Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 6:06 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.27u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.166 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.276 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.206 | 1.17u | Won | +1.65u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.196 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 50.0% | 0.141 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 50.0% | 0.211 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 50.0% | 0.146 | 0.71u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 50.0% | 0.190 | 1.09u | Won | +1.50u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.91u | Won | +1.21u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 50.0% | 0.346 | 1.20u | Won | +2.03u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 39.0% | 0.378 | 0.81u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.11 | 54.0% | 0.139 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 41.9% | 0.405 | 0.86u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 45.7% | 0.156 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 47.5% | 0.130 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 49.1% | 0.185 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 46.6% | 0.192 | 0.45u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.2% | 0.243 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 39.5% | 0.235 | 0.71u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.1% | 0.196 | 0.27u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.8% | 0.312 | 0.64u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 45.0% | 0.299 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 44.3% | 0.193 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.8% | 0.304 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 53.5% | 0.407 | 0.98u | Won | +1.60u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 48.1% | 0.151 | 0.19u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.0% | 0.126 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 45.0% | 0.248 | 0.38u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.1% | 0.221 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 36.3% | 0.249 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 42.2% | 0.336 | 0.67u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 51.4% | 0.176 | 0.44u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.6% | 0.203 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 41.3% | 0.111 | 0.25u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 44.0% | 0.187 | 0.55u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 39.0% | 0.191 | 0.26u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 42.0% | 0.329 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 39.6% | 0.360 | 0.73u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 51.5% | 0.190 | 0.21u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 40.0% | 0.195 | 0.29u | Won | +0.29u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 53.4% | 0.383 | 0.72u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 47.0% | 0.176 | 0.21u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Tigers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 45.7% | 0.145 | 0.15u | Won | +0.17u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 42.6% | 0.257 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 46.4% | 0.126 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.2% | 0.239 | 1.20u | Won | +1.76u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 44.3% | 0.247 | 1.20u | Won | +1.49u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 43.6% | 0.297 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 44.2% | 0.182 | 0.40u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 41.9% | 0.191 | 0.47u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 39.2% | 0.228 | 0.36u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 41.6% | 0.302 | 0.55u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 33.3% | 0.374 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Twins
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 58.9% | 0.218 | 0.30u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 42.9% | 0.337 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 1.84 | 35.1% | 0.195 | 0.27u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 41.9% | 0.320 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 39.4% | 0.266 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 36.9% | 0.450 | 0.45u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 41.9% | 0.150 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 40.8% | 0.469 | 0.45u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 38.7% | 0.181 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 37.0% | 0.436 | 0.43u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 42.3% | 0.385 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 35.9% | 0.520 | 0.43u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 40.5% | 0.274 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 37.2% | 0.432 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 35.5% | 0.254 | 0.14u | Won | +0.13u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 41.3% | 0.369 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.73 | 40.0% | 0.638 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 38.0% | 0.327 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 42.4% | 0.146 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 41.2% | 0.119 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 39.0% | 0.488 | 1.01u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 45.6% | 0.251 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 36.2% | 0.187 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 23, 2020 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 40.2% | 0.156 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 23, 2020 | mlb |
Nationals
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.3% | 0.192 | 0.98u | Won | +1.23u |
| Oct 25, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 43.8% | 0.197 | 1.20u | Won | +1.36u |
| Oct 18, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 46.2% | 0.174 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Oct 12, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.9% | 0.152 | 0.93u | Won | +1.21u |
| Oct 10, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 41.3% | 0.202 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 6, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.4% | 0.212 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.4% | 0.213 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.8% | 0.179 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 48.7% | 0.283 | 0.74u | Won | +1.11u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 50.1% | 0.354 | 1.06u | Won | +1.80u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 49.1% | 0.350 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 48.8% | 0.332 | 0.87u | Won | +1.39u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 58.0% | 0.480 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 34.0% | 0.210 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 53.5% | 0.203 | 0.20u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 32.1% | 0.297 | 0.46u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 1.80 | 37.0% | 0.135 | 0.14u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.7% | 0.170 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 35.8% | 0.200 | 0.26u | Won | +0.23u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 20.1% | 0.678 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.