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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: May 11, 2026 5:48 PM EDT

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Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.842
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
1.047
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.60u
Result championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
1.066
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
46.4%
EV/u
0.532
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
1.056
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Peterborough United Peterborough United
Hull City Hull City
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
1.038
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Peterborough United Peterborough United
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.811
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.749
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
2.88
Prob
52.8%
EV/u
0.522
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.26u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
54.1%
EV/u
0.840
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.610
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.75u
Result championship
Peterborough United Peterborough United
Reading Reading
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
55.9%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Coventry City Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
46.2%
EV/u
0.524
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.76u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
46.7%
EV/u
0.328
Stake
0.79u
Lost -0.79u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Bristol City Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
47.7%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.53u
Lost -0.53u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Coventry City Coventry City
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
1.048
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Fulham Fulham
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
1.052
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Peterborough United Peterborough United
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.631
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.393
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Millwall Millwall
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.36u
Lost -0.36u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Hull City Hull City
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.32u
Lost -0.32u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Barnsley Barnsley
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.24u
Lost -0.24u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
24.0%
EV/u
0.586
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.72u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Bristol City Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
26.6%
EV/u
0.994
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Sheffield United Sheffield United
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Derby County Derby County
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.63u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Cardiff City Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
16.7%
EV/u
1.404
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Birmingham City Birmingham City
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
58.4%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.608
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.76u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Bristol City Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
27.0%
EV/u
1.243
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.72u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
33.2%
EV/u
1.580
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.50u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City Swansea City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.656
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.78u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Stoke City Stoke City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
1.207
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
away
Odds
2.63
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.80u
Lost -0.80u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Millwall Millwall
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.638
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
Hull City Hull City
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
1.118
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Luton Town Luton Town
home
Odds
4.33
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.775
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Sheffield United Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
31.0%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.97u
Won +2.13u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Stoke City Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Peterborough United Peterborough United
Coventry City Coventry City
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.358
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.311
Stake
1.00u
Lost -1.00u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
24.6%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.835
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.52u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
13.2%
EV/u
1.301
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Derby County Derby County
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
80.1%
EV/u
0.682
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
19.4%
EV/u
1.638
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Barnsley Barnsley
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Coventry City Coventry City
Millwall Millwall
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
55.8%
EV/u
0.898
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
7.0%
EV/u
2.314
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.487
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.54u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
9.0%
EV/u
1.203
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town
Blackpool Blackpool
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
3.3%
EV/u
1.375
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Sheffield United Sheffield United
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
15.1%
EV/u
2.017
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Peterborough United Peterborough United
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
17.1%
EV/u
0.880
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Hull City Hull City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
6.7%
EV/u
2.000
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
1.148
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.60u
Result championship
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
1.050
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Peterborough United Peterborough United
Millwall Millwall
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.654
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City Stoke City
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
1.05u
Won +2.42u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Derby County Derby County
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.595
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.461
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.05u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.431
Stake
1.03u
Lost -1.03u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
30.9%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
1.02u
Lost -1.02u
Result championship
Sheffield United Sheffield United
Bristol City Bristol City
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.728
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Preston North End Preston North End
Fulham Fulham
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
27.5%
EV/u
0.682
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.00u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.587
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.13u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.561
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.60u
Result championship
Bristol City Bristol City
Stoke City Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.488
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers
Peterborough United Peterborough United
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.895
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Preston North End Preston North End
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
Result championship
Reading Reading
Sheffield United Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
25.8%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
1.13u
Lost -1.13u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.703
Stake
1.20u
Won +4.50u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Peterborough United Peterborough United
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.649
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Birmingham City Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
Luton Town Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
31.3%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
1.14u
Lost -1.14u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Stoke City Stoke City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.438
Stake
0.30u
Won +1.00u
Result championship
Peterborough United Peterborough United
Fulham Fulham
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.667
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Stoke City Stoke City
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.842
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Cardiff City Cardiff City
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.729
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Reading Reading
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.8%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Luton Town Luton Town
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.36u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.625
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.52u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Barnsley Barnsley
Sheffield United Sheffield United
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
1.088
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Fulham Fulham
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
1.056
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Blackpool Blackpool
Preston North End Preston North End
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
47.3%
EV/u
0.817
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion
Bristol City Bristol City
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
53.8%
EV/u
0.785
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Hull City Hull City
Peterborough United Peterborough United
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
59.7%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.30u
Won +0.84u
Result championship
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Barnsley Barnsley
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.802
Stake
1.20u
Won +3.12u
Result championship
Derby County Derby County
Luton Town Luton Town
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Stoke City Stoke City
AFC Bournemouth AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.523
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
Result championship
Swansea City Swansea City
Cardiff City Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
Result championship
Millwall Millwall
Luton Town Luton Town
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
1.276
Stake
0.30u
Lost -0.30u
Result championship
Fulham Fulham
Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
9.1%
EV/u
1.983
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.