Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 8:48 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.0% | 0.273 | 0.53u | Won | +0.77u |
| Sep 25, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 36.5% | 0.340 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 25, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.8% | 0.186 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Sep 24, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 47.8% | 0.212 | 0.87u | Won | +1.15u |
| Sep 24, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.8% | 0.222 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Sep 23, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 36.5% | 0.391 | 1.20u | Won | +1.43u |
| Sep 22, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 48.0% | 0.201 | 0.31u | Won | +0.41u |
| Sep 22, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.252 | 0.45u | Won | +0.63u |
| Sep 22, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 42.3% | 0.303 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Sep 22, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.8% | 0.154 | 0.20u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 22, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.8% | 0.134 | 0.16u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.7% | 0.225 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 47.8% | 0.160 | 0.22u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 48.6% | 0.183 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 47.0% | 0.272 | 0.56u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 43.3% | 0.190 | 0.33u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 31.8% | 0.501 | 0.32u | Won | +0.38u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 42.0% | 0.392 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 24.2% | 0.435 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 39.3% | 0.408 | 0.21u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 31.1% | 0.620 | 0.46u | Won | +0.62u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 30.0% | 0.511 | 0.34u | Won | +0.39u |
| Sep 19, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 35.0% | 0.364 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 19, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 38.2% | 0.359 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 19, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 32.2% | 0.430 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Sep 19, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 42.4% | 0.352 | 0.19u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 19, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 37.4% | 0.372 | 0.29u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 19, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 34.6% | 0.510 | 0.50u | Won | +0.66u |
| Sep 18, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 28.2% | 0.839 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Sep 18, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 40.9% | 0.139 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Sep 18, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 34.0% | 0.366 | 0.35u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 18, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 43.2% | 0.277 | 0.19u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 56.8% | 0.397 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 43.2% | 0.506 | 0.37u | Won | +0.61u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 35.2% | 0.347 | 0.23u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 39.8% | 0.464 | 0.34u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.81 | 25.7% | 0.347 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 37.8% | 0.511 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 41.2% | 0.194 | 0.14u | Won | +0.14u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 38.3% | 0.456 | 0.61u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 47.1% | 0.207 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 39.4% | 0.249 | 0.22u | Won | +0.23u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 36.4% | 0.309 | 0.34u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 34.4% | 0.306 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 37.0% | 0.404 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 32.8% | 0.325 | 0.22u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 26.7% | 0.715 | 0.85u | Won | +1.14u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 36.5% | 0.353 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 38.2% | 0.316 | 0.19u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 24.2% | 0.713 | 0.71u | Won | +0.89u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 33.8% | 0.596 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 40.5% | 0.391 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 33.8% | 0.312 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.9% | 0.296 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 39.4% | 0.310 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 36.1% | 0.590 | 0.55u | Won | +0.82u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 32.0% | 0.366 | 0.28u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.81 | 20.2% | 0.442 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 30.8% | 0.418 | 0.28u | Won | +0.29u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 39.3% | 0.397 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 42.2% | 0.393 | 0.59u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 56.3% | 0.379 | 0.54u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 34.6% | 0.278 | 0.38u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.80 | 33.2% | 0.203 | 0.17u | Won | +0.14u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 46.1% | 0.164 | 0.12u | Won | +0.14u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 53.7% | 0.374 | 0.14u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 32.6% | 0.491 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 31.6% | 0.560 | 0.33u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 24.3% | 0.726 | 0.55u | Won | +0.70u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 32.5% | 0.295 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 23.5% | 0.591 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.82 | 28.0% | 0.311 | 0.28u | Won | +0.23u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 40.0% | 0.398 | 0.34u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.0% | 0.332 | 0.24u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 34.9% | 0.393 | 0.37u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 40.2% | 0.435 | 0.40u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 39.7% | 0.260 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 40.5% | 0.256 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 28.1% | 0.334 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 36.1% | 0.362 | 0.26u | Won | +0.29u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 39.6% | 0.493 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 22.9% | 0.558 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 37.1% | 0.171 | 0.08u | Won | +0.07u |
| Sep 8, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 27.5% | 0.355 | 1.20u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 8, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 41.4% | 0.189 | 0.60u | Won | +0.62u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.72 | 59.2% | 0.610 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 35.7% | 0.447 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 39.4% | 0.333 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 37.3% | 0.348 | 0.21u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 28.8% | 0.544 | 0.48u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 51.2% | 0.312 | 0.14u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 1.14u | Won | +1.60u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.98u | Won | +1.37u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.181 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 1.17u | Won | +1.65u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.240 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.240 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.