Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 6:06 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 46.5% | 0.188 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 5, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 45.4% | 0.147 | 1.07u | Won | +1.18u |
| Oct 1, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 42.1% | 0.119 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Sep 30, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 43.7% | 0.161 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 30, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.3% | 0.226 | 0.67u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 30, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.271 | 0.76u | Won | +1.17u |
| Sep 29, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 47.5% | 0.271 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 54.3% | 0.402 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.0% | 0.220 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.17 | 54.0% | 0.171 | 0.21u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 27, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 49.6% | 0.250 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 46.0% | 0.317 | 0.52u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 51.6% | 0.352 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 45.2% | 0.316 | 0.53u | Won | +0.74u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.1% | 0.180 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 25, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 62.5% | 0.281 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Sep 25, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 37.8% | 0.177 | 0.60u | Won | +0.54u |
| Sep 24, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 47.7% | 0.177 | 1.10u | Won | +1.38u |
| Sep 24, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.16 | 52.4% | 0.133 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 43.5% | 0.338 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 45.9% | 0.189 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.255 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 50.0% | 0.330 | 1.20u | Won | +1.99u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.171 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Sep 18, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Sep 16, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.62u | Won | +0.86u |
| Sep 16, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.55u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 16, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Sep 14, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 50.0% | 0.295 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 14, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 13, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 50.0% | 0.105 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Sep 13, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 50.0% | 0.146 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.30u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.40u | Won | +0.58u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.24u | Won | +0.32u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.301 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.156 | 0.22u | Won | +0.29u |
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.75u | Won | +0.99u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.9% | 0.176 | 1.04u | Won | +1.40u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.9% | 0.285 | 0.27u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 40.0% | 0.506 | 0.73u | Won | +1.10u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 42.1% | 0.169 | 0.11u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 42.6% | 0.178 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 42.8% | 0.196 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 42.4% | 0.365 | 0.41u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 7, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 44.9% | 0.246 | 1.20u | Won | +1.51u |
| Sep 7, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 40.2% | 0.108 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 44.0% | 0.199 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 40.7% | 0.109 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 44.4% | 0.123 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 40.2% | 0.113 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 42.5% | 0.122 | 0.17u | Won | +0.16u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 41.4% | 0.307 | 0.79u | Won | +0.97u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 41.7% | 0.318 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 41.2% | 0.287 | 0.43u | Won | +0.51u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 44.5% | 0.149 | 0.14u | Won | +0.15u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 52.7% | 0.385 | 0.62u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 43.3% | 0.128 | 0.11u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 40.8% | 0.427 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.8% | 0.219 | 0.22u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 45.1% | 0.197 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.9% | 0.149 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 43.0% | 0.254 | 0.31u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 39.7% | 0.188 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 43.6% | 0.236 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 42.3% | 0.310 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 44.2% | 0.149 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.2% | 0.143 | 0.23u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 42.9% | 0.348 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 43.7% | 0.384 | 0.84u | Won | +1.23u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 40.2% | 0.108 | 0.12u | Won | +0.10u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 42.1% | 0.092 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.5% | 0.210 | 1.20u | Won | +1.37u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 42.3% | 0.126 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 31, 2020 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.2% | 0.307 | 1.08u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 31, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 42.1% | 0.234 | 0.72u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 45.0% | 0.144 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 41.1% | 0.151 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.57 | 48.1% | 0.334 | 0.47u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 42.7% | 0.336 | 0.53u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.2% | 0.340 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 47.3% | 0.181 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.3% | 0.177 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.0% | 0.188 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 47.3% | 0.160 | 0.29u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 43.7% | 0.131 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 42.1% | 0.211 | 0.52u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 41.4% | 0.266 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 27, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.2% | 0.145 | 1.10u | Won | +1.16u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 40.8% | 0.162 | 0.38u | Won | +0.37u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 45.9% | 0.265 | 0.77u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 43.1% | 0.144 | 0.30u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.6% | 0.155 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.256 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 50.0% | 0.145 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.