Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 56.8% | 0.164 | 0.40u | Won | +0.42u |
| Aug 25, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.4% | 0.190 | 0.50u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 25, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 47.7% | 0.151 | 0.33u | Won | +0.40u |
| Aug 25, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 48.1% | 0.091 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 25, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 55.5% | 0.110 | 0.21u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 54.8% | 0.151 | 0.21u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 45.3% | 0.149 | 0.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 55.6% | 0.223 | 0.40u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 43.7% | 0.183 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 49.8% | 0.256 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 49.8% | 0.179 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 23, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 55.9% | 0.119 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 23, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 1.83 | 38.1% | 0.134 | 0.16u | Won | +0.13u |
| Aug 23, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 60.8% | 0.397 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Aug 23, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.4% | 0.263 | 0.45u | Won | +0.54u |
| Aug 23, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 61.6% | 0.129 | 0.15u | Won | +0.13u |
| Aug 22, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 53.4% | 0.282 | 0.32u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 22, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 61.6% | 0.262 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 22, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 44.9% | 0.459 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 22, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 58.3% | 0.225 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 22, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 49.0% | 0.198 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 21, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 50.6% | 0.443 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 21, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 38.8% | 0.315 | 0.50u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 21, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 62.0% | 0.115 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Aug 21, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 67.1% | 0.310 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 20, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 63.1% | 1.146 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Aug 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 48.9% | 0.124 | 0.06u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 20, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 46.4% | 0.179 | 0.11u | Won | +0.13u |
| Aug 20, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.9% | 0.172 | 0.09u | Won | +0.12u |
| Aug 20, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 54.4% | 0.332 | 0.30u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 52.2% | 0.095 | 0.05u | Won | +0.06u |
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.2% | 0.200 | 0.17u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 52.2% | 0.095 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 52.2% | 0.356 | 0.44u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 52.2% | 0.617 | 1.06u | Won | +2.23u |
| Aug 18, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 52.2% | 0.774 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.2% | 0.148 | 0.19u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.2% | 0.069 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.2% | 0.200 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 52.2% | 0.460 | 1.19u | Won | +2.14u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.2% | 0.069 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| Aug 16, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.2% | 0.148 | 0.41u | Won | +0.49u |
| Aug 16, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.1% | 0.147 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 16, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.278 | 0.96u | Won | +1.39u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 52.2% | 0.356 | 0.64u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.2% | 0.408 | 0.80u | Won | +1.36u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.2% | 0.121 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.2% | 0.147 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.2% | 0.121 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Aug 14, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.2% | 0.408 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 14, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.1% | 0.382 | 0.64u | Won | +1.06u |
| Aug 14, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 52.2% | 0.095 | 0.06u | Won | +0.07u |
| Aug 14, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.278 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.2% | 0.382 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.1% | 0.069 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.2% | 0.148 | 0.18u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.23u | Won | +0.29u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.278 | 0.59u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.278 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.2% | 0.200 | 0.34u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.27u | Won | +0.34u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.1% | 0.251 | 0.65u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.278 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.2% | 0.252 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.1% | 0.121 | 0.37u | Won | +0.43u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.2% | 0.147 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.1% | 0.121 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.2% | 0.069 | 0.33u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.2% | 0.069 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.2% | 0.121 | 0.34u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.2% | 0.252 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.2% | 0.069 | 0.15u | Won | +0.16u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 52.2% | 0.095 | 0.24u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 7, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.2% | 0.121 | 0.53u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 7, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.2% | 0.226 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.2% | 0.121 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 52.2% | 0.095 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 52.2% | 0.669 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.2% | 0.147 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.21u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.3% | 0.124 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.3% | 0.176 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 41.2% | 0.235 | 0.91u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.3% | 0.072 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 25.0% | 0.950 | 0.99u | Won | +1.58u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 41.2% | 0.559 | 0.35u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 1.80 | 25.0% | 0.350 | 0.21u | Won | +0.17u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 52.3% | 0.438 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 64.3% | 0.414 | 0.40u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 64.3% | 0.446 | 0.45u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 41.2% | 0.588 | 0.64u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.3% | 0.228 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 64.3% | 0.137 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.3% | 0.228 | 0.12u | Won | +0.16u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 64.3% | 0.255 | 0.23u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 64.3% | 0.157 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 52.3% | 0.568 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.