Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 6:06 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 36.4% | 0.189 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 33.8% | 0.458 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 35.6% | 0.482 | 0.42u | Won | +0.55u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 42.2% | 0.213 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 34.4% | 0.607 | 0.63u | Won | +0.91u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 1.80 | 31.1% | 0.241 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 33.8% | 0.357 | 0.20u | Won | +0.21u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 29.8% | 0.474 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 26.1% | 0.960 | 1.01u | Won | +1.67u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 46.1% | 0.348 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 44.9% | 0.295 | 0.11u | Won | +0.15u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 33.5% | 0.244 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 26.7% | 0.722 | 0.62u | Won | +0.84u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 25.8% | 0.417 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 36.0% | 0.441 | 0.25u | Won | +0.31u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 37.9% | 0.584 | 0.37u | Won | +0.57u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 28.8% | 0.359 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 33.7% | 0.724 | 0.91u | Won | +1.46u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 35.5% | 0.420 | 0.38u | Won | +0.46u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 33.2% | 0.469 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 37.4% | 0.441 | 0.36u | Won | +0.47u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.8% | 0.255 | 0.12u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.85 | 36.2% | 0.820 | 0.97u | Won | +1.79u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 35.7% | 0.285 | 0.19u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 48.5% | 0.186 | 0.06u | Won | +0.08u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 43.5% | 0.214 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 26.5% | 0.374 | 0.17u | Won | +0.15u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 26.4% | 0.766 | 0.55u | Won | +0.77u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 18.5% | 0.555 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 31.5% | 0.542 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 40.5% | 0.488 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 28.5% | 0.395 | 0.19u | Won | +0.18u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 38.5% | 0.476 | 0.78u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 33.3% | 0.248 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 36.8% | 0.358 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 60.2% | 0.203 | 0.19u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 33.7% | 0.216 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 35.5% | 0.322 | 0.24u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 56.9% | 0.481 | 0.41u | Won | +0.66u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 36.0% | 0.344 | 0.27u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.1% | 0.244 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 34.5% | 0.572 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 38.3% | 0.419 | 0.46u | Won | +0.60u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 37.8% | 0.163 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 37.5% | 0.169 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 33.6% | 0.461 | 0.59u | Won | +0.71u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 44.0% | 0.315 | 0.26u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 51.7% | 0.345 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 36.7% | 0.236 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 33.2% | 0.403 | 0.40u | Won | +0.44u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 36.7% | 0.519 | 0.57u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 1.80 | 32.0% | 0.224 | 0.15u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 34.4% | 0.476 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.0% | 0.188 | 0.09u | Won | +0.11u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 31.3% | 0.580 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 42.1% | 0.215 | 0.12u | Won | +0.13u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.7% | 0.173 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 34.1% | 0.383 | 0.35u | Won | +0.39u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 33.2% | 0.437 | 0.44u | Won | +0.51u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 37.9% | 0.367 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 41.2% | 0.176 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 45.2% | 0.152 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 32.5% | 0.384 | 0.37u | Won | +0.39u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 36.1% | 0.247 | 0.17u | Won | +0.16u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 35.8% | 0.638 | 0.78u | Won | +1.21u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 0.249 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 45.2% | 0.234 | 0.47u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 50.2% | 0.331 | 0.76u | Won | +1.25u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.1% | 0.221 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 48.6% | 0.156 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 46.5% | 0.365 | 0.69u | Won | +1.07u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.7% | 0.156 | 0.15u | Won | +0.20u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.2% | 0.168 | 0.18u | Won | +0.23u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 44.8% | 0.159 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 46.1% | 0.266 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.3% | 0.209 | 0.21u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.7% | 0.326 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.3% | 0.236 | 0.25u | Won | +0.33u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.70 | 49.1% | 0.374 | 0.51u | Won | +0.87u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 49.6% | 0.261 | 0.28u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 45.2% | 0.150 | 0.11u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 48.1% | 0.298 | 0.58u | Won | +0.87u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 47.0% | 0.192 | 0.29u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.7% | 0.205 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.2% | 0.164 | 0.25u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.7% | 0.230 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 43.8% | 0.377 | 0.56u | Won | +0.81u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.7% | 0.203 | 0.19u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 55.6% | 0.307 | 0.40u | Won | +0.54u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.8% | 0.327 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.6% | 0.219 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.7% | 0.228 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 45.4% | 0.202 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.4% | 0.310 | 0.84u | Won | +1.30u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 45.8% | 0.275 | 0.53u | Won | +0.72u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 43.0% | 0.254 | 0.50u | Won | +0.60u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.3% | 0.337 | 0.77u | Won | +1.08u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 46.3% | 0.155 | 0.15u | Won | +0.17u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.0% | 0.273 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 37.1% | 0.175 | 0.23u | Won | +0.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.