Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 33.3% | 0.667 | 0.22u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.0% | 0.488 | 0.12u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 62.0% | 0.426 | 0.10u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 62.0% | 0.333 | 0.31u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 62.0% | 0.550 | 0.71u | Won | +1.07u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 62.0% | 0.457 | 0.53u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 62.0% | 0.211 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 62.0% | 0.116 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 62.0% | 0.097 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 18.2% | 0.759 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 62.0% | 0.137 | 0.28u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 62.0% | 0.097 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 33.3% | 0.633 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 66.7% | 0.400 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 62.0% | 0.736 | 0.45u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 80.0% | 0.562 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 62.0% | 0.612 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.0% | 0.240 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 20.0% | 0.640 | 0.30u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 58.3% | 0.400 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 100.0% | 1.150 | 0.89u | Won | +1.02u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 58.3% | 0.342 | 0.08u | Won | +0.10u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.61 | 100.0% | 0.606 | 0.34u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 58.3% | 0.371 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 58.5% | 0.228 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 63.5% | 0.301 | 0.26u | Won | +0.27u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 25.0% | 0.538 | 0.15u | Won | +0.16u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 58.3% | 0.313 | 0.08u | Won | +0.10u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 58.3% | 0.517 | 0.18u | Won | +0.29u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 20.0% | 0.760 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 58.3% | 0.517 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 20.0% | 1.200 | 0.88u | Won | +1.54u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.0% | 0.160 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.1% | 0.171 | 0.08u | Won | +0.08u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 62.2% | 0.139 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 58.3% | 0.225 | 0.17u | Won | +0.19u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 58.3% | 0.196 | 0.14u | Won | +0.15u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 1.74 | 100.0% | 0.741 | 1.20u | Won | +0.89u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 58.3% | 0.254 | 0.21u | Won | +0.24u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.8% | 0.174 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 63.8% | 0.129 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.8% | 0.138 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 58.3% | 0.139 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 58.3% | 0.342 | 0.24u | Won | +0.31u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 58.3% | 0.371 | 0.28u | Won | +0.38u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 58.3% | 0.167 | 0.07u | Won | +0.07u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 58.3% | 0.342 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 20.0% | 0.640 | 0.91u | Won | +0.96u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 62.0% | 0.137 | 0.11u | Won | +0.09u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 62.6% | 0.147 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 25.0% | 0.500 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 58.3% | 0.139 | 0.47u | Won | +0.45u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 58.3% | 0.283 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 58.3% | 0.069 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.67 | 64.6% | 0.078 | 0.09u | Won | +0.06u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 58.3% | 0.167 | 0.12u | Won | +0.12u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 58.3% | 0.196 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 58.3% | 0.342 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 1.67 | 20.0% | 0.333 | 0.52u | Won | +0.35u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 58.3% | 0.400 | 0.51u | Won | +0.71u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 58.3% | 0.139 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.67 | 72.6% | 0.211 | 0.24u | Won | +0.16u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.3% | 0.177 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 71.4% | 0.335 | 0.12u | Won | +0.10u |
| Mar 19, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 58.3% | 0.313 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 18, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 58.3% | 0.254 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Oct 19, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 58.3% | 0.254 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Oct 18, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 58.3% | 0.167 | 0.83u | Won | +0.83u |
| Oct 18, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 58.3% | 0.167 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Oct 17, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 58.3% | 0.254 | 1.11u | Won | +1.28u |
| Oct 16, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 58.3% | 0.139 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Oct 10, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.9% | 0.191 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Oct 10, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 53.3% | 0.065 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Oct 9, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 52.9% | 0.059 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Oct 7, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 53.1% | 0.089 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Oct 1, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 48.5% | 0.133 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Oct 1, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 48.4% | 0.136 | 0.35u | Won | +0.42u |
| Oct 1, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 48.3% | 0.370 | 1.12u | Won | +1.85u |
| Sep 30, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 48.2% | 0.192 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 30, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 48.2% | 0.762 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 48.2% | 0.425 | 0.37u | Won | +0.65u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 47.6% | 0.572 | 0.61u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 48.4% | 0.420 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 48.4% | 0.317 | 0.23u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 1.87 | 39.4% | 0.132 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 49.7% | 0.257 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 46.9% | 0.221 | 0.13u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 48.5% | 0.442 | 0.38u | Won | +0.68u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 47.9% | 0.224 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 48.2% | 0.477 | 0.44u | Won | +0.81u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 45.3% | 0.613 | 0.68u | Won | +1.33u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 49.2% | 0.421 | 0.49u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 49.4% | 0.138 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 48.7% | 0.411 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 46.3% | 0.128 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 47.7% | 0.333 | 0.35u | Won | +0.54u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 46.4% | 0.314 | 0.33u | Won | +0.48u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 46.9% | 0.673 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 49.8% | 0.231 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 49.7% | 0.182 | 0.24u | Won | +0.32u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.