Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 6:06 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 47.0% | 0.192 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 49.4% | 0.311 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 47.0% | 0.378 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 42.9% | 0.210 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 47.0% | 0.309 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.8% | 0.266 | 0.47u | Won | +0.65u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 47.4% | 0.347 | 0.73u | Won | +1.14u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.4% | 0.330 | 0.55u | Won | +0.74u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 42.6% | 0.400 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 42.6% | 0.143 | 0.14u | Won | +0.14u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 48.8% | 0.148 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.2% | 0.187 | 0.20u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 46.8% | 0.310 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 45.4% | 0.119 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 45.8% | 0.322 | 0.55u | Won | +0.79u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 44.5% | 0.288 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 42.4% | 0.175 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 44.2% | 0.418 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.1% | 0.170 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 40.7% | 0.416 | 0.72u | Won | +1.00u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 42.0% | 0.252 | 0.28u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 45.3% | 0.296 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 45.0% | 0.250 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 46.1% | 0.288 | 0.73u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 46.0% | 0.360 | 1.07u | Won | +1.63u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 47.0% | 0.272 | 0.56u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 46.4% | 0.362 | 0.91u | Won | +1.40u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 45.0% | 0.193 | 0.33u | Won | +0.39u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 43.4% | 0.375 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 37.9% | 0.434 | 1.20u | Won | +1.57u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.6% | 0.284 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 45.1% | 0.273 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.3% | 0.234 | 0.22u | Won | +0.29u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.6% | 0.307 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 42.9% | 0.415 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 46.2% | 0.340 | 0.63u | Won | +0.94u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 44.6% | 0.357 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.0% | 0.285 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 45.9% | 0.266 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 45.1% | 0.231 | 0.81u | Won | +1.00u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 44.1% | 0.358 | 0.45u | Won | +0.64u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 42.7% | 0.438 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 42.9% | 0.416 | 0.58u | Won | +0.86u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 45.2% | 0.218 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 43.9% | 0.194 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 49.0% | 0.240 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.1% | 0.181 | 0.51u | Won | +0.61u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 46.8% | 0.272 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 45.5% | 0.127 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.2% | 0.329 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.2% | 0.184 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 44.7% | 0.128 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.3% | 0.278 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 43.4% | 0.222 | 0.61u | Won | +0.71u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 42.6% | 0.366 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 46.5% | 0.145 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 46.2% | 0.275 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 44.1% | 0.141 | 0.60u | Won | +0.62u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 42.4% | 0.364 | 1.20u | Won | +1.64u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 45.0% | 0.253 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 45.4% | 0.186 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 44.7% | 0.117 | 0.19u | Won | +0.19u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 43.0% | 0.238 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.8% | 0.166 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 39.7% | 0.219 | 0.48u | Won | +0.49u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 44.2% | 0.233 | 0.49u | Won | +0.59u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.2% | 0.256 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 40.0% | 0.302 | 1.20u | Won | +1.40u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 44.2% | 0.155 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 41.3% | 0.107 | 0.26u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 43.7% | 0.368 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 45.5% | 0.135 | 0.34u | Won | +0.37u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 41.8% | 0.361 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 40.9% | 0.329 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 47.7% | 0.162 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 52.1% | 0.396 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 42.1% | 0.187 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 44.7% | 0.150 | 0.24u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 45.4% | 0.240 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 41.8% | 0.397 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 37.9% | 0.134 | 0.14u | Won | +0.12u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 45.8% | 0.187 | 0.20u | Won | +0.24u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.6% | 0.297 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.7% | 0.229 | 0.28u | Won | +0.38u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 41.7% | 0.165 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 52.7% | 0.212 | 0.31u | Won | +0.40u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.8% | 0.292 | 0.55u | Won | +0.74u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.4% | 0.236 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 45.9% | 0.260 | 0.38u | Won | +0.51u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 42.9% | 0.342 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 53.7% | 0.310 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 42.5% | 0.357 | 1.05u | Won | +1.43u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 39.0% | 0.220 | 0.33u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 46.6% | 0.142 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 43.9% | 0.134 | 0.20u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 53.4% | 0.459 | 1.02u | Won | +1.76u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 47.1% | 0.207 | 0.24u | Won | +0.31u |
| Oct 23, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 42.5% | 0.219 | 1.20u | Won | +1.34u |
| Oct 15, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.2% | 0.145 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Oct 13, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 46.8% | 0.282 | 1.20u | Won | +1.69u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.