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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 11, 2026 5:48 PM EDT

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Result championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
1.12u
Won +2.80u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
0.62u
Lost -0.62u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Preston North End Preston North End
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
0.88u
Lost -0.88u
Result championship
Wrexham Wrexham
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.399
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
Result championship
Oxford United Oxford United
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.060
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.49u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Southampton Southampton
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.143
Stake
0.32u
Won +1.15u
Result championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.24u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
4.70
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.11u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Coventry City Coventry City
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.88u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Oxford United Oxford United
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.61u
Won +1.43u
Result championship
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
Hull City Hull City
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.81u
Lost -0.81u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
2.60
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
1.20u
Won +1.92u
Result championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Norwich City Norwich City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
11.4%
EV/u
0.895
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Oxford United Oxford United
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.65u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Watford Watford
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.28u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Oxford United Oxford United
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
1.325
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.44u
Result championship
Wrexham Wrexham
Portsmouth Portsmouth
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
1.532
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
1.211
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
27.7%
EV/u
1.245
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.12u
Result championship
Wrexham Wrexham
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
home
Odds
3.55
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.639
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.77u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.487
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Wrexham Wrexham
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.061
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
47.2%
EV/u
0.488
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Sheffield United Sheffield United
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.558
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.82u
Result championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Stoke City Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.85u
Lost -0.85u
Result championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Southampton Southampton
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
1.036
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.80u
Result championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.40u
Result championship
Wrexham Wrexham
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
3.90
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.427
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Southampton Southampton
Watford Watford
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Watford Watford
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.119
Stake
0.49u
Lost -0.49u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.606
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.96u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Wrexham Wrexham
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.647
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.44u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.438
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.36u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Coventry City Coventry City
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.099
Stake
0.39u
Won +0.80u
Result championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Southampton Southampton
home
Odds
3.35
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.85u
Lost -0.85u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Watford Watford
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.715
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.917
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Portsmouth Portsmouth
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Southampton Southampton
Sheffield United Sheffield United
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.632
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.544
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.93u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Birmingham City Birmingham City
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.746
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.44u
Result championship
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
23.4%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Portsmouth Portsmouth
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.415
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.66u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Coventry City Coventry City
away
Odds
3.55
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.74u
Lost -0.74u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.11u
Lost -0.11u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
draw
Odds
3.65
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.214
Stake
0.65u
Lost -0.65u
Result championship
Southampton Southampton
Millwall Millwall
away
Odds
3.65
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.528
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.540
Stake
1.08u
Lost -1.08u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.14u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.512
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.96u
Result championship
Leicester City Leicester City
Watford Watford
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.862
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Preston North End Preston North End
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.945
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Southampton Southampton
Coventry City Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.90
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.525
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.87u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
53.9%
EV/u
0.535
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.22u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Wrexham Wrexham
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
55.7%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
1.20u
Won +1.44u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County Derby County
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.900
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.916
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Swansea City Swansea City
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
62.2%
EV/u
1.148
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.94u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Norwich City Norwich City
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.372
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.10u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Oxford United Oxford United
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.768
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.835
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Watford Watford
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
51.9%
EV/u
0.653
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Derby County Derby County
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.675
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.66u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Hull City Hull City
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.678
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Wrexham Wrexham
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.752
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City Birmingham City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.594
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Southampton Southampton
Leicester City Leicester City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.708
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
1.290
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.20u
Result championship
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield United Sheffield United
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.622
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Millwall Millwall
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.764
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
26.1%
EV/u
1.288
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.21u
Lost -0.21u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Oxford United Oxford United
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.56u
Won +1.46u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Portsmouth Portsmouth
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.94u
Lost -0.94u
Result championship
Watford Watford
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.50u
Lost -0.50u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Swansea City Swansea City
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.54u
Lost -0.54u
Result championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Wrexham Wrexham
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.51u
Lost -0.51u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Sheffield United Sheffield United
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Millwall Millwall
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Southampton Southampton
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.08u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.625
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Wrexham Wrexham
Coventry City Coventry City
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.136
Stake
0.50u
Won +1.10u
Result championship
Portsmouth Portsmouth
Stoke City Stoke City
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
1.236
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Birmingham City Birmingham City
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
56.6%
EV/u
0.811
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.66u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Sheffield United Sheffield United
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
1.20u
Won +1.92u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Watford Watford
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
1.454
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.32u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Leicester City Leicester City
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.805
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.72u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Sheffield United Sheffield United
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
53.6%
EV/u
0.983
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.50u
Result championship
Norwich City Norwich City
Bristol City Bristol City
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
56.5%
EV/u
0.723
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.46u
Result championship
Ipswich Town Ipswich Town
Norwich City Norwich City
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
27.3%
EV/u
0.433
Stake
1.12u
Lost -1.12u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.