Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 8:48 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 47.6% | 0.268 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.6% | 0.137 | 0.15u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 49.5% | 0.221 | 0.32u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.6% | 0.206 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 48.7% | 0.139 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 50.0% | 0.280 | 0.93u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 47.6% | 0.258 | 0.66u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 47.6% | 0.174 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 47.6% | 0.289 | 0.80u | Won | +1.17u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 46.8% | 0.186 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 44.6% | 0.214 | 0.28u | Won | +0.33u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 45.2% | 0.173 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.0% | 0.205 | 0.26u | Won | +0.30u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.6% | 0.293 | 0.48u | Won | +0.62u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.9% | 0.263 | 0.37u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.7% | 0.207 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 41.9% | 0.260 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 50.6% | 0.144 | 0.12u | Won | +0.15u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.3% | 0.315 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 43.1% | 0.222 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 43.6% | 0.223 | 0.29u | Won | +0.34u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 42.1% | 0.390 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 43.0% | 0.232 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 44.4% | 0.206 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.6% | 0.156 | 0.20u | Won | +0.21u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 49.3% | 0.262 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 41.4% | 0.400 | 0.66u | Won | +0.92u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 45.7% | 0.124 | 0.09u | Won | +0.10u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 44.0% | 0.444 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 44.3% | 0.342 | 0.76u | Won | +1.07u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.7% | 0.330 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 45.0% | 0.198 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 45.2% | 0.206 | 0.21u | Won | +0.25u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 44.1% | 0.369 | 0.76u | Won | +1.10u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 45.8% | 0.204 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 44.1% | 0.326 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| May 25, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 52.2% | 0.221 | 1.20u | Won | +1.61u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 45.2% | 0.321 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 43.9% | 0.241 | 0.57u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 43.5% | 0.214 | 0.33u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 44.8% | 0.282 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 45.3% | 0.235 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.6% | 0.303 | 0.87u | Won | +1.14u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.1% | 0.213 | 0.58u | Won | +0.73u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 45.3% | 0.154 | 0.35u | Won | +0.39u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.6% | 0.171 | 0.24u | Won | +0.28u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.5% | 0.249 | 0.45u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 44.9% | 0.235 | 0.40u | Won | +0.50u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 44.7% | 0.179 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 44.7% | 0.139 | 0.17u | Won | +0.18u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 44.5% | 0.189 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.1% | 0.200 | 0.19u | Won | +0.24u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.8% | 0.313 | 0.40u | Won | +0.57u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 45.9% | 0.152 | 0.12u | Won | +0.14u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 45.3% | 0.210 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 44.1% | 0.449 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 45.0% | 0.143 | 0.11u | Won | +0.12u |
| May 19, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 45.3% | 0.155 | 1.11u | Won | +1.23u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 43.9% | 0.240 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 45.7% | 0.206 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 43.7% | 0.176 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| May 17, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 27.3% | 0.468 | 1.20u | Won | +1.22u |
| May 17, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 42.9% | 0.120 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 16, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 41.6% | 0.110 | 0.14u | Won | +0.13u |
| May 16, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.3% | 0.379 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| May 16, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 45.3% | 0.263 | 0.56u | Won | +0.73u |
| May 15, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.1% | 0.286 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 15, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 50.9% | 0.151 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| May 15, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 42.2% | 0.410 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| May 15, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 34.2% | 0.513 | 0.88u | Won | +1.14u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 39.7% | 0.454 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 57.3% | 0.317 | 0.23u | Won | +0.30u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.8% | 0.286 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 42.7% | 0.411 | 0.34u | Won | +0.50u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 37.5% | 0.388 | 0.34u | Won | +0.41u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 36.5% | 0.371 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 42.1% | 0.314 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 46.7% | 0.275 | 0.19u | Won | +0.26u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 43.4% | 0.194 | 0.12u | Won | +0.13u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 36.5% | 0.295 | 0.26u | Won | +0.27u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 39.0% | 0.463 | 0.51u | Won | +0.71u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 43.7% | 0.463 | 0.46u | Won | +0.74u |
| May 12, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 35.9% | 0.442 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| May 11, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 36.7% | 0.193 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| May 11, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.7% | 0.238 | 0.69u | Won | +0.99u |
| May 11, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 51.7% | 0.190 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 1.81 | 37.2% | 0.139 | 0.10u | Won | +0.08u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.66 | 45.0% | 0.464 | 0.64u | Won | +1.06u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 39.9% | 0.208 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 36.0% | 0.440 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.6% | 0.234 | 0.19u | Won | +0.27u |
| May 9, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 1.88 | 29.5% | 0.323 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| May 9, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 52.0% | 0.393 | 0.68u | Won | +1.14u |
| May 9, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 52.8% | 0.304 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| May 8, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 40.3% | 0.212 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| May 8, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 69.9% | 0.537 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 8, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 38.8% | 0.212 | 0.19u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 8, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 37.1% | 0.271 | 0.26u | Won | +0.27u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 44.1% | 0.279 | 0.22u | Won | +0.28u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.3% | 0.220 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.