Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 7:34 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 38.8% | 0.463 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 38.8% | 0.297 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Sep 7, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 37.5% | 0.581 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Sep 7, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 0.0% | 0.952 | 1.20u | Won | +1.14u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.2% | 0.168 | 0.15u | Won | +0.18u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.2% | 0.199 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 47.2% | 0.231 | 0.87u | Won | +1.16u |
| Sep 5, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 37.5% | 0.215 | 0.82u | Won | +0.77u |
| Sep 5, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 47.2% | 0.279 | 0.98u | Won | +1.39u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 37.5% | 0.456 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 37.5% | 0.531 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.11 | 68.4% | 0.444 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 0.0% | 1.060 | 1.20u | Won | +1.27u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 66.7% | 0.393 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.11 | 68.4% | 0.444 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 68.4% | 0.724 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 47.5% | 0.281 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 47.5% | 0.307 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 0.0% | 0.893 | 1.20u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 68.4% | 0.457 | 1.20u | Won | +1.36u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 68.4% | 0.457 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Cagliari
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.139 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | seriea |
Genoa
Napoli
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.7% | 0.208 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | seriea |
Salernitana
AS Roma
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.134 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 29, 2021 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Sampdoria
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.8% | 0.112 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Bologna
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 24.5% | 0.441 | 0.99u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | seriea |
Juventus
Empoli
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.120 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | seriea |
Lazio
Spezia
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.8% | 0.264 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Torino
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.7% | 0.082 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 47.2% | 0.220 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 68.4% | 0.430 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.2% | 0.168 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 47.2% | 0.136 | 0.59u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | seriea |
Udinese
Venezia
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.9% | 0.224 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 37.5% | 0.375 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 66.7% | 0.613 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 68.4% | 0.587 | 1.20u | Won | +1.58u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 47.5% | 0.202 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 48.5% | 0.319 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.0% | 0.299 | 0.78u | Won | +1.13u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.6% | 0.202 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 44.6% | 0.163 | 0.74u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | seriea |
Sampdoria
AC Milan
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 67.9% | 0.296 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Fiorentina
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 83.7% | 0.599 | 0.72u | Won | +0.65u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Salernitana
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 85.2% | 0.626 | 0.78u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 22, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.1% | 0.241 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 45.1% | 0.131 | 0.24u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.1% | 0.246 | 0.88u | Won | +1.23u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 45.6% | 0.153 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | seriea |
Torino
Atalanta
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.1% | 0.162 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 21, 2021 | seriea |
Internazionale
Genoa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.9% | 0.357 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.5% | 0.188 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 47.7% | 0.259 | 0.92u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.2% | 0.200 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.9% | 0.274 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 19, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 45.4% | 0.386 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 46.9% | 0.297 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.9% | 0.325 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.0% | 0.250 | 0.92u | Won | +1.25u |
| Aug 17, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 43.0% | 0.203 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 46.7% | 0.135 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 44.5% | 0.209 | 0.89u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.5% | 0.247 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 15, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.9% | 0.290 | 1.08u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 48.5% | 0.303 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 14, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 44.9% | 0.356 | 1.20u | Won | +1.75u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 44.1% | 0.112 | 0.25u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.7% | 0.230 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 13, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.9% | 0.168 | 0.70u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 12, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.3% | 0.164 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 44.1% | 0.163 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.0% | 0.191 | 0.74u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 11, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.0% | 0.198 | 0.79u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 41.9% | 0.239 | 0.66u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 10, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 42.0% | 0.271 | 1.14u | Won | +1.36u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 41.4% | 0.109 | 0.61u | Won | +0.54u |
| Aug 9, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 42.5% | 0.134 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 0.249 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 8, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 41.6% | 0.432 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 41.7% | 0.481 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 41.9% | 0.290 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 42.4% | 0.393 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 41.8% | 0.333 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 42.1% | 0.268 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.8% | 0.368 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 41.8% | 0.228 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 41.8% | 0.281 | 1.17u | Won | +1.40u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 42.0% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 41.7% | 0.330 | 1.20u | Won | +1.54u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 40.9% | 0.329 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 42.1% | 0.332 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.2% | 0.197 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 41.8% | 0.204 | 0.95u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 42.8% | 0.408 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 41.0% | 0.370 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 41.5% | 0.253 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.7% | 0.369 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 41.6% | 0.361 | 1.20u | Won | +1.60u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 41.7% | 0.347 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 41.8% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.