Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 8:48 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 42.8% | 0.189 | 0.35u | Won | +0.38u |
| Apr 14, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 44.1% | 0.185 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Apr 14, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.88 | 39.3% | 0.139 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Apr 14, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.8% | 0.342 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 42.5% | 0.144 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.8% | 0.277 | 0.87u | Won | +1.10u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 45.9% | 0.229 | 0.61u | Won | +0.77u |
| Apr 13, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 40.1% | 0.153 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.5% | 0.333 | 0.35u | Won | +0.48u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 43.1% | 0.178 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 45.9% | 0.222 | 0.17u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 43.5% | 0.419 | 0.51u | Won | +0.77u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 36.2% | 0.480 | 0.63u | Won | +0.83u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 1.85 | 37.2% | 0.159 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Apr 12, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 53.5% | 0.199 | 0.13u | Won | +0.16u |
| Apr 11, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 39.5% | 0.192 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 11, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 40.2% | 0.152 | 0.27u | Won | +0.25u |
| Apr 11, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 42.9% | 0.325 | 0.87u | Won | +1.15u |
| Apr 11, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 44.1% | 0.163 | 0.27u | Won | +0.29u |
| Apr 11, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 56.1% | 0.347 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 43.1% | 0.281 | 0.58u | Won | +0.73u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 39.9% | 0.157 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 40.3% | 0.161 | 0.25u | Won | +0.24u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 47.5% | 0.213 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 42.5% | 0.224 | 0.41u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 10, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 38.4% | 0.171 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 40.8% | 0.219 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.1% | 0.217 | 0.64u | Won | +0.73u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.173 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 40.9% | 0.124 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 37.1% | 0.295 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Apr 9, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 51.2% | 0.244 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 45.8% | 0.150 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 42.6% | 0.269 | 1.11u | Won | +1.34u |
| Apr 8, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 44.0% | 0.121 | 0.29u | Won | +0.29u |
| Apr 7, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 44.4% | 0.284 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Apr 7, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.1% | 0.283 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Apr 7, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 45.8% | 0.133 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Apr 7, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 39.7% | 0.118 | 0.18u | Won | +0.15u |
| Oct 31, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 41.5% | 0.358 | 1.20u | Won | +1.58u |
| Oct 20, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 41.2% | 0.132 | 1.14u | Won | +1.06u |
| Oct 14, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.3% | 0.234 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Oct 11, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.2% | 0.259 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 10, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 47.1% | 0.228 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 9, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.0% | 0.243 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Oct 8, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 46.0% | 0.382 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Oct 5, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 48.4% | 0.152 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Oct 3, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.2% | 0.240 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Oct 3, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 48.9% | 0.323 | 0.58u | Won | +0.92u |
| Oct 3, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 44.7% | 0.201 | 0.28u | Won | +0.33u |
| Oct 3, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 47.4% | 0.314 | 0.57u | Won | +0.86u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 45.4% | 0.223 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 45.2% | 0.172 | 0.25u | Won | +0.29u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.9% | 0.272 | 0.50u | Won | +0.75u |
| Oct 2, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.5% | 0.311 | 0.67u | Won | +0.91u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 45.0% | 0.419 | 0.74u | Won | +1.17u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 47.6% | 0.210 | 0.23u | Won | +0.30u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 48.6% | 0.296 | 0.40u | Won | +0.61u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 49.1% | 0.176 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Oct 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.3% | 0.233 | 0.27u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 30, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.1% | 0.147 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.5% | 0.233 | 0.34u | Won | +0.46u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 45.7% | 0.244 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 49.2% | 0.240 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 46.5% | 0.263 | 0.42u | Won | +0.57u |
| Sep 29, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 47.9% | 0.251 | 0.38u | Won | +0.53u |
| Sep 28, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 46.7% | 0.312 | 1.05u | Won | +1.53u |
| Sep 28, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.4% | 0.259 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 44.8% | 0.258 | 0.66u | Won | +0.84u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.1% | 0.217 | 0.40u | Won | +0.46u |
| Sep 26, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 51.0% | 0.291 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 47.4% | 0.226 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Sep 25, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.2% | 0.261 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Sep 24, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 45.4% | 0.207 | 0.36u | Won | +0.44u |
| Sep 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 45.3% | 0.221 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 24, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.6% | 0.225 | 0.40u | Won | +0.54u |
| Sep 24, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 45.2% | 0.288 | 0.63u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 23, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.1% | 0.195 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 23, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 45.5% | 0.352 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Sep 23, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 48.5% | 0.251 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 23, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.6% | 0.176 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 22, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 46.7% | 0.350 | 0.70u | Won | +1.07u |
| Sep 22, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 46.5% | 0.156 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 22, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 47.4% | 0.315 | 0.58u | Won | +0.87u |
| Sep 22, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 46.2% | 0.226 | 0.34u | Won | +0.44u |
| Sep 21, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 41.6% | 0.145 | 0.55u | Won | +0.53u |
| Sep 21, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 42.2% | 0.118 | 0.38u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 43.4% | 0.199 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Sep 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 42.5% | 0.249 | 0.38u | Won | +0.44u |
| Sep 20, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 40.9% | 0.319 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 20, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 43.2% | 0.404 | 0.83u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 45.6% | 0.214 | 0.24u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 41.4% | 0.265 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 44.3% | 0.332 | 0.52u | Won | +0.72u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.3% | 0.299 | 0.45u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 41.0% | 0.116 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 19, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 41.2% | 0.132 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 41.4% | 0.296 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 39.2% | 0.423 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 44.1% | 0.246 | 0.16u | Won | +0.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.