Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 11, 2026 5:48 PM EDT
Result
championship
Ipswich Town
Millwall
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Plymouth Argyle
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.852
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.69u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
1.038
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.80u
Result
championship
Millwall
Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
26.3%
EV/u
1.341
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
5.9%
EV/u
1.384
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.12u
Result
championship
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
1.136
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.695
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.88u
Won
+2.29u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
21.7%
EV/u
0.384
Stake
0.92u
Won
+3.06u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
22.5%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.52u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Coventry City
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.739
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Sunderland
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
24.0%
EV/u
0.589
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Leicester City
Leeds United
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
championship
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
2.38
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Rotherham United
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
62.3%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.903
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
1.070
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.00u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Ipswich Town
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
1.116
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Coventry City
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
1.184
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.84u
Result
championship
Leicester City
Sunderland
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.96u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Cardiff City
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
1.573
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
1.384
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Norwich City
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.894
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.00u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Watford
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.617
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.05u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.16u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Bristol City
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.00u
Result
championship
Leeds United
Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.53u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
1.057
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.897
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Leicester City
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Rotherham United
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.597
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Stoke City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.05u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Sunderland
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.57u
Lost
-0.57u
Total over
wnba
New York Liberty
Connecticut Sun
under
Odds
1.92
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Hull City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.63u
Won
+1.64u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.87u
Won
+2.61u
Result
championship
Leicester City
Bristol City
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
32.6%
EV/u
0.469
Stake
1.07u
Won
+3.75u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Result
championship
Hull City
Leeds United
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.66u
Won
+1.65u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Leicester City
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Stoke City
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Plymouth Argyle
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Result
championship
Millwall
Leeds United
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
5.5%
EV/u
0.644
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.20u
Home cover
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Chicago Sky
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
69.4%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
1.17u
Won
+1.05u
Total over
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Minnesota Lynx
under
Odds
1.90
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.49u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Swansea City
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.735
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
16.7%
EV/u
1.033
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Hull City
Coventry City
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
78.5%
EV/u
0.805
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Southampton
Leicester City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.752
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Total over
wnba
New York Liberty
Washington Mystics
over
Odds
1.89
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.44u
Total over
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Chicago Sky
under
Odds
1.90
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.69u
Home win
wnba
Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
1.83
Prob
68.8%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
1.03u
Won
+0.86u
Home cover
wnba
Seattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.52u
Total over
wnba
New York Liberty
Washington Mystics
under
Odds
1.90
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Total over
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Phoenix Mercury
over
Odds
1.89
Prob
60.1%
EV/u
0.109
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.18u
Total over
wnba
Seattle Storm
Los Angeles Sparks
over
Odds
1.90
Prob
68.8%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.87u
Won
+0.78u
Home cover
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Indiana Fever
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
21.9%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home cover
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Las Vegas Aces
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.27u
Home win
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Los Angeles Sparks
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.630
Stake
0.62u
Won
+1.36u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
New York Liberty
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.774
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
Home cover
wnba
Indiana Fever
Chicago Sky
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
1.04u
Won
+0.93u
Home cover
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
1.92
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.42u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
New York Liberty
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
53.7%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Bristol City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
1.193
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Watford
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
22.3%
EV/u
0.883
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
Home win
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Atlanta Dream
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
1.22u
Won
+2.07u
Home win
wnba
Indiana Fever
Dallas Wings
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
72.5%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Home cover
wnba
New York Liberty
Las Vegas Aces
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
Home win
wnba
Seattle Storm
Chicago Sky
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
53.0%
EV/u
1.013
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Result
championship
Watford
Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.428
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Plymouth Argyle
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.554
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Sheffield Wednesday
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
1.075
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
wnba
Washington Mystics
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
1.623
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.40u
Home win
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
New York Liberty
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
1.313
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home cover
wnba
Washington Mystics
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.84u
Won
+0.76u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
1.26u
Lost
-1.26u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Seattle Storm
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
52.3%
EV/u
0.613
Stake
1.43u
Won
+3.07u
Home win
wnba
Atlanta Dream
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
54.0%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home win
wnba
Washington Mystics
Dallas Wings
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
1.26u
Lost
-1.26u
Home win
wnba
Chicago Sky
Connecticut Sun
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
wnba
Chicago Sky
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.89u
Won
+0.80u
Home cover
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Seattle Storm
away
Odds
1.92
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.52u
Total over
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Indiana Fever
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.70u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Millwall
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.808
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield Town
home
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.915
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.900
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Total over
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Los Angeles Sparks
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
0.158
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Home win
wnba
Seattle Storm
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Result
championship
Leeds United
West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Total over
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
New York Liberty
under
Odds
1.92
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.96u
Won
+0.88u
Result
championship
Ipswich Town
Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
1.163
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Watford
Plymouth Argyle
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
1.021
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
Home cover
wnba
New York Liberty
Chicago Sky
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Connecticut Sun
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.841
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.08u
Home win
wnba
Seattle Storm
Atlanta Dream
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.476
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.37u
Total over
wnba
Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.53u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.