Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 11, 2026 5:48 PM EDT
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Reading
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
35.6%
EV/u
0.823
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sunderland
West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
4.3%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
1.19u
Lost
-1.19u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
0.966
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackpool
Birmingham City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
1.097
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Millwall
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
4.8%
EV/u
1.487
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Burnley
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
32.5%
EV/u
1.226
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Rotherham United
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Watford
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.716
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Sunderland
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.516
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.00u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Luton Town
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.806
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Wigan Athletic
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
27.5%
EV/u
0.897
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Wigan Athletic
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
27.2%
EV/u
1.011
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackpool
Luton Town
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
24.4%
EV/u
1.086
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Reading
Preston North End
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
28.3%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.76u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Stoke City
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.87u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Sunderland
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.42u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Swansea City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
1.219
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Hull City
Middlesbrough
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
28.0%
EV/u
0.629
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.84u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Millwall
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.672
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.70u
Result
championship
Hull City
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.518
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.05u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.184
Stake
1.05u
Won
+1.47u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Rotherham United
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.410
Stake
1.09u
Lost
-1.09u
Result
championship
Watford
Luton Town
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.223
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.8%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Result
championship
Sheffield United
Norwich City
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.602
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Blackpool
Preston North End
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.718
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Burnley
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.55u
Won
+1.16u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Sheffield United
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.95u
Won
+1.81u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Bristol City
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
56.1%
EV/u
0.497
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.90u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Reading
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.601
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Hull City
Birmingham City
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Watford
Norwich City
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.646
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.12u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Millwall
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Preston North End
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.77u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
47.4%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.10u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Burnley
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.530
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Rotherham United
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.451
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.68u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Reading
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Millwall
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.2%
EV/u
0.445
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Reading
Norwich City
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.6%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Coventry City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.106
Stake
0.10u
Lost
-0.10u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.91u
Won
+2.50u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Watford
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
14.9%
EV/u
1.454
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Preston North End
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
1.274
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Reading
Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
8.5%
EV/u
1.483
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Hull City
Luton Town
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home cover
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Las Vegas Aces
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.67u
Total over
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Las Vegas Aces
under
Odds
1.93
Prob
37.4%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.67u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
7.6%
EV/u
1.250
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
55.3%
EV/u
0.677
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home cover
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Las Vegas Aces
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
19.9%
EV/u
0.571
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
22.1%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.66u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
14.6%
EV/u
0.629
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Burnley
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
18.1%
EV/u
0.734
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.88u
Total over
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Connecticut Sun
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
22.9%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Total over
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Connecticut Sun
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
1.15u
Won
+1.05u
Total over
wnba
Chicago Sky
Connecticut Sun
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
26.9%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Total over
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Chicago Sky
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.8%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Sunderland
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.495
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Hull City
Sheffield United
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.60u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Blackpool
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.814
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Total over
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Chicago Sky
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.2%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Birmingham City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.878
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.80u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Coventry City
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Burnley
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.83u
Lost
-0.83u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Preston North End
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.754
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Total over
wnba
Chicago Sky
Connecticut Sun
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
25.9%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Hull City
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.666
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.00u
Result
championship
Burnley
Millwall
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.782
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Total over
wnba
Chicago Sky
Connecticut Sun
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.51u
Result
championship
Hull City
Coventry City
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Watford
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.498
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.36u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Sheffield United
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
Connecticut Sun
home
Odds
3.11
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.669
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
wnba
Dallas Wings
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.52u
Home win
wnba
New York Liberty
Chicago Sky
home
Odds
3.49
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.832
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.86u
Lost
-0.86u
Result
championship
Burnley
Blackpool
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
20.1%
EV/u
1.715
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.88u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Wigan Athletic
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
61.3%
EV/u
1.299
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
West Bromwich Albion
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.761
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.36u
Result
championship
Reading
Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
60.7%
EV/u
0.760
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.57u
Home cover
wnba
Chicago Sky
New York Liberty
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.69u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Millwall
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
76.2%
EV/u
0.943
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Burnley
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
23.7%
EV/u
1.745
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.12u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Sheffield United
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
55.6%
EV/u
0.667
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
wnba
Washington Mystics
Indiana Fever
home
Odds
3.49
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
1.050
Stake
0.99u
Won
+2.47u
Home win
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Seattle Storm
home
Odds
2.94
Prob
58.6%
EV/u
0.685
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.99u
Result
championship
Blackpool
Swansea City
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
39.9%
EV/u
0.637
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
Result
championship
Sunderland
Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.822
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.88u
Result
championship
Watford
Burnley
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Dallas Wings
home
Odds
2.06
Prob
61.7%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
1.06u
Won
+1.12u
Total over
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Seattle Storm
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
61.3%
EV/u
0.138
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.55u
Home cover
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Chicago Sky
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.53u
Home win
wnba
Dallas Wings
New York Liberty
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
60.4%
EV/u
0.655
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.