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WNBA
picks · 5 min read

Analyst
Analysis and editorial

Today's WNBA Slate

  • Toronto Tempo @ Minnesota Lynx (8:00 PM ET)
  • Golden State Valkyries @ New York Liberty (8:00 PM ET)
  • Los Angeles Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury (10:00 PM ET)

Matchup Breakdown

Toronto Tempo @ Minnesota Lynx — 8:00 PM ET

MINNESOTA LYNX LAST 52-3 | Avg score: 86-87 | Avg margin: -1.0
May 17: L vs Chicago Sky 79-86 (-7) | May 14: W @ Dallas Wings 90-86 (+4) | May 12: W @ Phoenix Mercury 88-84 (+4) | May 09: L vs Atlanta Dream 90-91 (-1) | Sep 28: L @ Phoenix Mercury 81-86 (-5)
TORONTO TEMPO LAST 53-2 | Avg score: 90-85 | Avg margin: +4.8
May 19: W @ Phoenix Mercury 98-90 (+8) | May 17: W @ Los Angeles Sparks 106-96 (+10) | May 15: L @ Los Angeles Sparks 95-99 (-4) | May 13: W vs Seattle Storm 86-73 (+13) | May 08: L vs Washington Mystics 65-68 (-3)
MINNESOTA LYNX RECENT STATS86.8 PPG (L10) | 86.8 allowed (L10) | +0.0 diff | 5-5 L10
TORONTO TEMPO RECENT STATS90.0 PPG (L10) | 85.2 allowed (L10) | +4.8 diff | 6-4 L10
INJURIES — Minnesota LynxDorka Juhasz (Out — Sprain, return: 2026-05-23); Emma Cechova (Out — Surgery, return: 2027-05-01); Napheesa Collier (Out — Sprain, return: 2026-06-06)
INJURIES — Toronto TempoNyara Sabally (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-23); Isabelle Harrison (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-23); Temi Fagbenle (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-23); Julie Allemand (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-23)
RANKINGS (last 10g)Minnesota Lynx: #4, score: 70.3, L10: 5-5, ATS: 75% | Toronto Tempo: #7, score: 58.7, L10: 6-4, ATS: 80%
MINNESOTA LYNX KEY PLAYERS (last 5g avg):
Kayla McBride: 19.2 pts | 4.6 reb | 1.8 ast | +/-: -1.6
Courtney Williams: 16.6 pts | 4.4 reb | 4.6 ast | +/-: -1.2
Natasha Howard: 15.8 pts | 7.5 reb | 3.8 ast | +/-: +6.2
Olivia Miles: 15.5 pts | 4.2 reb | 5.8 ast | +/-: +3.8
TORONTO TEMPO KEY PLAYERS (last 5g avg):
Brittney Sykes: 25.6 pts | 4.6 reb | 4.8 ast | +/-: +1.8
Marina Mabrey: 20.8 pts | 4.2 reb | 2.4 ast | +/-: -1.0
Kiki Rice: 11.4 pts | 3.4 reb | 1.8 ast | +/-: +6.2
Laura Juskaite: 8.0 pts | 4.0 reb | 1.0 ast | +/-: +6.8

