Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 6:06 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.42u | Won | +0.57u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 50.0% | 0.145 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Jun 12, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.62u | Won | +0.89u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 1.16u | Won | +1.67u |
| Jun 11, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.63u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jun 10, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 1.17u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jun 9, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.0% | 0.266 | 1.20u | Won | +1.84u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.82u | Won | +1.11u |
| Jun 8, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.39u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Jun 6, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.62u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.39u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jun 5, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 50.0% | 0.290 | 0.98u | Won | +1.55u |
| Jun 2, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 49.2% | 0.189 | 1.13u | Won | +1.51u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 48.0% | 0.309 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| May 31, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 46.3% | 0.283 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| May 30, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.2% | 0.229 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.67 | 47.6% | 0.400 | 0.89u | Won | +1.49u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.63 | 48.7% | 0.350 | 0.70u | Won | +1.14u |
| May 29, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.8% | 0.164 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 47.8% | 0.263 | 1.10u | Won | +1.56u |
| May 27, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.2% | 0.204 | 0.70u | Won | +0.96u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.9% | 0.201 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 48.6% | 0.146 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 47.6% | 0.132 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 26, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 48.6% | 0.198 | 0.57u | Won | +0.76u |
| May 25, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 46.2% | 0.269 | 1.20u | Won | +1.63u |
| May 24, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 48.5% | 0.190 | 1.16u | Won | +1.52u |
| May 23, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 48.1% | 0.200 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| May 23, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 45.9% | 0.218 | 0.63u | Won | +0.79u |
| May 23, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.5% | 0.232 | 0.66u | Won | +0.92u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.2% | 0.194 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 45.8% | 0.279 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 48.9% | 0.165 | 0.21u | Won | +0.27u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 46.7% | 0.258 | 0.47u | Won | +0.64u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 47.5% | 0.298 | 0.57u | Won | +0.84u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.6% | 0.238 | 0.36u | Won | +0.49u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 48.0% | 0.301 | 0.47u | Won | +0.71u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 47.2% | 0.251 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 48.2% | 0.315 | 0.57u | Won | +0.88u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.7% | 0.216 | 0.52u | Won | +0.71u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.8% | 0.222 | 0.56u | Won | +0.75u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 47.3% | 0.160 | 0.33u | Won | +0.40u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 48.2% | 0.177 | 0.38u | Won | +0.48u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 45.4% | 0.135 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.4% | 0.233 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 47.8% | 0.243 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 47.4% | 0.137 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 46.8% | 0.347 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 46.1% | 0.132 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 47.1% | 0.311 | 0.51u | Won | +0.75u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.8% | 0.204 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.3% | 0.225 | 0.28u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 47.2% | 0.287 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 47.4% | 0.178 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 45.6% | 0.305 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 45.6% | 0.300 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.8% | 0.223 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.4% | 0.276 | 0.64u | Won | +0.88u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.8% | 0.214 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 45.2% | 0.128 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 42.6% | 0.333 | 1.20u | Won | +1.58u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.1% | 0.201 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| May 10, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.5% | 0.208 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| May 10, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.1% | 0.200 | 0.88u | Won | +0.94u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 46.1% | 0.149 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 45.8% | 0.149 | 0.41u | Won | +0.46u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 46.2% | 0.253 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 42.1% | 0.331 | 0.72u | Won | +0.94u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 45.7% | 0.151 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.7% | 0.293 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.0% | 0.226 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 43.3% | 0.260 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 45.9% | 0.130 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 46.5% | 0.187 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 47.2% | 0.315 | 0.48u | Won | +0.72u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 45.8% | 0.338 | 0.54u | Won | +0.79u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 45.1% | 0.350 | 0.58u | Won | +0.85u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.3% | 0.197 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 48.0% | 0.154 | 0.71u | Won | +0.87u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 43.3% | 0.254 | 0.57u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 44.6% | 0.362 | 1.00u | Won | +1.46u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 41.7% | 0.144 | 0.23u | Won | +0.22u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.2% | 0.225 | 1.15u | Won | +1.62u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.0% | 0.147 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 40.7% | 0.304 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.0% | 0.243 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 46.2% | 0.206 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.9% | 0.241 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.8% | 0.184 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.6% | 0.201 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.0% | 0.276 | 0.46u | Won | +0.57u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 43.6% | 0.236 | 0.39u | Won | +0.46u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 40.9% | 0.236 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 46.4% | 0.245 | 0.30u | Won | +0.40u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.