Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 48.1% | 0.298 | 0.32u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 47.6% | 0.342 | 0.40u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 53.9% | 0.424 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 54.4% | 0.174 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.82 | 49.7% | 0.419 | 0.61u | Won | +1.11u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 52.5% | 0.160 | 0.25u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 54.0% | 0.449 | 0.64u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 3.26 | 42.5% | 0.875 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 45.5% | 0.308 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.0% | 0.404 | 0.69u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 3.14 | 43.8% | 0.766 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 3.29 | 45.3% | 0.799 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.36 | 46.5% | 0.263 | 0.38u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 49.7% | 0.485 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 54.3% | 0.151 | 0.46u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.90 | 59.8% | 0.137 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.59 | 49.8% | 0.299 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.83 | 45.6% | 0.539 | 1.12u | Won | +2.05u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.53 | 45.9% | 0.368 | 0.46u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 57.1% | 0.160 | 0.18u | Won | +0.19u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.16 | 44.7% | 0.194 | 0.24u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 44.8% | 0.878 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 55.8% | 0.441 | 0.46u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 50.4% | 0.221 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.59 | 49.8% | 0.301 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 51.3% | 0.225 | 0.55u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.97 | 49.6% | 0.496 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 53.7% | 0.213 | 0.62u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 52.0% | 0.218 | 0.52u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 51.2% | 0.189 | 0.40u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 53.4% | 0.652 | 0.88u | Won | +1.84u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 51.3% | 0.410 | 0.62u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 51.4% | 0.239 | 0.37u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 53.5% | 0.315 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 51.2% | 0.183 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 50.9% | 0.232 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 3.16 | 51.7% | 0.633 | 0.49u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 51.0% | 0.264 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.14 | 51.3% | 0.610 | 0.49u | Won | +1.05u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 51.1% | 0.233 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 50.7% | 0.171 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.70u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 52.9% | 0.200 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 52.2% | 0.414 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 51.1% | 0.211 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 51.8% | 0.247 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.41 | 52.3% | 0.783 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 51.7% | 0.407 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 51.8% | 0.289 | 0.97u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.9% | 0.161 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 51.6% | 0.192 | 0.21u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.1% | 0.178 | 0.17u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 51.5% | 0.360 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 52.9% | 0.376 | 0.50u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 51.7% | 0.334 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.77 | 51.2% | 0.418 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 65.9% | 0.502 | 0.33u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.88 | 65.9% | 0.237 | 0.24u | Won | +0.21u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 65.9% | 0.522 | 0.33u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.98 | 65.9% | 0.305 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 65.9% | 0.436 | 0.33u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 37.5% | 0.250 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 1.92 | 65.9% | 0.263 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | away | 1.98 | 37.5% | 0.238 | 0.51u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 55.2% | 0.396 | 0.67u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.06 | 37.5% | 0.288 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.09 | 55.2% | 0.153 | 0.25u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 55.2% | 0.159 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 65.9% | 0.286 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.04 | 43.3% | 0.156 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 65.9% | 0.476 | 0.41u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.91 | 65.9% | 0.917 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 1.90 | 65.9% | 0.252 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 1.92 | 37.5% | 0.198 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 100.0% | 1.110 | 0.41u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 1.86 | 65.9% | 0.227 | 0.64u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 55.2% | 0.236 | 0.56u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 55.2% | 0.236 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.44 | 43.3% | 0.383 | 0.24u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 65.9% | 0.621 | 0.33u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 65.9% | 0.337 | 0.24u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 65.9% | 0.509 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.69 | 43.3% | 0.524 | 0.33u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 65.9% | 0.759 | 0.33u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 58.3% | 0.517 | 0.37u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.87 | 43.3% | 0.626 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 43.3% | 0.162 | 0.11u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.82 | 37.5% | 0.763 | 0.37u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.92 | 65.9% | 0.924 | 0.37u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 55.2% | 0.241 | 0.21u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.27 | 43.3% | 0.286 | 0.32u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.85 | 65.9% | 0.217 | 0.26u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 65.9% | 0.621 | 0.34u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 65.9% | 0.186 | 0.20u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.06 | 58.3% | 0.785 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 65.9% | 0.331 | 0.34u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 43.3% | 0.615 | 0.33u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home win | away | 3.98 | 43.3% | 1.255 | 0.33u | Won | +0.98u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 65.9% | 0.772 | 0.33u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 7, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 43.3% | 0.303 | 0.15u | Won | +0.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.