Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 5:58 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 54.6% | 0.381 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| May 19, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.97 | 54.8% | 0.080 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| May 18, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 55.2% | 0.120 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| May 18, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 54.5% | 0.270 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| May 17, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 55.3% | 0.273 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| May 17, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.98 | 55.2% | 0.092 | 0.14u | Won | +0.14u |
| May 17, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home win | home | 1.99 | 54.7% | 0.089 | 0.13u | Won | +0.13u |
| May 17, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 54.9% | 0.263 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| May 16, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 16, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 60.0% | 0.404 | 1.20u | Won | +1.61u |
| May 15, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 53.8% | 0.318 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 15, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 53.8% | 0.108 | 0.07u | Won | +0.07u |
| May 15, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 53.8% | 0.528 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| May 15, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 50.0% | 0.190 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| May 15, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 53.8% | 0.087 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| May 14, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 53.8% | 0.302 | 0.16u | Won | +0.23u |
| May 14, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 53.8% | 0.173 | 0.06u | Won | +0.07u |
| May 14, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 1.63 | 100.0% | 0.633 | 1.00u | Won | +0.63u |
| May 14, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 53.8% | 0.259 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| May 14, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 53.8% | 0.399 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| May 14, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 50.0% | 0.340 | 0.19u | Won | +0.32u |
| May 13, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 53.8% | 0.226 | 0.19u | Won | +0.24u |
| May 13, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 60.0% | 0.488 | 0.73u | Won | +1.08u |
| May 13, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 53.8% | 0.119 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| May 13, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 53.8% | 0.226 | 0.19u | Won | +0.24u |
| May 13, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 53.8% | 0.194 | 0.14u | Won | +0.17u |
| May 13, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 53.8% | 0.404 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| May 12, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 1.84 | 28.6% | 0.315 | 0.52u | Won | +0.44u |
| May 12, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 53.8% | 0.237 | 0.24u | Won | +0.31u |
| May 12, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 53.8% | 0.243 | 0.25u | Won | +0.33u |
| May 12, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | away | 1.77 | 28.6% | 0.264 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| May 12, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 53.8% | 0.087 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| May 12, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 53.8% | 0.307 | 0.37u | Won | +0.53u |
| May 11, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 50.0% | 0.330 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| May 11, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 53.8% | 0.146 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| May 11, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 53.8% | 0.200 | 0.16u | Won | +0.20u |
| May 11, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.22 | 53.8% | 0.732 | 1.20u | Won | +2.66u |
| May 10, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| May 10, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 53.8% | 0.302 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| May 10, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 53.8% | 0.269 | 0.21u | Won | +0.29u |
| May 10, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 28.6% | 0.857 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| May 10, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 53.8% | 0.108 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| May 9, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 75.0% | 0.375 | 0.35u | Won | +0.29u |
| May 9, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.88 | 100.0% | 0.877 | 1.20u | Won | +1.05u |
| May 9, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | away | 1.61 | 28.6% | 0.150 | 0.07u | Won | +0.04u |
| May 9, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 53.8% | 0.226 | 0.11u | Won | +0.14u |
| May 9, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 53.8% | 0.146 | 0.05u | Won | +0.06u |
| May 8, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 53.8% | 0.393 | 1.07u | Won | +1.70u |
| May 8, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.09 | 53.8% | 0.124 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| May 8, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 60.0% | 0.248 | 0.57u | Won | +0.62u |
| May 7, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 1.81 | 60.0% | 0.084 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| May 7, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 53.8% | 0.253 | 0.40u | Won | +0.53u |
| May 7, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 75.0% | 0.464 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 7, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 53.8% | 0.130 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| May 6, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 53.8% | 0.167 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| May 6, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 75.0% | 0.545 | 0.95u | Won | +1.01u |
| May 6, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.08 | 28.6% | 0.486 | 0.75u | Won | +0.81u |
| May 5, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 53.8% | 0.103 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| May 5, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 53.8% | 0.302 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| May 5, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 53.8% | 0.087 | 0.33u | Won | +0.34u |
| May 4, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| May 4, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 53.8% | 0.377 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| May 4, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 50.0% | 0.120 | 0.07u | Won | +0.09u |
| May 4, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 53.8% | 0.334 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| May 4, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.62 | 50.0% | 0.310 | 0.32u | Won | +0.52u |
| May 4, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 50.0% | 0.365 | 0.43u | Won | +0.74u |
| May 3, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 28.6% | 0.464 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 3, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 53.8% | 0.291 | 0.15u | Won | +0.21u |
| May 3, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 53.8% | 0.248 | 0.12u | Won | +0.16u |
| May 3, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 50.0% | 0.295 | 0.15u | Won | +0.24u |
| May 3, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 53.8% | 0.517 | 0.40u | Won | +0.73u |
| May 3, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 60.0% | 0.590 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| May 2, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 59.0% | 0.440 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| May 2, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 56.7% | 0.373 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| May 2, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 56.3% | 0.204 | 0.11u | Won | +0.13u |
| May 2, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 55.2% | 0.276 | 0.18u | Won | +0.24u |
| May 2, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 59.7% | 0.533 | 0.59u | Won | +0.93u |
| May 2, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.3% | 0.261 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 1, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 55.9% | 0.515 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| May 1, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 55.9% | 0.092 | 0.08u | Won | +0.08u |
| May 1, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 52.4% | 0.237 | 0.36u | Won | +0.49u |
| May 1, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 53.0% | 0.144 | 0.16u | Won | +0.19u |
| Apr 30, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 50.6% | 0.275 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Apr 30, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 56.0% | 0.332 | 0.31u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 30, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 57.0% | 0.204 | 0.14u | Won | +0.16u |
| Apr 30, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 57.1% | 0.503 | 0.62u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 30, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 54.2% | 0.237 | 0.17u | Won | +0.22u |
| Apr 30, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 58.7% | 0.349 | 0.35u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 29, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 54.9% | 0.257 | 0.35u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 29, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 58.5% | 0.369 | 0.68u | Won | +0.91u |
| Apr 29, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 51.1% | 0.129 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Apr 29, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 53.7% | 0.234 | 0.29u | Won | +0.38u |
| Apr 29, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 57.2% | 0.264 | 0.38u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 28, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 55.0% | 0.178 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 28, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 57.1% | 0.359 | 0.90u | Won | +1.24u |
| Apr 28, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 55.7% | 0.158 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Apr 28, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 1.88 | 57.9% | 0.087 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Apr 28, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 1.96 | 56.8% | 0.115 | 0.14u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 28, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 55.3% | 0.139 | 0.18u | Won | +0.19u |
| Apr 27, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 60.3% | 0.428 | 0.39u | Won | +0.53u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.