Jets & Knights Fly High in NHL Action

Hey man, check out these 7 NHL plays today! We've got some massive edges on our side so let's cash in. Yesterday we went 9-6 and +0.3 units — that's a solid day. Let's keep it rolling with these babies.

Today's NHL Plays

• Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins (1:00 PM ET) — Winnipeg Jets -1.5 (-110) | Model: 60.5% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.5% | EV: +0.16u | Stake: 0.34u
• Vegas Golden Knights @ Nashville Predators (2:00 PM ET) — Vegas Golden Knights +1.5 (-110) | Model: 60.4% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.4% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 0.33u
• New York Islanders @ Montreal Canadiens (7:00 PM ET) — New York Islanders -1.5 (-110) | Model: 60.5% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.5% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 0.34u
• Boston Bruins @ Detroit Red Wings (8:00 PM ET) — Boston Bruins -1.5 (-110) | Model: 60.6% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.6% | EV: +0.16u | Stake: 0.34u
• Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers (10:00 PM ET) — Edmonton Oilers ML (+120) | Model: 52.4% | Implied: 45.5% | Edge: +8.8% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 1.50u
• Winnipeg Jets @ New York Rangers (12:00 PM ET) — Winnipeg Jets 0.0 (-110) | Model: 60.3% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.3% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 0.32u
• Nashville Predators @ Chicago Blackhawks (3:00 PM ET) — Nashville Predators 0.0 (-110) | Model: 60.5% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.5% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 0.33u

Breaking Down the Value

• Winnipeg Jets at +0.34 units
• Vegas Golden Knights ML at +1.50 units Both of these teams have significant edge according to our model, with odds that indicate a gap between market expectations and true probabilities. The Jets are projected to win 60.3% of the time, but the market only gives them a 52.4% chance - that's a 8.9% edge in our favor. Similarly, the Golden Knights have a 52.4% implied probability but a 60.5% model probability, for an 8.1% edge.
• Tampa Bay Predators at -0.33 units
• Nashville Predators at -0.34 units These teams are popular picks, but our model shows that they have less edge than their odds would suggest. The Preds have an implied probability of 52.4% but a model probability of only 60.5%, for a -8.9% edge against us. The Lightning have the same issue, with an implied probability of 52.4% but a model probability of just 60.3%, resulting in a -10.0% edge against us. Overall, we feel confident in our top picks and cautious about fading these other teams. Good luck today!

Final Word

Our top picks have some serious "elementary" edge, so get on them early while the odds are still good. And don't bet too much - we always manage our bankroll here at Sherlock Sports.