Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 3:52 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 49.2% | 0.269 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.2% | 0.223 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 43.7% | 0.395 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.2% | 0.253 | 0.35u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 54.2% | 0.344 | 0.35u | Won | +0.52u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 61.0% | 0.380 | 0.47u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 54.6% | 0.234 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 46.3% | 0.358 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.80 | 50.4% | 0.411 | 0.44u | Won | +0.79u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.77 | 51.1% | 0.417 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 51.0% | 0.443 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 25, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 51.1% | 0.470 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Sep 24, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.94 | 51.0% | 0.500 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 24, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 50.3% | 0.213 | 0.39u | Won | +0.55u |
| Sep 24, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.1% | 0.342 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Sep 24, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 52.6% | 0.235 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 42.7% | 0.375 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.4% | 0.235 | 0.44u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 23, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.0% | 0.183 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.9% | 0.225 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 48.3% | 0.221 | 0.25u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 53.8% | 0.189 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.7% | 0.244 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 51.3% | 0.231 | 0.26u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 46.9% | 0.337 | 0.51u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 22, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 50.9% | 0.420 | 1.20u | Won | +2.15u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 51.3% | 0.416 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 51.2% | 0.336 | 0.63u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 50.2% | 0.377 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 21, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.06 | 59.8% | 0.232 | 0.41u | Won | +0.43u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 3.21 | 48.2% | 0.664 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 50.5% | 0.167 | 0.09u | Won | +0.12u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 46.3% | 0.133 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.7% | 0.352 | 0.33u | Won | +0.46u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 40.8% | 0.386 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 19, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 46.0% | 0.269 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.73 | 46.7% | 0.456 | 1.09u | Won | +1.89u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 44.1% | 0.292 | 0.51u | Won | +0.67u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 52.8% | 0.155 | 0.20u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 50.9% | 0.430 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 18, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 4.88 | 50.5% | 1.464 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 17, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 44.8% | 0.153 | 0.72u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 17, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 52.0% | 0.208 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.08 | 54.4% | 0.131 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 30.0% | 0.616 | 1.20u | Won | +1.57u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.2% | 0.241 | 0.26u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 16, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.7% | 0.228 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 1.81 | 61.6% | 0.117 | 0.60u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 15, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 43.8% | 0.197 | 1.20u | Won | +1.36u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 42.6% | 0.297 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 48.6% | 0.238 | 0.47u | Won | +0.66u |
| Sep 14, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.8% | 0.269 | 0.57u | Won | +0.86u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 47.6% | 0.237 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 57.4% | 0.268 | 1.04u | Won | +1.26u |
| Sep 13, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 3.35 | 50.8% | 0.700 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.36 | 50.9% | 0.710 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 50.8% | 0.391 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 50.9% | 0.435 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.87 | 51.5% | 0.478 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 52.2% | 0.269 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.78 | 52.8% | 0.467 | 0.49u | Won | +0.87u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 42.1% | 0.379 | 0.38u | Won | +0.52u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 47.8% | 0.191 | 0.11u | Won | +0.14u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 54.0% | 0.437 | 0.45u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 12, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 54.1% | 0.240 | 0.17u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 50.0% | 0.280 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.21u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.0% | 0.306 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.83 | 55.9% | 1.141 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.54 | 56.0% | 0.984 | 0.67u | Won | +1.70u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 53.3% | 0.381 | 0.14u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 11, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 52.9% | 0.407 | 0.17u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 3.91 | 53.8% | 1.104 | 1.06u | Won | +3.08u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 53.2% | 0.448 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 52.2% | 0.471 | 0.28u | Won | +0.51u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 54.3% | 0.400 | 0.21u | Won | +0.33u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.55u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.186 | 0.25u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.25u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 10, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 50.0% | 0.286 | 0.51u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 9, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 1.12u | Won | +1.56u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 50.0% | 0.261 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 8, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 55.3% | 0.371 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 57.9% | 0.524 | 0.68u | Won | +1.11u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 55.8% | 0.585 | 0.79u | Won | +1.45u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 57.0% | 0.340 | 0.33u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.86 | 50.0% | 0.430 | 1.18u | Won | +2.19u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Sep 6, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.89 | 50.0% | 0.445 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 6, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.45 | 51.9% | 0.792 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 55.9% | 0.470 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 50.0% | 0.371 | 0.64u | Won | +1.11u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 3.05 | 50.0% | 0.526 | 0.80u | Won | +1.64u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 50.0% | 0.266 | 0.36u | Won | +0.55u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.79u | Won | +1.03u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.