Golden State Valkyries @ New York Liberty — 8:00 PM ET

H2H LAST 4 (Golden State Valkyries vs New York Liberty)NEW YORK LIBERTY 3-1 | Avg margin: +7.0
Sep 02: L @ New York Liberty 58-66 (-8) | Jun 25: W @ New York Liberty 81-78 (+3) | May 29: W vs Golden State Valkyries 82-77 (+5) | May 27: W vs Golden State Valkyries 95-67 (+28)
NEW YORK LIBERTY LAST 53-2 | Avg score: 95-85 | Avg margin: +9.2
May 14: W @ Portland Fire 100-82 (+18) | May 12: L @ Portland Fire 96-98 (-2) | May 10: W @ Washington Mystics 98-93 (+5) | May 08: W vs Connecticut Sun 106-75 (+31) | Sep 19: L @ Phoenix Mercury 73-79 (-6)
GOLDEN STATE VALKYRIES LAST 52-3 | Avg score: 79-81 | Avg margin: -1.8
May 13: L vs Chicago Sky 63-69 (-6) | May 10: W vs Phoenix Mercury 95-79 (+16) | May 08: W @ Seattle Storm 91-80 (+11) | Sep 17: L vs Minnesota Lynx 74-75 (-1) | Sep 14: L @ Minnesota Lynx 72-101 (-29)
NEW YORK LIBERTY RECENT STATS100.0 PPG (L10) | 87.0 allowed (L10) | +13.0 diff | 8-2 L10
GOLDEN STATE VALKYRIES RECENT STATS83.0 PPG (L10) | 76.0 allowed (L10) | +7.0 diff | 7-3 L10
INJURIES — New York LibertyRaquel Carrera (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-24); Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-24); Leonie Fiebich (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-24); Marine Fauthoux (Out — Surgery, return: 2026-06-03)
INJURIES — Golden State ValkyriesCecilia Zandalasini (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-22); Juste Jocyte (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-22); Iliana Rupert (Out — injury, return: 2027-05-01)
RANKINGS (last 10g)New York Liberty: #8, score: 55.7, L10: 8-2, ATS: 50% | Golden State Valkyries: #6, score: 61.0, L10: 7-3, ATS: 67%
NEW YORK LIBERTY KEY PLAYERS (last 5g avg):
Breanna Stewart: 24.4 pts | 9.0 reb | 2.8 ast | +/-: +9.8
Pauline Astier: 16.8 pts | 3.8 reb | 4.0 ast | +/-: +4.2
Marine Johannes: 12.6 pts | 2.6 reb | 4.0 ast | +/-: +10.8
Alex Fowler: 12.0 pts | 0.0 reb | 1.0 ast | +/-: -6.0
GOLDEN STATE VALKYRIES KEY PLAYERS (last 5g avg):
Janelle Salaun: 14.8 pts | 3.2 reb | 0.8 ast | +/-: -0.6
Gabby Williams: 14.7 pts | 5.3 reb | 2.7 ast | +/-: +3.7
Veronica Burton: 14.4 pts | 3.8 reb | 7.6 ast | +/-: +0.4
Cecilia Zandalasini: 12.0 pts | 3.7 reb | 2.0 ast | +/-: -4.3

Los Angeles Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury — 10:00 PM ET

H2H LAST 5 (Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury)PHOENIX MERCURY 4-1 | Avg margin: +3.0
Sep 09: L vs Los Angeles Sparks 83-88 (-5) | Aug 26: W @ Phoenix Mercury 92-84 (+8) | Jun 01: W @ Phoenix Mercury 85-80 (+5) | May 21: W vs Los Angeles Sparks 89-86 (+3) | Sep 17: W @ Phoenix Mercury 85-81 (+4)
PHOENIX MERCURY LAST 52-3 | Avg score: 89-86 | Avg margin: +2.6
May 19: L vs Toronto Tempo 90-98 (-8) | May 15: W vs Chicago Sky 91-83 (+8) | May 12: L vs Minnesota Lynx 84-88 (-4) | May 10: L @ Golden State Valkyries 79-95 (-16) | May 09: W @ Las Vegas Aces 99-66 (+33)
LOS ANGELES SPARKS LAST 51-4 | Avg score: 85-99 | Avg margin: -14.0
May 17: L vs Toronto Tempo 96-106 (-10) | May 15: W vs Toronto Tempo 99-95 (+4) | May 13: L vs Indiana Fever 78-87 (-9) | May 10: L vs Las Vegas Aces 78-105 (-27) | Sep 11: L vs Las Vegas Aces 75-103 (-28)
PHOENIX MERCURY RECENT STATS88.6 PPG (L10) | 86.0 allowed (L10) | +2.6 diff | 4-6 L10
LOS ANGELES SPARKS RECENT STATS87.8 PPG (L10) | 98.2 allowed (L10) | -10.5 diff | 2-8 L10
INJURIES — Phoenix MercuryMonique Akoa Makani (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-24); Sami Whitcomb (Out — Surgery, return: 2026-06-17)
INJURIES — Los Angeles SparksSania Feagin (Out — injury, return: 2026-05-23)
RANKINGS (last 10g)Phoenix Mercury: #5, score: 62.0, L10: 4-6, ATS: 40% | Los Angeles Sparks: #11, score: 31.1, L10: 2-8, ATS: 0%
PHOENIX MERCURY KEY PLAYERS (last 5g avg):
Kahleah Copper: 17.8 pts | 2.0 reb | 2.6 ast | +/-: +1.2
Alyssa Thomas: 16.6 pts | 7.2 reb | 8.4 ast | +/-: +5.2
Jovana Nogic: 15.4 pts | 1.2 reb | 2.0 ast | +/-: +7.6
DeWanna Bonner: 11.0 pts | 6.6 reb | 1.6 ast | +/-: +3.4
LOS ANGELES SPARKS KEY PLAYERS (last 5g avg):
Kelsey Plum: 24.4 pts | 2.0 reb | 6.0 ast | +/-: -11.4
Dearica Hamby: 16.6 pts | 7.0 reb | 2.4 ast | +/-: -9.8
Nneka Ogwumike: 16.5 pts | 6.8 reb | 2.0 ast | +/-: -5.2
Sarah Ashlee Barker: 15.0 pts | 2.0 reb | 2.0 ast | +/-: -30.0

Final Word

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