Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 8:48 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 45.2% | 0.255 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 37.4% | 0.401 | 0.45u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 37.2% | 0.482 | 0.61u | Won | +0.83u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 36.9% | 0.275 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| May 6, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 1.81 | 34.0% | 0.197 | 1.20u | Won | +0.98u |
| May 6, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 42.5% | 0.118 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 5, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 42.9% | 0.153 | 0.40u | Won | +0.41u |
| May 5, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 36.6% | 0.249 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| May 5, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.3% | 0.167 | 0.40u | Won | +0.52u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 40.8% | 0.343 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 41.2% | 0.222 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 53.7% | 0.363 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 39.4% | 0.334 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.4% | 0.222 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 41.1% | 0.348 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.2% | 0.340 | 0.38u | Won | +0.53u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 49.0% | 0.192 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 55.0% | 0.287 | 0.21u | Won | +0.28u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 47.7% | 0.192 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 42.4% | 0.440 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 35.7% | 0.286 | 0.34u | Won | +0.34u |
| May 2, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 42.1% | 0.211 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| May 2, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 35.5% | 0.374 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| May 2, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 40.1% | 0.401 | 0.78u | Won | +1.05u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 38.7% | 0.191 | 0.20u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 41.2% | 0.353 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 57.0% | 0.197 | 0.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 47.4% | 0.272 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 35.3% | 0.281 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 44.6% | 0.169 | 0.15u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 55.3% | 0.438 | 0.39u | Won | +0.62u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 47.0% | 0.262 | 0.16u | Won | +0.22u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 34.6% | 0.577 | 0.71u | Won | +1.00u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 35.7% | 0.212 | 0.14u | Won | +0.12u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 35.9% | 0.404 | 0.40u | Won | +0.48u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 59.8% | 0.370 | 0.29u | Won | +0.37u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 45.6% | 0.225 | 0.13u | Won | +0.16u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 63.3% | 0.551 | 0.67u | Won | +0.97u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 49.1% | 0.160 | 0.07u | Won | +0.09u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 27.6% | 0.492 | 0.64u | Won | +0.68u |
| Apr 28, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 43.1% | 0.184 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Apr 28, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 35.6% | 0.392 | 1.20u | Won | +1.39u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 44.8% | 0.346 | 0.22u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 28.5% | 0.559 | 0.62u | Won | +0.73u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 35.0% | 0.605 | 0.63u | Won | +0.93u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 1.84 | 29.6% | 0.295 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 50.6% | 0.239 | 0.11u | Won | +0.16u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.5% | 0.273 | 0.22u | Won | +0.30u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 54.5% | 0.329 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 38.0% | 0.494 | 0.66u | Won | +0.93u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 42.8% | 0.117 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 38.9% | 0.399 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 41.7% | 0.155 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Apr 25, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 42.3% | 0.183 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Apr 25, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 1.81 | 32.5% | 0.219 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Apr 24, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.6% | 0.204 | 0.48u | Won | +0.64u |
| Apr 24, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 1.84 | 37.8% | 0.145 | 0.33u | Won | +0.28u |
| Apr 24, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 52.3% | 0.312 | 0.99u | Won | +1.49u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 45.1% | 0.230 | 0.17u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 56.5% | 0.277 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 45.7% | 0.233 | 0.18u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 53.7% | 0.257 | 0.20u | Won | +0.27u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 51.7% | 0.338 | 0.31u | Won | +0.49u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 40.6% | 0.509 | 0.69u | Won | +1.06u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.17 | 57.3% | 0.243 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 42.1% | 0.186 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 37.6% | 0.305 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 42.6% | 0.286 | 0.49u | Won | +0.61u |
| Apr 21, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 55.8% | 0.422 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Apr 21, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.221 | 0.20u | Won | +0.29u |
| Apr 21, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 51.7% | 0.302 | 0.34u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 21, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 43.2% | 0.375 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Apr 21, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 46.3% | 0.132 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 33.3% | 0.575 | 0.65u | Won | +0.88u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.7% | 0.343 | 0.23u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 37.4% | 0.259 | 0.16u | Won | +0.16u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 55.6% | 0.308 | 0.20u | Won | +0.27u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 53.6% | 0.314 | 0.20u | Won | +0.29u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 42.6% | 0.430 | 0.36u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 40.8% | 0.231 | 0.36u | Won | +0.39u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.14 | 60.0% | 0.285 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.4% | 0.324 | 0.59u | Won | +0.79u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 45.8% | 0.231 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 45.6% | 0.149 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.0% | 0.263 | 0.55u | Won | +0.74u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 44.8% | 0.275 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 43.8% | 0.198 | 0.36u | Won | +0.41u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 45.2% | 0.173 | 0.28u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 40.6% | 0.105 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 43.2% | 0.425 | 0.61u | Won | +0.92u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 44.6% | 0.180 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 46.2% | 0.216 | 0.19u | Won | +0.24u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.4% | 0.324 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 46.8% | 0.357 | 0.43u | Won | +0.67u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 44.8% | 0.331 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.81 | 39.0% | 0.106 | 0.08u | Won | +0.07u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 42.0% | 0.143 | 0.13u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 38.5% | 0.298 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 47.2% | 0.289 | 0.36u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 45.3% | 0.270 | 0.34u | Won | +0.45u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.