Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 60.1% | 0.082 | 0.20u | Won | +0.16u |
| Apr 24, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.1% | 0.124 | 0.40u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 24, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.1% | 0.322 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.1% | 0.173 | 0.17u | Won | +0.16u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.1% | 0.124 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 60.1% | 0.443 | 0.78u | Won | +1.09u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 60.1% | 0.102 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.1% | 0.322 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.1% | 0.202 | 0.22u | Won | +0.22u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 60.1% | 0.262 | 0.47u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rays
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.1% | 0.173 | 0.24u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.1% | 0.174 | 0.24u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 60.1% | 0.262 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.0% | 0.172 | 0.24u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.1% | 0.124 | 0.14u | Won | +0.12u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.1% | 0.202 | 0.90u | Won | +0.90u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.1% | 0.202 | 0.90u | Won | +0.90u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 60.1% | 0.473 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.1% | 0.124 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.1% | 0.322 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Reds
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 60.1% | 0.173 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 60.1% | 0.102 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.1% | 0.124 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.1% | 0.323 | 0.66u | Won | +0.79u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 60.1% | 0.102 | 0.10u | Won | +0.08u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.1% | 0.322 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.1% | 0.202 | 0.31u | Won | +0.31u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 60.1% | 0.082 | 0.07u | Won | +0.06u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 60.1% | 0.233 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 60.1% | 0.353 | 0.51u | Won | +0.64u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 60.1% | 0.102 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 60.0% | 0.351 | 0.51u | Won | +0.64u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.1% | 0.202 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 60.0% | 0.231 | 0.25u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 60.1% | 0.352 | 0.92u | Won | +1.15u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 60.1% | 0.102 | 0.12u | Won | +0.10u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 60.1% | 0.292 | 0.67u | Won | +0.77u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 60.1% | 0.082 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.1% | 0.124 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 60.1% | 0.232 | 0.24u | Won | +0.25u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 60.1% | 0.352 | 0.47u | Won | +0.59u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 60.1% | 0.412 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 60.1% | 0.292 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 60.1% | 0.102 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 62.0% | 0.364 | 0.17u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 18.2% | 0.882 | 0.88u | Won | +1.14u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 62.0% | 0.211 | 0.07u | Won | +0.07u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 62.0% | 0.364 | 0.17u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 62.0% | 0.457 | 0.24u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.0% | 0.488 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 80.0% | 0.880 | 0.51u | Won | +0.69u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 3.85 | 33.3% | 1.567 | 0.95u | Won | +2.71u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 80.0% | 0.562 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 80.0% | 1.440 | 1.04u | Won | +2.13u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 66.7% | 0.600 | 0.24u | Won | +0.34u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 62.0% | 0.395 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 62.0% | 0.395 | 0.11u | Won | +0.14u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 62.0% | 0.426 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.0% | 0.488 | 0.16u | Won | +0.22u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 62.0% | 0.457 | 0.20u | Won | +0.27u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 62.0% | 0.581 | 0.29u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.74 | 80.0% | 0.393 | 0.20u | Won | +0.15u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 18.2% | 0.923 | 0.77u | Won | +1.04u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 1.61 | 80.0% | 0.285 | 0.11u | Won | +0.07u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Braves
|
Home win | away | 1.74 | 18.2% | 0.424 | 0.23u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 18.2% | 0.800 | 0.61u | Won | +0.73u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.0% | 0.240 | 0.07u | Won | +0.07u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 1.87 | 18.2% | 0.530 | 0.32u | Won | +0.28u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 62.0% | 0.271 | 0.08u | Won | +0.08u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 80.0% | 0.880 | 0.69u | Won | +0.93u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.0% | 0.159 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 62.0% | 0.137 | 0.07u | Won | +0.06u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 80.0% | 0.600 | 1.09u | Won | +1.09u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 1.74 | 80.0% | 0.393 | 0.54u | Won | +0.40u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 62.0% | 0.395 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 80.0% | 0.415 | 0.17u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 100.0% | 1.200 | 1.05u | Won | +1.26u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 1.65 | 80.0% | 0.316 | 0.11u | Won | +0.07u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 62.0% | 0.426 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 62.0% | 0.581 | 0.22u | Won | +0.34u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 62.0% | 0.240 | 0.17u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.0% | 0.488 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.0% | 0.159 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 66.7% | 0.222 | 0.16u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 62.0% | 0.581 | 0.71u | Won | +1.10u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Reds
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 62.0% | 0.211 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 1.61 | 80.0% | 0.285 | 0.18u | Won | +0.11u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 62.0% | 0.395 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 62.0% | 0.550 | 0.42u | Won | +0.63u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 62.0% | 0.426 | 0.28u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 66.7% | 0.222 | 0.10u | Won | +0.08u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 80.0% | 0.562 | 0.56u | Won | +0.53u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 62.0% | 0.488 | 0.12u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 80.0% | 0.467 | 0.15u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | away | 1.87 | 0.0% | 0.870 | 0.48u | Won | +0.42u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 80.0% | 1.000 | 0.47u | Won | +0.71u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 18.2% | 1.086 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 1.74 | 18.2% | 0.424 | 0.13u | Won | +0.10u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 18.2% | 0.677 | 0.28u | Won | +0.29u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 18.2% | 1.577 | 0.95u | Won | +2.04u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.