Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 6:48 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 43.7% | 0.188 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 40.2% | 0.147 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 41.8% | 0.120 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 54.8% | 0.332 | 1.16u | Won | +1.66u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 54.8% | 0.222 | 0.64u | Won | +0.79u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 54.8% | 0.486 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 54.8% | 0.244 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.8% | 0.298 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.7% | 0.319 | 1.19u | Won | +1.59u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 43.7% | 0.435 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 43.5% | 0.417 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 39.7% | 0.410 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 54.8% | 0.239 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 54.8% | 0.403 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 54.8% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 54.8% | 0.287 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 43.5% | 0.378 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 43.8% | 0.355 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 41.6% | 0.354 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 14, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 43.4% | 0.201 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 14, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.4% | 0.352 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 14, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 44.8% | 0.148 | 0.63u | Won | +0.68u |
| Apr 14, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.8% | 0.262 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 54.8% | 0.425 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 54.8% | 0.376 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.86 | 48.7% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.5% | 0.283 | 0.68u | Won | +0.86u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.4% | 0.284 | 1.12u | Won | +1.42u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 53.5% | 0.235 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.4% | 0.335 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 43.5% | 0.419 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.8% | 0.271 | 0.62u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 54.8% | 0.255 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 54.8% | 0.310 | 1.12u | Won | +1.56u |
| Apr 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 54.8% | 0.299 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Apr 11, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 43.0% | 0.186 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Apr 11, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 43.8% | 0.304 | 1.15u | Won | +1.52u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.7% | 0.300 | 1.14u | Won | +1.49u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 43.5% | 0.272 | 0.66u | Won | +0.83u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 54.8% | 0.497 | 1.20u | Won | +2.08u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 54.8% | 0.294 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 54.8% | 0.327 | 1.15u | Won | +1.63u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 54.8% | 0.288 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 56.6% | 0.303 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.6% | 0.207 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 43.4% | 0.167 | 0.79u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 43.7% | 0.161 | 0.10u | Won | +0.11u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 41.7% | 0.133 | 0.71u | Won | +0.67u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 43.7% | 0.193 | 0.77u | Won | +0.86u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 43.5% | 0.249 | 1.03u | Won | +1.25u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 51.4% | 0.255 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.77 | 54.8% | 0.518 | 1.20u | Won | +2.12u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 54.8% | 0.310 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.54 | 48.3% | 0.313 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Apr 7, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 54.8% | 0.392 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 7, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 54.8% | 0.217 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Apr 7, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.4% | 0.307 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 7, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.6% | 0.343 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 31, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 43.6% | 0.309 | 1.17u | Won | +1.54u |
| Oct 31, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 54.8% | 0.139 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Oct 23, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.8% | 0.260 | 1.00u | Won | +1.30u |
| Oct 23, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 43.8% | 0.186 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Oct 17, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.6% | 0.264 | 0.88u | Won | +1.32u |
| Oct 11, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.4% | 0.231 | 0.86u | Won | +1.15u |
| Oct 9, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.2% | 0.263 | 0.95u | Won | +1.32u |
| Oct 8, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 46.0% | 0.383 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Oct 5, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 57.0% | 0.231 | 0.99u | Won | +1.15u |
| Oct 3, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 57.4% | 0.361 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Oct 3, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 56.1% | 0.578 | 1.20u | Won | +2.17u |
| Oct 3, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 11.1% | 0.902 | 1.20u | Won | +1.37u |
| Oct 3, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 11.1% | 0.849 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 11.1% | 0.778 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 11.1% | 0.991 | 1.20u | Won | +1.49u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 57.4% | 0.327 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 56.1% | 0.319 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 57.4% | 0.562 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 56.8% | 0.498 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 1.80 | 11.1% | 0.600 | 1.20u | Won | +0.96u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 60.0% | 0.488 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Sep 30, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.04 | 100.0% | 1.040 | 1.20u | Won | +1.25u |
| Sep 30, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 60.0% | 0.392 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Sep 30, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.87 | 56.1% | 0.611 | 1.20u | Won | +2.24u |
| Sep 30, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 57.4% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.26 | 56.1% | 0.830 | 1.20u | Won | +2.71u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 56.1% | 0.134 | 0.60u | Won | +0.61u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.5% | 0.374 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 0.0% | 1.400 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Sep 28, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 60.0% | 0.512 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Sep 28, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 60.0% | 0.614 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 28, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.96 | 57.8% | 0.134 | 0.60u | Won | +0.58u |
| Sep 28, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.24 | 56.1% | 0.819 | 1.20u | Won | +2.69u |
| Sep 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 56.1% | 0.297 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Sep 27, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.06 | 56.3% | 0.159 | 0.75u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 1.84 | 60.0% | 0.104 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 27, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 56.3% | 0.176 | 0.81u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 100.0% | 1.540 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 60.0% | 0.452 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.37 | 57.3% | 0.930 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 55.6% | 0.402 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 57.9% | 0.536 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.