Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 2:01 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Aug 7, 2018	mlb	Royals Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.583	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Aug 7, 2018	mlb	Angels Tigers	Total over	under	2.05	44.0%	0.148	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Aug 7, 2018	mlb	Rockies Pirates	Total over	under	1.99	43.5%	0.124	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Aug 7, 2018	mlb	Mets Reds	Total over	under	2.05	43.2%	0.164	0.78u	Won	+0.82u
Aug 6, 2018	mlb	White Sox Yankees	Total over	under	2.00	43.1%	0.139	0.69u	Won	+0.69u
Aug 6, 2018	mlb	Mets Reds	Total over	under	2.09	43.3%	0.185	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Aug 6, 2018	mlb	Royals Cubs	First3 result	home	2.68	57.1%	0.532	1.20u	Won	+2.02u
Aug 6, 2018	mlb	Mets Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.9%	0.432	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 5, 2018	mlb	Mariners Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.4%	0.550	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
Aug 5, 2018	mlb	Rays White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.3%	0.248	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Aug 5, 2018	mlb	Cubs Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.2%	0.269	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Aug 5, 2018	mlb	Indians Angels	Total over	under	1.97	43.1%	0.121	0.41u	Won	+0.40u
Aug 5, 2018	mlb	Brewers Rockies	Total over	under	2.05	44.2%	0.144	0.69u	Won	+0.72u
Aug 5, 2018	mlb	Mets Braves	Total over	under	2.02	43.5%	0.142	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Aug 4, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	Total over	under	1.97	42.8%	0.128	0.66u	Won	+0.64u
Aug 4, 2018	mlb	Athletics Tigers	Total over	under	1.98	43.4%	0.120	0.53u	Won	+0.52u
Aug 4, 2018	mlb	Rangers Orioles	Total over	under	2.01	44.1%	0.123	0.61u	Won	+0.62u
Aug 4, 2018	mlb	Mariners Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.3%	0.445	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 4, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First3 result	away	4.04	56.6%	0.752	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 3, 2018	mlb	Athletics Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.583	1.04u	Won	+2.91u
Aug 3, 2018	mlb	Mets Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.2%	0.578	0.76u	Won	+2.13u
Aug 3, 2018	mlb	Rangers Orioles	Total over	under	1.99	42.5%	0.145	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Aug 3, 2018	mlb	Mets Braves	Total over	under	2.02	42.0%	0.171	0.84u	Won	+0.86u
Aug 3, 2018	mlb	Rays White Sox	Total over	under	2.03	43.4%	0.149	0.72u	Won	+0.74u
Aug 2, 2018	mlb	Nationals Reds	Total over	under	2.01	43.5%	0.135	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Aug 2, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	Total over	under	1.93	42.2%	0.113	0.61u	Won	+0.56u
Aug 2, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.1%	0.251	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Aug 2, 2018	mlb	Rays Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.1%	0.405	0.72u	Won	+2.02u
Aug 2, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.6%	0.417	0.74u	Won	+2.07u
Aug 1, 2018	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.3%	0.268	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Aug 1, 2018	mlb	Nationals Mets	First3 result	away	3.40	43.3%	0.207	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Aug 1, 2018	mlb	White Sox Royals	Total over	under	2.04	43.0%	0.162	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Aug 1, 2018	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	Total over	under	2.02	43.8%	0.135	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Aug 1, 2018	mlb	Nationals Mets	Total over	under	2.05	43.0%	0.168	0.80u	Won	+0.84u
Jul 31, 2018	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.525	0.94u	Won	+2.63u
Jul 31, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Phillies	First3 result	away	3.69	42.5%	0.261	0.49u	Won	+1.32u
Jul 31, 2018	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.8%	0.155	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 30, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.4%	0.141	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jul 30, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Brewers	First3 result	away	2.82	36.5%	0.101	0.28u	Won	+0.51u
Jul 30, 2018	mlb	Padres Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.2%	0.168	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 30, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.7%	0.080	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jul 30, 2018	mlb	Braves Marlins	Total over	under	1.99	39.2%	0.211	1.06u	Won	+1.05u
Jul 29, 2018	mlb	Pirates Mets	Total over	under	1.91	41.3%	0.120	0.66u	Won	+0.60u
Jul 29, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.6%	0.149	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 29, 2018	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	home	3.09	42.2%	0.303	0.73u	Won	+1.53u
Jul 29, 2018	mlb	Pirates Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.5%	0.146	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
Jul 29, 2018	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.2%	0.171	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
Jul 29, 2018	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	away	3.81	39.9%	0.201	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jul 28, 2018	mlb	Rockies Athletics	First3 result	away	3.81	46.6%	0.534	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
