Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.8% | 0.293 | 1.01u | Won | +1.46u |
| Jun 9, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 49.8% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jun 9, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 48.6% | 0.079 | 0.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jun 8, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 51.3% | 0.103 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jun 8, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 49.0% | 0.250 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jun 8, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 50.5% | 0.667 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 8, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 50.9% | 0.069 | 0.05u | Won | +0.06u |
| Jun 7, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 51.9% | 0.142 | 0.09u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jun 7, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 51.3% | 0.257 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jun 7, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 51.3% | 0.308 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jun 7, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.9% | 0.196 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jun 7, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 50.4% | 0.614 | 0.96u | Won | +2.11u |
| Jun 6, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 50.7% | 0.089 | 0.15u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jun 6, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.25 | 50.7% | 0.647 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| Jun 6, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 51.8% | 0.166 | 0.45u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jun 5, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 50.8% | 0.346 | 0.68u | Won | +1.12u |
| Jun 5, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 51.5% | 0.132 | 0.14u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jun 5, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 51.8% | 0.374 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Jun 5, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.6% | 0.165 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jun 4, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 51.7% | 0.371 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jun 4, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.9% | 0.247 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jun 3, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 51.3% | 0.104 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jun 3, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.6% | 0.213 | 0.43u | Won | +0.58u |
| Jun 3, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 50.9% | 0.375 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Jun 3, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 50.6% | 0.113 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jun 2, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 50.4% | 0.158 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 2, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 51.2% | 0.536 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 1, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| May 31, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 51.0% | 0.147 | 0.36u | Won | +0.45u |
| May 31, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.0% | 0.195 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| May 31, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.2% | 0.256 | 0.85u | Won | +1.28u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.6% | 0.214 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 51.0% | 0.072 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 51.4% | 0.258 | 0.89u | Won | +1.29u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.6% | 0.239 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 50.9% | 0.095 | 0.08u | Won | +0.09u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 38.6% | 0.442 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 69.0% | 0.241 | 0.52u | Won | +0.42u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 62.1% | 0.552 | 0.33u | Won | +0.50u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.1% | 0.490 | 0.27u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 3.70 | 38.6% | 1.271 | 1.15u | Won | +3.11u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 38.6% | 0.258 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 69.0% | 0.828 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 50.9% | 0.146 | 0.05u | Won | +0.06u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 62.1% | 0.397 | 0.32u | Won | +0.40u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 38.6% | 0.198 | 0.10u | Won | +0.10u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 69.0% | 0.289 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 38.6% | 0.289 | 0.22u | Won | +0.24u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.9% | 0.223 | 0.11u | Won | +0.15u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 69.0% | 0.241 | 0.18u | Won | +0.14u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 38.6% | 0.718 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 38.6% | 0.198 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 62.1% | 0.138 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 69.0% | 0.289 | 0.35u | Won | +0.30u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 38.6% | 0.227 | 0.21u | Won | +0.21u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 69.0% | 0.347 | 0.47u | Won | +0.45u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.1% | 0.160 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 38.6% | 0.411 | 0.55u | Won | +0.72u |
| May 22, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.9% | 0.223 | 0.25u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 22, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 1.77 | 38.6% | 0.086 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| May 22, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 69.0% | 0.220 | 0.33u | Won | +0.25u |
| May 22, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.1% | 0.241 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| May 22, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 69.0% | 0.379 | 0.81u | Won | +0.81u |
| May 21, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 38.6% | 0.442 | 0.32u | Won | +0.43u |
| May 21, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 69.0% | 0.289 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 21, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 38.6% | 0.626 | 0.55u | Won | +0.91u |
| May 21, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 69.0% | 0.241 | 0.13u | Won | +0.10u |
| May 21, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 62.1% | 0.272 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| May 21, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 66.7% | 0.533 | 0.47u | Won | +0.61u |
| May 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 45.5% | 0.336 | 0.51u | Won | +0.74u |
| May 20, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 50.9% | 0.121 | 0.09u | Won | +0.11u |
| May 20, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 62.1% | 0.428 | 0.86u | Won | +1.12u |
| May 20, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.9% | 0.248 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| May 20, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.74 | 62.1% | 0.081 | 0.05u | Won | +0.04u |
| May 19, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.9% | 0.223 | 0.16u | Won | +0.22u |
| May 19, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.67 | 69.0% | 0.149 | 0.11u | Won | +0.07u |
| May 19, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 38.6% | 0.289 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| May 19, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 0.0% | 1.400 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 38.6% | 0.289 | 0.19u | Won | +0.21u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.9% | 0.197 | 0.09u | Won | +0.12u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 38.6% | 0.227 | 0.13u | Won | +0.13u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 69.0% | 0.347 | 0.30u | Won | +0.29u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 45.5% | 0.855 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.1% | 0.241 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| May 17, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 100.0% | 0.769 | 1.15u | Won | +0.88u |
| May 17, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 45.5% | 0.636 | 0.47u | Won | +0.94u |
| May 17, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 38.6% | 0.198 | 0.08u | Won | +0.08u |
| May 16, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 69.0% | 0.264 | 0.17u | Won | +0.14u |
| May 16, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.67 | 69.0% | 0.149 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| May 16, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 38.6% | 0.626 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| May 16, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 38.6% | 0.810 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| May 15, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 38.6% | 0.289 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| May 15, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 38.6% | 0.289 | 0.92u | Won | +1.01u |
| May 14, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 45.5% | 0.364 | 0.20u | Won | +0.30u |
| May 14, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 69.0% | 0.347 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| May 14, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 38.6% | 0.198 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| May 14, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 1.87 | 38.6% | 0.147 | 0.05u | Won | +0.04u |
| May 14, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 0.0% | 1.200 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| May 13, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 44.0% | 0.456 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| May 13, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 36.4% | 0.400 | 0.16u | Won | +0.19u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.