Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 11, 2026 5:48 PM EDT
Home draw
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
away
Odds
2.38
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Total over
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
Paris Saint-Germain
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
champions-league
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Result
europa-league
AS Roma
AC Milan
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
europa-league
Atalanta
Liverpool
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Home away
europa-league
AS Roma
AC Milan
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.881
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home away
europa-league
Atalanta
Liverpool
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.672
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
europa-league
Marseille
Benfica
1x
Odds
2.50
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.88u
Won
+1.32u
Draw away
champions-league
Bayern Munich
Arsenal
x2
Odds
2.38
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Home draw
champions-league
Manchester City
Real Madrid
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
champions-league
Bayern Munich
Arsenal
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
1.500
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Total over
champions-league
Bayern Munich
Arsenal
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
champions-league
Manchester City
Real Madrid
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.7%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.64u
Lost
-0.64u
Total over
champions-league
Manchester City
Real Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.18u
Total over
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
Atlético Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.331
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Total over
champions-league
Barcelona
Paris Saint-Germain
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home away
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
Atlético Madrid
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
1.036
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home away
champions-league
Barcelona
Paris Saint-Germain
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.807
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
Atlético Madrid
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.487
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home draw
champions-league
Barcelona
Paris Saint-Germain
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.521
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.30u
Result
europa-league
AC Milan
AS Roma
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.494
Stake
0.35u
Won
+1.19u
Result
europa-league
Benfica
Marseille
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.521
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
europa-league
Bayer Leverkusen
West Ham United
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.595
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Draw away
europa-league
Bayer Leverkusen
West Ham United
x2
Odds
2.75
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.381
Stake
1.09u
Lost
-1.09u
Home away
europa-league
Bayer Leverkusen
West Ham United
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
1.955
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
europa-league
AC Milan
AS Roma
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
1.287
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.04u
Home draw
europa-league
Benfica
Marseille
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.389
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Draw away
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.768
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.88u
Home draw
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Barcelona
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
1.116
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.92u
Home draw
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
1.302
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Total over
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Barcelona
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.6%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Total over
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.18u
Total over
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.3%
EV/u
0.292
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Total over
champions-league
Arsenal
Bayern Munich
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.8%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.31u
Total over
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Draw away
champions-league
Arsenal
Bayern Munich
x2
Odds
2.20
Prob
61.7%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.98u
Won
+1.18u
Home away
champions-league
Arsenal
Bayern Munich
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
1.139
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.92u
Home away
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.668
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.44u
Home draw
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
champions-league
Arsenal
Bayern Munich
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
1.377
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
europa-league
Rangers
Benfica
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.60u
Result
europa-league
Brighton & Hove Albion
AS Roma
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
europa-league
Bayer Leverkusen
FK Qarabag
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.486
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Draw away
europa-league
West Ham United
SC Freiburg
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.677
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.53u
Draw away
europa-league
Atalanta
Sporting CP
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
17.9%
EV/u
1.270
Stake
0.95u
Won
+1.76u
Home away
europa-league
West Ham United
SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.861
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home away
europa-league
Bayer Leverkusen
FK Qarabag
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
1.331
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
europa-league
Rangers
Benfica
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.030
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.80u
Total over
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Internazionale
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.289
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Total over
champions-league
Borussia Dortmund
PSV Eindhoven
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Total over
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Internazionale
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.031
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.18u
Total over
champions-league
Arsenal
FC Porto
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
champions-league
Barcelona
Napoli
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.058
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Total over
champions-league
Barcelona
Napoli
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.0%
EV/u
0.126
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.18u
Draw away
champions-league
Barcelona
Napoli
x2
Odds
3.75
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
1.080
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Draw away
champions-league
Arsenal
FC Porto
x2
Odds
3.75
Prob
51.0%
EV/u
0.914
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
europa-league
AS Roma
Brighton & Hove Albion
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
europa-league
SC Freiburg
West Ham United
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.422
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
europa-league
FK Qarabag
Bayer Leverkusen
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Total over
europa-league
Sparta Prague
Liverpool
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.042
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home away
europa-league
Benfica
Rangers
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
1.262
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.33u
Home away
europa-league
AS Roma
Brighton & Hove Albion
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
1.313
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Home away
europa-league
FK Qarabag
Bayer Leverkusen
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
1.227
Stake
0.39u
Won
+1.25u
Home draw
europa-league
FK Qarabag
Bayer Leverkusen
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
1.448
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Draw away
champions-league
Manchester City
F.C. København
x2
Odds
5.00
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
1.516
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Total over
champions-league
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.65u
Total over
champions-league
Manchester City
F.C. København
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.120
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
champions-league
Bayern Munich
Lazio
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.18u
Total over
champions-league
Real Sociedad
Paris Saint-Germain
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.080
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
Total over
champions-league
Bayern Munich
Lazio
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.032
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home away
champions-league
Bayern Munich
Lazio
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.873
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Result
europa-league
FK Qarabag
Braga
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
europa-league
Stade Rennais
AC Milan
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
europa-league
AS Roma
Feyenoord Rotterdam
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.46u
Lost
-0.46u
Draw away
europa-league
AS Roma
Feyenoord Rotterdam
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
1.065
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home away
europa-league
AS Roma
Feyenoord Rotterdam
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.825
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.56u
Home away
europa-league
Sparta Prague
Galatasaray
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.811
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Draw away
champions-league
FC Porto
Arsenal
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.16u
Total over
champions-league
Napoli
Barcelona
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
21.0%
EV/u
0.509
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
champions-league
FC Porto
Arsenal
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.150
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.18u
Total over
champions-league
Internazionale
Atlético Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
25.2%
EV/u
0.427
Stake
0.83u
Won
+0.75u
Total over
champions-league
PSV Eindhoven
Borussia Dortmund
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.34u
Home away
champions-league
PSV Eindhoven
Borussia Dortmund
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
1.154
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.24u
Result
europa-league
Galatasaray
Sparta Prague
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.908
Stake
0.54u
Won
+2.16u
Result
europa-league
Lens
SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.83u
Result
europa-league
Benfica
Toulouse
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.529
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home away
europa-league
Galatasaray
Sparta Prague
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
1.039
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Home away
europa-league
AC Milan
Stade Rennais
draw
Odds
3.35
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.793
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Home draw
europa-league
Benfica
Toulouse
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
1.592
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home away
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Real Sociedad
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.964
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home draw
champions-league
Lazio
Bayern Munich
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
1.505
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Total over
champions-league
Lazio
Bayern Munich
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.18u
Total over
champions-league
Paris Saint-Germain
Real Sociedad
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.64u
Total over
champions-league
Lazio
Bayern Munich
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.9%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Total over
champions-league
F.C. København
Manchester City
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
23.6%
EV/u
0.459
Stake
0.94u
Won
+0.85u
Total over
champions-league
RB Leipzig
Real Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.24u
Home draw
champions-league
F.C. København
Manchester City
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.55u
Result
europa-league
Raków Czestochowa
Atalanta
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.600
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
europa-league
Sporting CP
SK Sturm Graz
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.473
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.