022 | championship |
Hull City
Barnsley
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 43.0% | 0.503 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | championship |
Fulham
Huddersfield Town
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 54.1% | 0.840 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 19, 2022 | championship |
Coventry City
Barnsley
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 46.0% | 0.610 | 0.30u | Won | +0.75u |
| Feb 16, 2022 | championship |
Peterborough United
Reading
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 55.9% | 0.369 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 15, 2022 | championship |
Cardiff City
Coventry City
|
Result | draw | 3.10 | 48.4% | 0.308 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 15, 2022 | championship |
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 46.2% | 0.524 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Feb 14, 2022 | championship |
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn Rovers
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 46.7% | 0.328 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Feb 13, 2022 | championship |
Swansea City
Bristol City
|
Result | draw | 3.50 | 47.7% | 0.165 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | championship |
Reading
Coventry City
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 48.8% | 1.048 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 12, 2022 | championship |
Hull City
Fulham
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 51.3% | 1.052 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | championship |
Cardiff City
Peterborough United
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 48.1% | 0.631 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 9, 2022 | championship |
Preston North End
Huddersfield Town
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 42.4% | 0.393 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | championship |
Fulham
Millwall
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 50.5% | 0.127 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | championship |
Derby County
Hull City
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 47.6% | 0.127 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | championship |
Luton Town
Barnsley
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 43.3% | 0.076 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | championship |
Hull City
Preston North End
|
Result | away | 3.40 | 24.0% | 0.586 | 0.30u | Won | +0.72u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | championship |
Blackpool
Bristol City
|
Result | draw | 3.25 | 26.6% | 0.994 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 4, 2022 | championship |
Birmingham City
Sheffield United
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 30.2% | 0.210 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Feb 2, 2022 | championship |
Huddersfield Town
Derby County
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 40.8% | 0.265 | 0.30u | Won | +0.63u |
| Feb 2, 2022 | championship |
Barnsley
Cardiff City
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 42.3% | 0.378 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 1, 2022 | championship |
Swansea City
Luton Town
|
Result | draw | 3.00 | 39.1% | 0.100 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 1, 2022 | championship |
Millwall
Preston North End
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 16.7% | 1.404 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 30, 2022 | championship |
Derby County
Birmingham City
|
Result | home | 2.30 | 58.4% | 0.343 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 30, 2022 | championship |
Cardiff City
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 48.7% | 0.608 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Jan 29, 2022 | championship |
Preston North End
Bristol City
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 27.0% | 1.243 | 0.30u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jan 29, 2022 | championship |
Barnsley
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 33.2% | 1.580 | 1.20u | Won | +4.50u |
| Jan 25, 2022 | championship |
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City
|
Result | draw | 3.60 | 34.8% | 0.656 | 0.30u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jan 25, 2022 | championship |
Coventry City
Stoke City
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 37.1% | 1.207 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 24, 2022 | championship |
Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough
|
Result | away | 2.63 | 40.6% | 0.163 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | championship |
Blackpool
Millwall
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 36.5% | 0.638 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | championship |
AFC Bournemouth
Hull City
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 48.9% | 1.118 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 19, 2022 | championship |
Reading
Luton Town
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 41.0% | 0.775 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 19, 2022 | championship |
Hull City
Blackburn Rovers
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 33.7% | 0.251 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 18, 2022 | championship |
Preston North End
Sheffield United
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 31.0% | 0.268 | 0.97u | Won | +2.13u |
| Jan 16, 2022 | championship |
Hull City
Stoke City
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 30.9% | 0.383 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | championship |
Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion
|
Result | away | 2.55 | 42.1% | 0.377 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | championship |
Peterborough United
Coventry City
