Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jun 13, 2026 8:13 AM EDT
Home win
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
69.9%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
1.07u
Won
+0.86u
Home cover
nfl
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.44u
Home win
nfl
away
Odds
2.04
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.142
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Home win
nfl
home
Odds
1.79
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.51u
Total over
nfl
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.170
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
Total over
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
under
Odds
1.94
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
Total over
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Tennessee Titans
under
Odds
1.96
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.165
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.66u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Tennessee Titans
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
57.0%
EV/u
0.072
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.28u
Home win
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
away
Odds
3.87
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
1.130
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home cover
nfl
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
home
Odds
1.86
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.29u
Home win
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
away
Odds
2.77
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.580
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
59.3%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.49u
Home cover
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
57.6%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.30u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
Total over
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Minnesota Vikings
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.93u
Won
+0.89u
Total over
nfl
Houston Texans
Buffalo Bills
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.9%
EV/u
0.098
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Total over
nfl
New England Patriots
Tennessee Titans
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.87u
Won
+0.79u
Total over
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
15.5%
EV/u
0.515
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
18.6%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.454
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
8.7%
EV/u
0.625
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Total over
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
8.6%
EV/u
0.626
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
2.91
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.475
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.58u
Home win
nfl
Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.348
Stake
0.71u
Lost
-0.71u
Total over
nfl
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
9.6%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Total over
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
26.0%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
New York Giants
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
3.7%
EV/u
0.706
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
New York Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
13.3%
EV/u
0.550
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
11.0%
EV/u
0.588
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville Jaguars
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
6.7%
EV/u
0.657
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.46
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.31
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.54u
Home win
nfl
Cleveland Browns
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
4.44
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
1.328
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
2.83
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
0.74u
Won
+1.35u
Home cover
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
56.9%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.30u
Total over
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Houston Texans
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.53u
Total over
nfl
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Total over
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Indianapolis Colts
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
22.2%
EV/u
0.406
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Total over
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
23.9%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.41u
Total over
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Rams
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Total over
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
25.9%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.41u
Total over
nfl
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.38u
Total over
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.30u
Home cover
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
1.97
Prob
56.2%
EV/u
0.085
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
nfl
Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.42u
Home win
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
2.76
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.86u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
2.34
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Minnesota Vikings
home
Odds
4.43
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
1.291
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
nfl
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Home win
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.62
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Home cover
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
56.8%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.30u
Total over
nfl
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.66u
Won
+0.60u
Total over
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
72.5%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
0.47u
Won
+0.43u
Total over
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Total over
nfl
New Orleans Saints
San Francisco 49ers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Total over
nfl
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.34u
Won
+0.31u
Total over
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.2%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home cover
nfl
New Orleans Saints
San Francisco 49ers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
61.4%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.58u
Home cover
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
1.85
Prob
61.3%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.43u
Home cover
nfl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
53.3%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home win
nfl
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
3.02
Prob
51.5%
EV/u
0.525
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
2.39
Prob
54.3%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.83u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
Dallas Cowboys
home
Odds
2.41
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.97u
Home cover
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.31u
Home cover
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
59.6%
EV/u
0.110
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Home cover
nfl
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
home
Odds
2.01
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.147
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.74u
Home win
nfl
Houston Texans
New England Patriots
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.190
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.41u
Home win
nfl
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
2.58
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.323
Stake
0.43u
Lost
-0.43u
Home win
nfl
Miami Dolphins
Philadelphia Eagles
home
Odds
3.27
Prob
51.2%
EV/u
0.640
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.34u
Home win
nfl
New York Giants
Green Bay Packers
home
Odds
2.48
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home win
nfl
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
home
Odds
3.93
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
1.069
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Total over
nfl
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.144
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Total over
nfl
New York Giants
Green Bay Packers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.43u
Won
+0.39u
Total over
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Total over
nfl
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.47u
Total over
nfl
Baltimore Ravens
San Francisco 49ers
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.074
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.23u
Total over
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.78u
Won
+0.74u
Total over
nfl
Dallas Cowboys
Buffalo Bills
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.140
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.56u
Total over
nfl
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.127
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
home
Odds
3.48
Prob
52.5%
EV/u
0.785
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
52.0%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.79u
Lost
-0.79u
Total over
nfl
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Total over
nfl
New England Patriots
Dallas Cowboys
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.091
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.28u
Total over
nfl
New York Jets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.117
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.108
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Total over
nfl
Buffalo Bills
Denver Broncos
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.5%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.54u
Total over
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.095
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home cover
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
58.2%
EV/u
0.097
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Home win
nfl
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
home
Odds
3.38
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.747
Stake
0.95u
Lost
-0.95u
Home win
nfl
Chicago Bears
New York Giants
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.65u
Won
+1.04u
Home win
nfl
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
home
Odds
2.33
Prob
51.8%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.55u
Home cover
nfl
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
0.092
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nfl
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.1%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.79u
Won
+0.72u
Total over
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.104
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.42u
Home win
nfl
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
home
Odds
2.73
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
1.18u
Lost
-1.18u
Home cover
nfl
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.093
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.30u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.