Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 8:48 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 43.2% | 0.408 | 0.38u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 41.0% | 0.310 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Sep 18, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 43.3% | 0.372 | 0.33u | Won | +0.47u |
| Sep 17, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.8% | 0.369 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 17, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 42.5% | 0.374 | 0.35u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 17, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 40.7% | 0.329 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 17, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.2% | 0.313 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Sep 17, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 36.2% | 0.276 | 0.24u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 17, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.8% | 0.348 | 0.31u | Won | +0.43u |
| Sep 16, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 41.3% | 0.308 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 16, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 40.6% | 0.106 | 0.60u | Won | +0.52u |
| Sep 15, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 43.4% | 0.227 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 15, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 45.3% | 0.198 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 15, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.1% | 0.248 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 15, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 38.7% | 0.380 | 0.52u | Won | +0.65u |
| Sep 15, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 42.0% | 0.472 | 0.70u | Won | +1.08u |
| Sep 14, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 40.3% | 0.300 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Sep 14, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 1.80 | 36.8% | 0.139 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 14, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 42.9% | 0.131 | 0.17u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 14, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 41.2% | 0.218 | 0.40u | Won | +0.43u |
| Sep 14, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 51.2% | 0.209 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 13, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 44.2% | 0.206 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 13, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 49.0% | 0.301 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 13, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 42.1% | 0.314 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 42.0% | 0.223 | 0.19u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 43.0% | 0.163 | 0.11u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.5% | 0.293 | 0.30u | Won | +0.39u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 37.5% | 0.413 | 0.57u | Won | +0.72u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 42.8% | 0.309 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 12, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 43.2% | 0.296 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 41.1% | 0.179 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.0% | 0.148 | 0.14u | Won | +0.15u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 45.9% | 0.152 | 0.14u | Won | +0.16u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 42.7% | 0.359 | 0.62u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 44.0% | 0.327 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Sep 11, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 42.2% | 0.174 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 10, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 42.9% | 0.120 | 0.10u | Won | +0.10u |
| Sep 10, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 38.2% | 0.247 | 0.35u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 10, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 45.7% | 0.134 | 0.11u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 10, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 42.9% | 0.400 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 10, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 42.6% | 0.331 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Sep 9, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 41.8% | 0.115 | 0.82u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 9, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 42.8% | 0.127 | 0.98u | Won | +0.95u |
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 41.5% | 0.333 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 44.8% | 0.226 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 40.0% | 0.434 | 0.59u | Won | +0.82u |
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 42.0% | 0.167 | 0.12u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 8, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 43.2% | 0.408 | 0.51u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 7, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.2% | 0.212 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Sep 7, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 47.1% | 0.339 | 0.94u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 7, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.6% | 0.211 | 0.43u | Won | +0.55u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.7% | 0.187 | 0.42u | Won | +0.53u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 46.6% | 0.243 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.6% | 0.158 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Sep 6, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.5% | 0.172 | 0.39u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 5, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 46.3% | 0.301 | 1.03u | Won | +1.46u |
| Sep 5, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 48.2% | 0.155 | 0.33u | Won | +0.41u |
| Sep 5, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 47.6% | 0.180 | 0.44u | Won | +0.55u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 51.9% | 0.190 | 0.23u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 46.5% | 0.129 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 48.2% | 0.160 | 0.17u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.8% | 0.329 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 47.2% | 0.272 | 0.41u | Won | +0.58u |
| Sep 4, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 47.7% | 0.220 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 46.7% | 0.157 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 51.8% | 0.201 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.5% | 0.186 | 0.22u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 46.8% | 0.240 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 47.3% | 0.276 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 3, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 45.3% | 0.237 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 2, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 50.8% | 0.204 | 1.19u | Won | +1.63u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 48.4% | 0.254 | 1.01u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 46.2% | 0.141 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 1, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.4% | 0.141 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.1% | 0.216 | 0.46u | Won | +0.64u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.2% | 0.166 | 0.31u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 48.0% | 0.228 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 31, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.7% | 0.225 | 0.51u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 47.1% | 0.158 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 48.5% | 0.282 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Aug 30, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 45.7% | 0.173 | 0.46u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 47.9% | 0.204 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Aug 28, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 47.9% | 0.141 | 0.63u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 46.7% | 0.146 | 0.59u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 45.6% | 0.131 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Aug 27, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.4% | 0.161 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 46.9% | 0.273 | 0.77u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 47.5% | 0.145 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 47.9% | 0.146 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 26, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 47.2% | 0.209 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 47.7% | 0.314 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 48.0% | 0.175 | 0.24u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.3% | 0.315 | 0.66u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.4% | 0.182 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 46.8% | 0.277 | 0.50u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.7% | 0.281 | 0.51u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 45.1% | 0.158 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 24, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 48.9% | 0.309 | 0.58u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 45.8% | 0.137 | 0.63u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 23, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.5% | 0.205 | 1.17u | Won | +1.57u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.