Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 54.7% | 0.150 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 7, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 56.4% | 0.324 | 0.47u | Won | +0.63u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 47.8% | 0.409 | 0.83u | Won | +1.41u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 47.8% | 0.069 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 47.8% | 0.174 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 47.9% | 0.355 | 0.65u | Won | +1.04u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 47.9% | 0.095 | 0.07u | Won | +0.08u |
| Aug 5, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 47.8% | 0.148 | 0.41u | Won | +0.49u |
| Aug 5, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 47.9% | 0.095 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Aug 5, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 47.9% | 0.407 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.252 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 47.8% | 0.228 | 0.07u | Won | +0.09u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 3.40 | 47.9% | 0.772 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 3.35 | 47.8% | 0.750 | 0.52u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 47.9% | 0.589 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 47.8% | 0.436 | 0.22u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 47.8% | 0.643 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 48.0% | 0.560 | 0.44u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 47.8% | 0.541 | 0.41u | Won | +0.80u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 47.7% | 0.203 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 47.8% | 0.434 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 47.8% | 0.279 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 47.8% | 0.487 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 3.55 | 47.8% | 0.852 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 47.8% | 0.227 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.9% | 0.304 | 0.18u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 1, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 47.8% | 0.384 | 1.16u | Won | +1.91u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 47.9% | 0.642 | 0.50u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 47.8% | 0.593 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 47.8% | 0.175 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 47.8% | 0.565 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.8% | 0.305 | 0.15u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 47.5% | 0.391 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 47.8% | 0.175 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 47.8% | 0.461 | 0.51u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 48.1% | 0.322 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.253 | 0.19u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 47.8% | 0.437 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 47.7% | 0.281 | 0.23u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 47.9% | 0.069 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 47.8% | 0.123 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 47.8% | 0.175 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.254 | 0.64u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 47.8% | 0.227 | 0.54u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 47.8% | 0.175 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 47.7% | 0.280 | 0.49u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 47.8% | 0.200 | 0.28u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 47.8% | 0.096 | 0.08u | Won | +0.09u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.8% | 0.305 | 0.56u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 47.8% | 0.148 | 0.17u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.252 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 47.8% | 0.227 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 47.8% | 0.174 | 0.16u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 47.9% | 0.225 | 0.24u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 47.8% | 0.201 | 0.20u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 47.8% | 0.411 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.253 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 47.8% | 0.279 | 0.21u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.252 | 0.18u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 47.8% | 0.357 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 47.7% | 0.544 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 47.8% | 0.331 | 0.28u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 25, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 47.8% | 0.618 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Jul 25, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 47.9% | 0.094 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jul 25, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 47.8% | 0.202 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 47.8% | 0.278 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.252 | 0.18u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 47.8% | 0.358 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 47.8% | 0.148 | 0.08u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.20 | 47.8% | 0.670 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 47.9% | 0.173 | 0.10u | Won | +0.13u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 43.8% | 0.322 | 0.29u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 55.4% | 0.357 | 0.34u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 58.3% | 0.371 | 0.38u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 55.4% | 0.219 | 0.14u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 58.3% | 0.283 | 0.25u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 41.2% | 0.382 | 0.40u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jul 22, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 55.4% | 0.246 | 0.25u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jul 22, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 58.3% | 0.167 | 0.14u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jul 22, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 58.3% | 0.429 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 22, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 43.8% | 0.153 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Jul 22, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 41.2% | 0.412 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 21, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 55.4% | 0.163 | 0.74u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 21, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 55.4% | 0.246 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 43.8% | 0.181 | 0.09u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.4% | 0.191 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 55.4% | 0.329 | 0.23u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 41.2% | 0.735 | 0.88u | Won | +1.72u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 41.2% | 0.265 | 0.17u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 58.3% | 0.400 | 0.33u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.4% | 0.191 | 0.19u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.4% | 0.191 | 0.19u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 58.3% | 0.429 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 43.8% | 0.350 | 0.53u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 55.4% | 0.108 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Jul 16, 2024 | mlb |
All-Stars
All-Stars
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 58.3% | 0.069 | 0.42u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 55.4% | 0.219 | 0.18u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 41.2% | 0.177 | 0.13u | Won | +0.13u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 55.4% | 0.329 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 41.2% | 0.353 | 0.42u | Won | +0.55u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.