Jul 28, 2018	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.431	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Jul 27, 2018	mlb	Reds Phillies	First3 result	away	4.19	42.8%	0.411	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Jul 27, 2018	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	home	3.16	42.0%	0.326	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Jul 27, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	First3 result	away	3.32	46.9%	0.321	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jul 26, 2018	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.2%	0.168	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 26, 2018	mlb	Giants Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.7%	0.153	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 26, 2018	mlb	Pirates Mets	First3 result	away	3.59	39.8%	0.140	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 26, 2018	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.8%	0.158	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 26, 2018	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First3 result	away	3.44	35.1%	0.177	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jul 26, 2018	mlb	Orioles Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.7%	0.152	0.27u	Won	+0.76u
Jul 26, 2018	mlb	Pirates Mets	Total over	over	1.93	59.2%	0.140	0.75u	Won	+0.69u
Jul 25, 2018	mlb	Phillies Dodgers	Total over	under	1.93	42.1%	0.116	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jul 25, 2018	mlb	Cubs Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.4%	0.286	0.51u	Won	+1.43u
Jul 25, 2018	mlb	Mets Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	1.156	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 24, 2018	mlb	Indians Pirates	First3 result	home	2.71	55.4%	0.501	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Jul 24, 2018	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.9%	0.508	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
Jul 24, 2018	mlb	Rays Yankees	Total over	under	2.01	43.0%	0.146	0.72u	Won	+0.73u
Jul 23, 2018	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.1%	0.166	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 23, 2018	mlb	Brewers Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.9%	0.161	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
Jul 23, 2018	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.9%	0.160	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Jul 23, 2018	mlb	Phillies Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.8%	0.156	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jul 23, 2018	mlb	Indians Pirates	First3 result	home	3.41	39.9%	0.359	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Jul 22, 2018	mlb	Mariners White Sox	First3 result	home	3.67	43.1%	0.582	1.09u	Won	+2.91u
Jul 22, 2018	mlb	Nationals Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.9%	0.556	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Jul 22, 2018	mlb	Rangers Indians	Total over	under	1.97	43.1%	0.121	0.62u	Won	+0.60u
Jul 22, 2018	mlb	Phillies Padres	Total over	over	1.98	57.3%	0.135	0.69u	Won	+0.68u
Jul 21, 2018	mlb	Athletics Giants	Total over	under	2.00	41.7%	0.165	0.83u	Won	+0.83u
Jul 21, 2018	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.527	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Jul 21, 2018	mlb	Rays Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.512	0.86u	Won	+2.41u
Jul 20, 2018	mlb	Yankees Mets	First3 result	home	2.77	40.2%	0.114	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jul 20, 2018	mlb	Mariners White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.3%	0.140	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
Jul 20, 2018	mlb	Rangers Indians	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.0%	0.511	0.91u	Won	+2.55u
Jul 20, 2018	mlb	Brewers Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.9%	0.159	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 20, 2018	mlb	Phillies Padres	Total over	under	1.97	42.7%	0.130	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jul 15, 2018	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 15, 2018	mlb	Astros Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 15, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First3 result	away	4.39	64.4%	0.565	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Jul 15, 2018	mlb	Padres Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jul 14, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 14, 2018	mlb	Mets Nationals	First3 result	home	2.33	50.2%	0.170	0.64u	Won	+0.85u
Jul 13, 2018	mlb	Mets Nationals	First3 result	home	2.09	51.6%	0.078	0.36u	Won	+0.39u
Jul 13, 2018	mlb	Twins Rays	First3 result	away	3.27	37.6%	0.304	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jul 13, 2018	mlb	Indians Yankees	Total over	under	2.05	45.0%	0.128	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Orioles Phillies	Total over	under	2.10	44.9%	0.157	0.71u	Won	+0.78u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Orioles Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Indians Yankees	First3 result	home	2.91	39.7%	0.157	0.20u	Won	+0.38u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.222	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 11, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 11, 2018	mlb	White Sox Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.221	0.40u	Won	+1.12u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.