Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 7:34 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.8% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 42.3% | 0.282 | 0.75u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 45.2% | 0.282 | 1.05u | Won | +1.41u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.0% | 0.227 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 45.0% | 0.270 | 1.03u | Won | +1.35u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.5% | 0.139 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.0% | 0.269 | 0.76u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.9% | 0.288 | 1.04u | Won | +1.44u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 46.7% | 0.264 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 43.2% | 0.227 | 0.84u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 45.1% | 0.186 | 0.80u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 45.6% | 0.197 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 45.5% | 0.308 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 43.8% | 0.359 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 44.9% | 0.283 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.8% | 0.328 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.3% | 0.259 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.8% | 0.278 | 0.96u | Won | +1.39u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 44.9% | 0.312 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 45.4% | 0.284 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 44.1% | 0.281 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 44.7% | 0.322 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 47.0% | 0.181 | 0.73u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.3% | 0.279 | 1.01u | Won | +1.39u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.1% | 0.285 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 43.3% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 43.7% | 0.464 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.3% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.4% | 0.280 | 1.11u | Won | +1.40u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 43.4% | 0.217 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 43.4% | 0.138 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.4% | 0.211 | 0.93u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.3% | 0.287 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 43.5% | 0.339 | 1.20u | Won | +1.64u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.1% | 0.354 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 43.4% | 0.318 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 42.9% | 0.308 | 1.19u | Won | +1.54u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.2% | 0.271 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 43.4% | 0.234 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.4% | 0.323 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 43.7% | 0.127 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 43.7% | 0.114 | 0.28u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 43.5% | 0.199 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 43.1% | 0.370 | 1.20u | Won | +1.69u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 43.8% | 0.360 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 43.3% | 0.190 | 0.86u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.4% | 0.211 | 0.93u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 43.6% | 0.269 | 1.08u | Won | +1.35u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 43.5% | 0.243 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 48.8% | 0.276 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.4% | 0.189 | 0.75u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 44.0% | 0.383 | 1.20u | Won | +1.76u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 47.7% | 0.240 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 45.7% | 0.190 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 52.1% | 0.188 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 47.0% | 0.139 | 0.24u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 42.0% | 0.188 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 51.2% | 0.168 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.8% | 0.229 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 46.3% | 0.241 | 0.92u | Won | +1.21u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 45.3% | 0.307 | 1.10u | Won | +1.53u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 44.0% | 0.288 | 1.11u | Won | +1.44u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.186 | 0.68u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 47.9% | 0.234 | 0.85u | Won | +1.16u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.5% | 0.255 | 0.92u | Won | +1.28u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 45.4% | 0.295 | 1.08u | Won | +1.48u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.3% | 0.236 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 48.6% | 0.294 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.1% | 0.240 | 0.83u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 52.0% | 0.338 | 1.08u | Won | +1.70u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 45.5% | 0.210 | 0.72u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jun 18, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.1% | 0.264 | 0.95u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jun 17, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.6% | 0.178 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jun 14, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.72u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.76u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.64u | Won | +0.86u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.246 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.196 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 49.9% | 0.237 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.73u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.23u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 49.9% | 0.292 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Jun 3, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 50.0% | 0.310 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Jun 2, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 0.80u | Won | +1.18u |
| Jun 1, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.196 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 50.0% | 0.261 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| May 30, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.186 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.63 | 50.0% | 0.316 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.67 | 50.0% | 0.336 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| May 28, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.186 | 0.68u | Won | +0.93u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 50.0% | 0.210 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.