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 45.3% | 0.358 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 3, 2022 | championship |
Reading
Derby County
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 52.1% | 0.311 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | championship |
Blackburn Rovers
Huddersfield Town
|
Result | away | 2.50 | 24.6% | 0.353 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | championship |
Bristol City
Millwall
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 59.2% | 0.835 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Jan 1, 2022 | championship |
Blackpool
Hull City
|
Result | away | 3.00 | 13.2% | 1.301 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 30, 2021 | championship |
Stoke City
Derby County
|
Result | home | 2.10 | 80.1% | 0.682 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 30, 2021 | championship |
Nottingham Forest
Huddersfield Town
|
Result | draw | 3.50 | 19.4% | 1.638 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 29, 2021 | championship |
Blackburn Rovers
Barnsley
|
Result | draw | 3.25 | 44.9% | 0.254 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 29, 2021 | championship |
Coventry City
Millwall
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 55.8% | 0.898 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 27, 2021 | championship |
Queens Park Rangers
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 7.0% | 2.314 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 27, 2021 | championship |
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 53.1% | 0.487 | 0.30u | Won | +0.54u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | championship |
Middlesbrough
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 9.0% | 1.203 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | championship |
Huddersfield Town
Blackpool
|
Result | draw | 3.25 | 3.3% | 1.375 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 20, 2021 | championship |
Fulham
Sheffield United
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 15.1% | 2.017 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 18, 2021 | championship |
Blackpool
Peterborough United
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 17.1% | 0.880 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 18, 2021 | championship |
Nottingham Forest
Hull City
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 6.7% | 2.000 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 17, 2021 | championship |
Barnsley
West Bromwich Albion
|
Result | draw | 4.00 | 31.5% | 1.148 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Dec 11, 2021 | championship |
Birmingham City
Cardiff City
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 36.4% | 1.050 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 11, 2021 | championship |
Peterborough United
Millwall
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 36.8% | 0.654 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 5, 2021 | championship |
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City
|
Result | away | 3.30 | 35.3% | 0.301 | 1.05u | Won | +2.42u |
| Dec 4, 2021 | championship |
Bristol City
Derby County
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 34.9% | 0.595 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 4, 2021 | championship |
Blackpool
Luton Town
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 40.9% | 0.461 | 0.30u | Won | +1.05u |
| Dec 3, 2021 | championship |
Fulham
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 40.2% | 0.431 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Nov 29, 2021 | championship |
Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 30.9% | 0.306 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Nov 28, 2021 | championship |
Sheffield United
Bristol City
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 34.0% | 0.728 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 27, 2021 | championship |
Preston North End
Fulham
|
Result | draw | 3.50 | 27.5% | 0.682 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Nov 27, 2021 | championship |
Luton Town
Cardiff City
|
Result | away | 4.75 | 30.4% | 0.587 | 0.30u | Won | +1.13u |
| Nov 26, 2021 | championship |
West Bromwich Albion
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | draw | 4.00 | 34.0% | 0.561 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Nov 24, 2021 | championship |
Bristol City
Stoke City
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 38.6% | 0.488 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Nov 24, 2021 | championship |
Blackburn Rovers
Peterborough United
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 38.1% | 0.895 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 23, 2021 | championship |
Middlesbrough
Preston North End
|
Result | draw | 3.10 | 33.1% | 0.320 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Nov 23, 2021 | championship |
Reading
Sheffield United
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 25.8% | 0.338 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Nov 21, 2021 | championship |
Derby County
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 35.9% | 0.703 | 1.20u | Won | +4.50u |
| Nov 20, 2021 | championship |
Stoke City
Peterborough United
|
Result | draw | 4.00 | 33.3% | 0.649 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 20, 2021 | championship |
Hull City
Birmingham City
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 28.6% | 0.403 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Nov 19, 2021 | championship |
Queens Park Rangers
Luton Town
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 31.3% | 0.342 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Nov 6, 2021 | championship |
Luton Town
Stoke City
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 38.1% | 0.438 | 0.30u | Won | +1.00u |
| Nov 6, 2021 | championship |
Peterborough United
Fulham
|
Result | home | 3.75 | 44.5% | 0.667 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.