Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 8:47 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 4.04 | 33.5% | 1.262 | 1.20u | Won | +3.65u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 12.0% | 1.347 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 16.8% | 0.638 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Total over | under | 1.98 | 43.3% | 0.123 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Total over | under | 1.99 | 43.4% | 0.127 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
Total over | under | 2.00 | 43.3% | 0.134 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Total over | under | 1.98 | 43.3% | 0.122 | 0.62u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Total over | under | 2.01 | 43.3% | 0.140 | 0.70u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Total over | under | 1.97 | 43.2% | 0.119 | 0.48u | Won | +0.47u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 29.5% | 1.679 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.9% | 1.047 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 48.9% | 0.482 | 0.86u | Won | +2.41u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 44.2% | 0.414 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Total over | under | 1.97 | 43.4% | 0.116 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Total over | under | 1.99 | 43.4% | 0.127 | 0.64u | Won | +0.63u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Total over | under | 2.01 | 43.3% | 0.139 | 0.69u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Total over | under | 2.00 | 43.2% | 0.135 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Total over | under | 2.00 | 43.2% | 0.135 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.7% | 0.716 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
First3 result | home | 2.40 | 66.1% | 0.587 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 2.67 | 66.1% | 0.766 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 12.0% | 1.347 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Total over | under | 2.00 | 43.3% | 0.134 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Total over | under | 1.99 | 43.3% | 0.129 | 0.38u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Total over | under | 2.04 | 43.3% | 0.157 | 0.75u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Total over | under | 2.01 | 43.2% | 0.141 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
Total over | under | 1.97 | 43.2% | 0.119 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.0% | 0.731 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
First3 result | home | 2.57 | 52.4% | 0.347 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
First3 result | home | 2.91 | 67.4% | 0.962 | 1.20u | Won | +2.29u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.2% | 0.409 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Total over | under | 2.00 | 43.3% | 0.133 | 0.67u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Total over | under | 2.00 | 43.3% | 0.133 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Total over | under | 2.03 | 43.3% | 0.150 | 0.73u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Total over | under | 1.98 | 43.4% | 0.122 | 0.62u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Blue Jays
|
Total over | under | 1.97 | 43.3% | 0.117 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.40 | 33.5% | 0.344 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Athletics
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 66.1% | 0.653 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 49.7% | 0.242 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 3.09 | 28.3% | 0.914 | 1.20u | Won | +2.51u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.76 | 44.3% | 0.223 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 3.17 | 31.0% | 0.536 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.21 | 41.1% | 0.439 | 0.80u | Won | +1.77u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.27 | 40.4% | 0.452 | 1.00u | Won | +2.27u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.75 | 38.2% | 0.275 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 2.92 | 44.7% | 0.305 | 0.79u | Won | +1.52u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 4.04 | 45.9% | 0.419 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 2.68 | 40.2% | 0.078 | 0.23u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 34.0% | 0.096 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 3.60 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
First3 result | away | 2.29 | 0.0% | 0.453 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 2.27 | 46.8% | 0.063 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 2.46 | 45.0% | 0.106 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 3.29 | 40.4% | 0.450 | 0.98u | Won | +2.24u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 49.3% | 0.258 | 0.82u | Won | +1.27u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 2.54 | 41.9% | 0.064 | 0.21u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Padres
|
First3 result | home | 2.62 | 50.0% | 0.310 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 2.56 | 43.4% | 0.110 | 0.35u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
First3 result | home | 2.07 | 53.5% | 0.108 | 0.50u | Won | +0.54u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 2.74 | 44.7% | 0.226 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
First3 result | away | 3.36 | 46.5% | 0.122 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 3.19 | 43.5% | 0.062 | 0.12u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 2.43 | 44.3% | 0.077 | 0.27u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
First3 result | home | 3.08 | 45.4% | 0.399 | 0.96u | Won | +2.00u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Royals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 33.4% | 0.140 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 47.5% | 0.165 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
First3 result | home | 2.30 | 49.1% | 0.129 | 0.19u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 44.6% | 0.137 | 0.44u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 2.61 | 45.8% | 0.195 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
First3 result | home | 2.23 | 51.0% | 0.137 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
First3 result | home | 2.48 | 48.2% | 0.196 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 2.38 | 47.4% | 0.127 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 2.74 | 46.5% | 0.275 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 2.71 | 45.0% | 0.219 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 48.6% | 0.155 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First3 result | home | 2.57 | 42.2% | 0.083 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 3.34 | 47.0% | 0.130 | 0.28u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.7% | 0.130 | 0.23u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 37.0% | 0.331 | 0.59u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 43.5% | 0.087 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Total over | under | 1.94 | 41.6% | 0.135 | 0.71u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 43.4% | 0.107 | 0.34u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 44.2% | 0.237 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 2.87 | 49.7% | 0.105 | 0.28u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 3.36 | 44.4% | 0.125 | 0.26u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 2.40 | 44.4% | 0.066 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 2.79 | 57.2% | 0.194 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 3.36 | 43.8% | 0.147 | 0.31u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
First3 result | home | 2.35 | 49.4% | 0.160 | 0.59u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.6% | 0.315 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.21 | 43.9% | 0.097 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 2.47 | 43.1% | 0.064 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 49.3% | 0.110 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 3.38 | 42.6% | 0.181 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 2.98 | 50.6% | 0.120 | 0.30u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 2.34 | 49.9% | 0.168 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First3 result | home | 2.46 | 44.4% | 0.091 | 0.31u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
First3 result | home | 3.09 | 44.8% | 0.384 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
First3 result | home | 2.54 | 42.5% | 0.080 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Total over | under | 1.99 | 39.7% | 0.201 | 1.01u | Won | +1.00u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.