Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 11, 2026 5:48 PM EDT
Home win
wnba
Washington Mystics
New York Liberty
home
Odds
3.59
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
1.108
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.07u
Total over
wnba
Indiana Fever
Connecticut Sun
over
Odds
1.90
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Total over
wnba
Washington Mystics
New York Liberty
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.7%
EV/u
0.275
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Total over
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Chicago Sky
over
Odds
1.90
Prob
74.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Total over
wnba
Los Angeles Sparks
Phoenix Mercury
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
80.2%
EV/u
0.445
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
wnba
Washington Mystics
New York Liberty
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.302
Stake
0.97u
Won
+0.88u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Coventry City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.646
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.00u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Sunderland
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.528
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Middlesbrough
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.06u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Luton Town
away
Odds
2.88
Prob
37.0%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
1.15u
Lost
-1.15u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
13.5%
EV/u
0.996
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Rotherham United
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
13.3%
EV/u
1.316
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.30u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Sheffield United
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.547
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.36u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Luton Town
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.65u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.93u
Result
championship
Hull City
Swansea City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
1.19u
Lost
-1.19u
Result
championship
Blackpool
Millwall
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Cardiff City
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
36.7%
EV/u
0.057
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
championship
Sheffield United
West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.583
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Burnley
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Middlesbrough
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Sunderland
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.550
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.00u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Reading
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.583
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.00u
Result
championship
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.538
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Reading
Luton Town
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.50u
Won
+2.00u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Coventry City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Result
championship
Millwall
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.93u
Lost
-0.93u
Result
championship
Sheffield United
Bristol City
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.250
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.48u
Result
championship
Sheffield United
Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Reading
Burnley
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.866
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Norwich City
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Stoke City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
25.6%
EV/u
0.832
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Sunderland
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
17.8%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Hull City
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
27.0%
EV/u
0.785
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.05u
Result
championship
Reading
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
7.9%
EV/u
0.962
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.88u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Blackpool
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
17.1%
EV/u
1.280
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
1.429
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Bristol City
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.166
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.76u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Reading
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.746
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Coventry City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.429
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Sunderland
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
1.00u
Won
+3.75u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Cardiff City
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
47.9%
EV/u
0.916
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.60u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Blackpool
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.608
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.00u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
championship
Reading
Sheffield United
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Birmingham City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.717
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Stoke City
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.773
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Hull City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.833
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.12u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Coventry City
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Millwall
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Rotherham United
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.51u
Won
+1.53u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Cardiff City
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
0.815
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.88u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Luton Town
home
Odds
2.63
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Stoke City
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Sunderland
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.984
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.36u
Result
championship
Watford
West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
1.04u
Lost
-1.04u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Birmingham City
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
28.1%
EV/u
1.822
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Millwall
Sheffield United
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
72.2%
EV/u
0.985
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.53u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Reading
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
1.168
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.319
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.779
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.88u
Result
championship
Burnley
Watford
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
1.147
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.12u
Result
championship
Watford
Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
1.105
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.52u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.880
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.79u
Won
+2.21u
Result
championship
Blackpool
Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.434
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.64u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Wigan Athletic
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.545
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.76u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.96u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Sheffield United
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.565
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Coventry City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Result
championship
Hull City
Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
62.4%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.44u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Middlesbrough
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Luton Town
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.447
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.96u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Millwall
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
23.2%
EV/u
1.119
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.00u
Result
championship
Sheffield United
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.796
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Burnley
West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.738
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Swansea City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.729
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.36u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Wigan Athletic
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.650
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Reading
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
15.9%
EV/u
0.447
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Burnley
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
24.3%
EV/u
0.949
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.60u
Result
championship
Blackpool
Sunderland
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
55.4%
EV/u
0.663
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Millwall
Rotherham United
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
25.4%
EV/u
0.654
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Burnley
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
19.4%
EV/u
0.720
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Watford
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
21.8%
EV/u
0.540
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.685
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Luton Town
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.749
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Reading
Swansea City
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.84u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
18.9%
EV/u
0.766
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
1.015
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Coventry City
West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
26.5%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.618
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Burnley
Middlesbrough
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.533
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Blackpool
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
1.040
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.